Yulian Quintana — OGILVIE

Yulian Quintana P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 185 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.42

FIP5.42

K%19.1%

BB%15.0%

K-BB%4.1%

ROS IP37

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	3	53	239	50	32	4	13%	2.3	15.0%	16.2%	-1.2%	2.3%	2.73	5.17	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	3	53	239	50	32	4	13%	2.3	15.0%	16.2%	-1.2%	2.3%	2.73	5.17	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	3	53	239	50	32	4	13%	2.3	20.9%	13.4%	7.5%	1.7%	2.73	4.01	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	38	0	40	202	40	39	10	0%	1.0	15.2%	22.2%	-7.0%	6.2%	8.17	8.02	—
YTD	26	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	38	0	40	202	40	39	10	0%	1.0	15.2%	22.2%	-7.0%	6.2%	8.17	8.02	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A+ RAW	PIT	38	0	40	202	40	39	10	0%	1.0	19.8%	19.3%	0.5%	5.0%	8.17	6.59	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	PIT	44	0	47	197	39	29	6	0%	1.1	19.5%	14.5%	5.0%	3.1%	5.33	5.35	-0.4
2028	28	MLB MLE	PIT	43	0	45	191	38	27	6	0%	1.1	19.7%	14.3%	5.4%	3.2%	5.31	5.36	-0.4
2029	29	MLB MLE	PIT	41	0	43	183	36	26	6	0%	1.1	19.7%	14.2%	5.4%	3.3%	5.36	5.44	-0.4
2027	27	MLB CTX	PIT	16	0	17	72	14	10	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	14.5%	5.0%	3.1%	5.33	5.35	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	PIT	26	0	27	114	22	16	4	0%	1.0	19.7%	14.3%	5.4%	3.2%	5.31	5.36	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	PIT	29	0	30	127	25	18	4	0%	1.0	19.7%	14.2%	5.4%	3.3%	5.36	5.44	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		71	0	74	314	62	45	10	0%	1.0	19.6%	14.3%	5.3%	3.2%	5.34	5.01	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	167	121	27	0%	1.0	19.6%	14.3%	5.3%	3.2%	5.34	5.01	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		61	3	92	441	67	84	18	5%	1.5	15.1%	19.0%	-3.9%	4.1%	5.07	6.48	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		132	6	200	955	144	181	39	5%	1.5	15.1%	19.0%	-3.9%	4.1%	5.07	6.48	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yulian Quintana (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.42	19.1%	15.0%	3.0%	—	5.38	19.6%	5.3%	135	-0.04	—	—	—
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	89
Justin Courtney R 2022 · 5.11 FIP	26	SU	5.11	16.8%	12.8%	3.3%	.331	8.63	18.4%	7.1%	21	+3.52	4.58	108	87
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	87
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	87
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	86
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	86
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	85
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	85
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	85
Juan Paniagua R 2016 · 4.57 FIP	26	SU	4.57	17.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.246	4.75	12.9%	-1.0%	29	+0.18	4.57	151	85
Dusty Isaacs R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	26	SU	5.26	19.3%	14.1%	3.7%	.287	3.16	26.8%	20.6%	26	-2.10	3.16	253	84
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	84
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	84
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	84
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	84
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	84
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	84
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	84
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	83
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	43	19.5%	14.5%	1.21	5.35
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77