Jack Moroknek — OGILVIE

Jack MoroknekOF Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 23 L/R 6'3" / 205 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION256 act + 170 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .273 / .316

PA170

HR4

K%35

BB%9

BABIP279

ISO125

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A	WSH	—	256	229	44	7	3	6	26	103	0	4	1	192	275	328	602	135	314	40	10	261	58	-12	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.6
YTD	23	A	WSH	—	256	215	53	9	4	7	40	74	0	4	1	247	365	423	788	177	341	29	16	353	128	+8	+0	+0	-2	+7	1.5
ROS	23	A	WSH	0%	170	151	29	5	1	4	16	59	1	3	1	191	273	316	589	125	283	35	9	268	64	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
ROS	23	MLB	WSH	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		283	—	—	265	61	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	23	A	WSH	—	256	230	44	7	3	6	26	103	0	4	1	191	275	326	601	135	311	40	10	261	58	-12	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.6
TOT	23	A	WSH	—	426	380	73	12	4	10	42	162	1	7	2	192	274	323	597	131	299	38	10	264	60	-19	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	WSH	30%	548	489	98	17	4	13	51	182	3	9	2	200	280	331	611	131	284	33	9	275	68	-20	+1	+0	-3	+16	-0.7
2028	25	MLB	WSH	44%	586	523	106	18	4	14	54	190	4	11	3	203	282	333	615	130	285	32	9	280	72	-18	+1	+0	-4	+17	-0.4
2029	26	MLB	WSH	51%	607	542	111	19	4	15	56	194	4	11	3	205	284	338	622	133	285	32	9	283	74	-18	+1	+0	-4	+17	-0.3
2030	27	MLB	WSH	52%	616	549	114	20	4	16	58	195	4	12	3	208	288	346	634	138	285	32	9	284	75	-17	+1	+0	-4	+17	-0.2
2031	28	MLB	WSH	53%	617	550	113	20	4	15	58	197	4	12	3	205	286	338	624	133	285	32	9	283	74	-18	+1	-1	-4	+17	-0.4
2027	24	MLB	WSH	30%	165	148	29	5	1	4	15	55	1	3	1	196	274	324	599	128	284	33	9	271	65	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	WSH	44%	259	231	47	8	2	6	24	84	2	5	1	203	284	333	617	130	285	32	9	275	69	-9	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.3
2029	26	MLB	WSH	51%	308	274	57	10	2	8	29	98	2	6	2	208	289	347	635	139	285	32	9	278	71	-10	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
2030	27	MLB	WSH	52%	323	288	59	10	2	8	30	102	2	6	2	205	284	337	621	132	285	32	9	279	72	-10	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
2031	28	MLB	WSH	53%	329	293	59	10	2	8	31	105	2	6	2	201	282	331	613	130	285	32	9	278	71	-11	+0	-0	-2	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1384	1235	251	43	9	34	129	444	9	26	8	203	284	335	619	132	284	32	9	277	70	-47	+2	-0	-8	+39	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	117	20	4	16	61	209	4	12	4	202	283	333	615	131	281	32	9	277	70	-22	+1	-0	-4	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	3144	2804	571	99	21	77	293	1017	20	58	15	204	284	336	620	133	286	32	9	280	73	-98	+6	-1	-19	+89	-2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	117	20	4	16	61	210	4	12	3	202	282	333	615	131	283	32	9	280	73	-20	+1	-0	-4	+18	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,703	41	31	204	280	336	-10	+0	-1.5	-0.7
	/162	664	16	12	204	280	336	-4.0	+0.0	-0.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Moroknek (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	43→48	46→51	61	192/274/323	131	299	10	7	38%	10%	60	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→35	44→45	49→50	45	196/278/309	113	276	13	10	32%	9%	64	-0.8	190/263/303	113	285	10	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	175/248/290	115	270	9	16	36%	8%	43	-1.1
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A	23	39→37	43→60	54→50	47	196/261/312	115	255	9	8	26%	8%	56	-1.3	187/269/294	107	266	9	14	31%	9%	56	-1.3	207/269/398	192	270	24	15	32%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→40	43→50	50→45	46	204/274/320	117	274	10	7	28%	8%	65	-0.7	211/268/334	123	297	13	5	32%	7%	66	-0.6	195/247/325	130	268	17	1	33%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Lance Ray 2013 · A	23	37	45	45	45	191/261/313	122	256	13	6	30%	8%	58	-1.2	198/263/314	116	276	10	6	30%	7%	59	-1.1	148/219/198	51	212	4	5	30%	8%	7	-1.0
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→44	42→55	51→45	45	198/266/301	103	259	9	11	26%	7%	56	-1.3	220/277/364	144	296	17	6	30%	6%	78	+0.2	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	35→40	45→55	45→50	43	180/260/303	123	268	12	7	36%	9%	55	-1.4	206/284/377	171	294	20	9	35%	9%	85	+0.7	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→43	44→50	52→40	42	187/249/306	120	252	12	7	30%	7%	51	-1.7	207/278/346	139	286	15	3	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/289/402	180	281	22	1	28%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Trae Santos 2016 · A	23	40→36	45→50	46→40	43	200/270/330	130	273	12	4	30%	8%	66	-0.6	188/252/314	126	278	12	4	35%	6%	54	-1.4	151/217/277	126	225	13	0	38%	6%	27	-2.3
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	41→42	43→45	50	43	199/278/313	114	297	11	12	34%	8%	65	-0.7	202/279/326	124	295	11	11	33%	8%	69	-0.4	187/272/303	117	258	12	11	30%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Dillon Paulson 2021 · A	24	41→37	47→50	48→30	48	203/285/346	142	287	14	4	33%	10%	76	+0.1	221/289/340	119	298	12	5	28%	9%	76	+0.0	218/282/326	107	289	9	0	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Kevin Rivers 2012 · A	23	40→41	46→45	49→45	40	205/262/334	128	285	15	8	32%	6%	63	-0.8	203/270/327	124	293	11	6	32%	8%	65	-0.7	197/265/318	122	281	10	4	32%	8%	58	-0.9
✕Brian Pointer 2015 · A	23	41→43	44→45	49→50	42	201/278/321	120	303	12	13	36%	8%	67	-0.5	221/291/358	137	320	14	11	33%	8%	82	+0.5	221/292/378	157	308	17	10	32%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Orlando Martinez 2021 · A	23	42→45	46→50	44→50	41	215/262/342	127	276	14	7	27%	6%	65	-0.7	217/260/340	123	296	12	8	30%	5%	63	-0.8	231/297/326	95	291	7	9	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A	23	37→35	49→55	42→40	38	198/247/351	153	272	16	6	33%	6%	62	-0.9	206/272/358	152	266	18	4	29%	7%	74	-0.1	202/259/335	133	273	15	3	31%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Chris Epps 2013 · A	24	41→33	48→50	48→45	41	208/270/346	139	295	16	9	34%	8%	70	-0.3	191/264/322	131	292	14	9	37%	9%	61	-1.0	170/251/298	128	263	13	7	38%	9%	50	-1.4
✕Tyler Callihan 2023 · A	23	42→41	43→45	53→55	42	211/261/321	110	274	10	14	26%	6%	59	-1.1	215/272/329	114	309	11	21	32%	7%	66	-0.6	220/287/349	129	316	15	25	33%	8%	74	-0.0