Jack Moroknek

OF Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 24 L/R 6'3" / 205 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	23	A+/AWSH	328	.224/.333/.391	10	4	48	—	.167/.242/.279
2027PROJMLE	24	MLBWSH	378	.181/.256/.293	8	6	55	-0.5
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBWSH	60	.184/.259/.298	1	1	58	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

BB%48

Chase%35

ISO25

Speed20

Z-Con%14

Whiff%13

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJacob Wetzel (age 24) · Neil Medchill (age 24) · Cody Morissette (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 174 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .254 / .290

PA174

HR4

K%34

BB%8

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	160	142	20	2	0	4	18	57	0	2	0	141	237	239	477	99	198	36	11	226	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	168	139	43	7	4	6	28	45	0	2	1	309	425	547	972	237	416	27	17	423	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	160	149	15	1	0	3	11	75	0	2	0	101	163	168	330	67	175	47	7	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	168	148	34	5	3	4	19	61	0	2	1	230	317	385	703	155	360	36	11	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	328	297	51	7	3	8	30	136	0	4	1	172	248	296	544	125	279	41	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	328	281	63	9	4	10	46	102	0	4	1	224	333	391	725	167	312	31	14	327	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	328	295	51	7	3	8	30	136	0	4	1	173	248	298	546	125	270	41	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	328	295	51	7	3	8	30	136	0	4	1	173	248	298	546	125	270	41	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	378	341	62	11	2	8	32	128	2	6	2	181	256	293	549	112	261	34	8	250	55	-20	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	30%	201	181	33	6	1	4	17	67	1	3	1	185	259	300	559	115	263	33	8	254	58	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	30%	60	55	10	2	0	1	5	20	0	1	0	184	259	298	557	113	262	33	8	253	58	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	60	55	10	2	0	1	5	20	0	1	0	182	250	273	523	91	265	33	8	253	53	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	109	22	0	11	54	217	0	11	0	183	251	275	526	92	266	33	8	253	53	-32	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	703	634	113	18	5	16	62	262	2	10	3	178	254	298	552	120	270	37	9	246	53	-19	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	105	17	5	15	57	242	2	9	3	179	254	302	556	123	271	37	9	246	53	-33	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFredericksburg Nationals · 168 PAwOBA .414 → .317 (−97)K% 26.8% → 36.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.79%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	36.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.67%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	11.38%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.66%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.984	×0.990	24.79%
Doubles /BIP	7.45%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.984	×0.990	6.02%
Triples /BIP	4.26%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.984	×0.990	3.77%
Home runs /BIP	6.38%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	5.06%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .414 → .317; ISO .237 → .181; BABIP .416 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 160 PAwOBA .220 → .157 (−63)K% 35.6% → 46.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.62%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	46.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.25%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.998	6.74%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.770	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	16.47%	÷1.000	×0.870	×1.043	×0.998	14.91%
Doubles /BIP	2.35%	÷1.000	×0.780	×1.043	×0.998	1.91%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	×1.043	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.71%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.998	4.13%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .220 → .157; ISO .099 → .075; BABIP .198 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
#6Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	234	5	4	183	255	296	-1	+0	-0.7	-0.3
/162	664	14	11	-4.0	+0.0	-1.8	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Moroknek (OGILVIE)	24	20	43	45	53	180/254/290	111	261	4	3	34%	8%	55	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Neil Medchill 2011 · A	24	35→28	43→45	44→45	34	175/233/280	105	299	12	7	44%	6%	45	-2.7	195/254/324	129	320	15	7	41%	7%	62	-1.4	194/253/324	129	310	16	5	41%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Cody Morissette 2024 · AA	24	35→31	46→45	44→55	40	187/242/313	126	243	15	5	30%	6%	55	-1.9	190/243/309	119	252	13	15	29%	6%	55	-2.0	184/241/305	121	240	14	19	29%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Seth Gray 2022 · A	24	36→37	42→40	49→50	39	178/256/274	96	282	10	6	38%	7%	53	-2.1	198/274/304	106	324	12	11	40%	8%	65	-1.2	193/273/299	105	322	13	14	41%	8%	61	-1.1
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A	24	39	42→50	46→55	38	193/254/300	107	288	9	11	35%	6%	57	-1.8	186/250/305	119	275	12	13	35%	6%	57	-1.8	197/259/326	130	285	15	24	35%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Nick Yarnall 2019 · A	24	38	47→50	46→45	41	198/261/329	132	288	16	6	36%	8%	66	-1.1	200/272/336	136	318	15	7	39%	9%	72	-0.7	156/251/306	150	251	16	4	42%	11%	56	-0.7
✕Francisco Del Valle 2022 · A	23	35→29	44→45	44→40	43	181/258/300	119	262	12	5	34%	8%	59	-1.7	201/257/304	103	282	10	7	31%	6%	58	-1.7	171/193/224	53	226	6	4	27%	3%	11	-0.9
✕Mike Peabody 2023 · A	24	38	44→45	47→50	38	189/265/301	112	291	12	12	37%	7%	62	-1.4	196/263/302	106	291	10	12	35%	6%	61	-1.5	171/236/270	98	250	11	12	34%	5%	41	-1.3
✕Jameson Fisher 2018 · A	24	41→36	41→40	44→45	42	201/268/306	104	280	8	7	30%	7%	63	-1.3	188/257/281	93	285	8	6	34%	8%	53	-2.1	188/255/286	98	278	9	4	34%	7%	52	-1.6
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→39	40→45	48→45	44	199/276/293	94	296	8	12	33%	9%	63	-1.3	209/278/327	118	271	12	8	26%	8%	72	-0.7	200/272/318	119	252	12	6	25%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Mitchell Gunsolus 2017 · A	24	39→35	43→40	40→45	43	196/261/300	104	269	12	6	31%	8%	59	-1.6	186/266/265	79	319	6	7	39%	9%	53	-2.1	153/251/206	53	299	1	7	44%	10%	34	-2.5
✕Ryan Kirby 2019 · A	24	37→33	44→45	46→40	37	186/250/304	118	283	11	4	37%	6%	57	-1.8	189/248/306	117	325	12	7	43%	6%	56	-1.9	93/148/190	97	194	15	7	59%	5%	-10	-1.2
✕Pat Porter 2017 · A	24	31	43→45	47→45	37	166/233/275	109	251	11	7	37%	6%	43	-2.8	190/251/288	98	289	9	8	35%	6%	53	-2.1	173/233/241	69	263	7	5	35%	6%	33	-1.3
✕Lance Ray 2013 · A	23	38→37	45	45	45	196/264/320	124	261	13	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	201/265/317	116	278	10	6	30%	7%	65	-1.2	151/221/203	52	215	4	5	30%	8%	20	-1.0
✕Michael Harrington 2010 · A	24	37→33	41→45	45→40	38	185/232/284	99	261	8	3	32%	6%	44	-2.8	189/240/272	83	281	6	5	33%	6%	45	-2.7	147/201/192	45	225	3	0	34%	5%	10	-1.6
✕Logan Farrar 2019 · A	24	40→35	45	48→45	42	203/260/322	119	263	13	3	28%	6%	63	-1.3	197/261/283	86	283	8	6	31%	7%	55	-2.0	167/242/206	39	254	3	6	33%	8%	30	-1.8
✕Agustin Ruiz 2024 · AA	24	34→37	50	42→40	39	187/258/333	146	262	19	3	35%	7%	67	-1.1	192/262/309	117	267	12	6	31%	7%	62	-1.4	159/235/250	91	217	8	3	29%	6%	37	-1.7
✕Garrett Spain 2024 · A	23	37→35	43→45	46→50	40	187/252/299	113	282	10	9	36%	7%	56	-1.9	173/235/288	115	249	13	12	34%	7%	47	-2.5	162/228/283	121	225	15	14	34%	7%	41	-2.3
✕Nick Decker 2024 · A	24	32	45	50	36	162/239/282	119	288	12	12	45%	8%	48	-2.5	180/245/296	116	338	11	13	46%	7%	53	-2.1	130/195/239	109	257	12	16	52%	7%	19	-1.6

Jack Moroknek

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps