James Quinn-Irons

OF Charleston RiverDogs

Age 24 R/R 6'5" / 230 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	ATB	32	.259/.375/.259	0	2	42	—	.214/.312/.214
2026	23	ATB	24	.222/.391/.278	0	5	61	—	.211/.348/.263
2027PROJMLE	24	MLBTB	200	.191/.267/.272	3	5	55	-0.2
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBTB	26	.196/.272/.282	0	1	58	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsMichael O'Neill (age 24) · Connor Blair (age 24) · Colin Davis (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .265 / .270

PA50

HR1

K%33

BB%8

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	32	27	7	0	0	0	4	10	1	2	2	259	375	259	634		412	31	12	308	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	24	18	4	1	0	0	4	6	1	5	0	222	391	278	669	56	308	25	17	314	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	32	28	6	0	0	0	3	14	1	2	2	214	312	214	527		374	44	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	24	19	4	1	0	0	3	8	1	5	0	211	348	263	611	53	274	33	12	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	32	28	6	0	0	0	3	14	1	2	2	214	312	214	527		429	44	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	32	27	7	0	0	0	4	10	1	2	2	259	375	259	634		412	31	12	308	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	24	19	4	1	0	0	3	8	1	5	0	211	348	263	611	53	333	33	12	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	24	18	4	1	0	0	4	6	1	5	0	222	391	278	669	56	308	25	17	314	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	32	28	6	0	0	0	3	14	1	2	2	214	312	214	527		374	44	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	24	20	4	1	0	0	3	8	1	5	0	200	348	250	598	50	274	33	12	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	32	28	6	0	0	0	3	14	1	2	2	214	312	214	527		374	44	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	24	20	4	1	0	0	3	8	1	5	0	200	348	250	598	50	274	33	12	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TB	0%	200	179	35	5	1	3	16	66	3	5	1	191	267	272	539	82	281	33	8	249	55	-11	+1	-0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TB	30%	87	79	14	2	0	1	7	28	1	2	0	194	270	282	552	88	282	32	8	254	58	-4	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	TB	30%	26	24	4	1	0	0	2	8	0	1	0	196	272	282	555	86	286	31	8	255	58	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	26	24	4	1	0	0	2	8	0	1	0	167	231	208	439	42	250	31	8	255	55	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	100	25	0	0	50	200	0	25	0	167	231	208	439	42	250	31	8	255	55	-32	+5	-1	-4	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	193	171	32	4	0	2	17	67	4	10	2	187	276	246	522	58	291	35	9	250	55	-7	+1	-0	-1	+3	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	108	13	0	7	57	226	13	34	7	188	275	247	522	59	292	35	9	250	55	-33	+3	-1	-4	+14	-2.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ACharleston RiverDogs · 24 PAwOBA .320 → .259 (−61)K% 25.0% → 34.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	34.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.67%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	11.38%
HBP% /PA	4.17%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	3.22%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×0.990	22.77%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.990	6.85%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×0.990	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .320 → .259; ISO .056 → .047; BABIP .308 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ACharleston RiverDogs · 32 PAwOBA .301 → .231 (−70)K% 31.2% → 42.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.25%	÷1.006	×1.360	—	—	42.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷0.985	×0.690	—	—	8.76%
HBP% /PA	3.12%	—	×0.780	—	—	2.44%
Singles /BIP	41.18%	÷1.013	×0.920	—	—	37.40%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.850	×0.830	—	—	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.121	×0.910	—	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.159	×0.800	—	—	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 103, 2B 70, 3B 124, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .301 → .231; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .412 → .374. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
James Quinn-Irons (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	189/265/270	81	281	1	1	33%	8%	55	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael O'Neill 2016 · A	24	39→41	40→45	50→55	36	194/242/283	89	278	8	18	32%	5%	48	-2.5	208/256/311	103	300	9	18	32%	5%	59	-1.6	208/259/316	108	298	10	22	32%	5%	59	-1.2
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/254/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	194/282/305	111	306	12	8	37%	10%	69	-0.9	148/263/256	108	232	14	5	39%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Colin Davis 2023 · A	24	41	42→45	49→50	42	201/261/303	102	277	9	11	30%	7%	59	-1.6	185/246/294	109	258	11	11	32%	6%	53	-2.1	154/229/257	103	218	14	11	35%	6%	36	-1.0
✕Tyler Marincov 2016 · A	24	41	43→50	47→50	39	204/257/314	110	286	10	10	31%	6%	60	-1.6	203/257/327	124	287	14	9	33%	6%	64	-1.3	192/249/322	130	269	16	10	34%	6%	58	-1.2
✕Gunnar Heidt 2017 · A	24	39→41	41→45	48→50	39	193/250/295	101	280	8	15	32%	6%	53	-2.1	197/251/297	100	295	9	12	34%	6%	54	-2.0	194/248/291	96	283	9	9	33%	6%	49	-1.7
✕Jhonny Santos 2021 · A	24	43→41	43→45	50	42	210/270/318	108	286	10	16	29%	7%	66	-1.1	210/262/347	137	276	16	6	29%	6%	70	-0.8	190/240/333	143	236	20	1	29%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	40	44→45	53→60	44	195/276/310	114	290	11	16	34%	9%	68	-1.0	200/282/313	113	289	12	26	32%	9%	71	-0.8	182/274/287	105	255	13	39	32%	9%	61	-0.5
✕Carter Aldrete 2022 · A	24	40→41	43→50	47→45	37	200/251/306	107	303	12	10	37%	6%	57	-1.8	210/259/350	140	290	17	5	32%	6%	70	-0.9	196/242/331	135	260	17	2	31%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2022 · A	24	36→43	42→45	42→50	40	180/250/288	107	273	9	8	35%	7%	53	-2.1	203/275/296	93	275	9	12	28%	8%	63	-1.3	199/276/282	82	260	9	14	26%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	38→33	43→50	46→50	34	191/235/306	115	287	11	11	36%	4%	51	-2.3	195/243/333	138	293	16	12	38%	5%	60	-1.6	165/221/310	144	234	19	14	38%	6%	44	-1.4
✕Stefan Sabol 2016 · A	24	38→42	41→45	45→50	43	185/258/281	96	286	8	10	36%	9%	54	-2.0	208/274/307	99	334	8	8	37%	8%	65	-1.2	197/265/297	99	329	9	5	40%	8%	58	-0.7
✕E.J. Exposito 2024 · A	23	37→33	41→50	50→55	43	177/262/268	90	293	9	14	39%	9%	53	-2.1	189/246/321	132	265	16	17	34%	6%	59	-1.7	184/237/328	144	240	19	19	32%	6%	55	-1.5
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Johnny Olmstead 2024 · A	24	45→40	42→45	50	41	216/279/320	104	294	9	12	28%	6%	70	-0.8	202/261/318	116	252	12	15	24%	6%	63	-1.3	191/255/306	115	235	12	18	24%	6%	57	-1.4
✕Ben Cowles 2024 · A	24	41→40	43→45	52→50	39	198/267/307	109	311	11	16	37%	7%	63	-1.4	210/271/322	112	295	9	16	30%	6%	68	-1.0	206/265/314	109	283	9	17	29%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Kyle Gaedele 2014 · A	24	43	43→45	55→50	41	207/269/325	118	300	9	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	197/263/328	131	308	14	12	38%	7%	67	-1.1	174/253/317	143	303	17	7	45%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Shawn Goosenberg 2024 · A	24	40→38	42→45	56→55	41	196/265/296	100	285	10	23	33%	7%	60	-1.6	197/250/309	112	295	11	18	35%	6%	57	-1.8	184/234/312	127	273	14	18	37%	5%	49	-1.7
✕Cody Farhat 2021 · A	24	42	42→50	51→50	33	197/257/304	107	318	8	9	39%	5%	59	-1.7	211/268/343	132	301	13	12	33%	5%	72	-0.7	188/246/342	154	256	16	14	33%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Michael Sandle 2023 · A	24	41→38	43→45	56→50	38	203/256/312	109	279	10	16	30%	5%	59	-1.6	186/240/287	101	269	10	14	33%	5%	48	-2.5	144/199/235	91	208	11	16	35%	5%	19	-3.0