Cardell Thibodeaux

Cardell ThibodeauxOF FCL Braves

Age 23 L/L 5'8" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 93 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .276 / .292

PA93

HR1

K%29

BB%9

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	74	65	7	2	0	0	9	17	0	0	1	108	216	138	355	31	146	23	12	181	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK	FCL Braves	—	85	63	12	5	0	0	21	15	0	9	3	190	393	270	663	79	245	18	25	322	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	74	67	5	1	0	0	7	24	0	0	1	75	162	90	252	15	125	32	9	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	85	71	10	4	0	0	13	22	0	9	3	141	274	197	471	56	188	26	15	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	74	67	5	1	0	0	7	24	0	0	1	75	162	90	252	15	116	32	9	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	74	65	7	2	0	0	9	17	0	0	1	108	216	138	355	31	146	23	12	181	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	85	71	10	4	0	0	13	22	0	9	3	141	274	197	471	56	200	26	15	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	85	63	12	5	0	0	21	15	0	9	3	190	393	270	663	79	245	18	25	322	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	74	67	5	1	0	0	7	24	0	0	1	75	162	90	252	15	125	32	9	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	85	72	10	4	0	0	13	22	0	9	3	139	274	194	468	56	188	26	15	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	74	67	5	1	0	0	7	24	0	0	1	75	162	90	252	15	125	32	9	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	85	72	10	4	0	0	13	22	0	9	3	139	274	194	468	56	188	26	15	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	195	175	35	7	1	2	17	57	1	4	1	205	278	295	573	90	287	29	9	262	63	-9	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	ATL	30%	178	160	33	7	1	2	15	51	1	3	1	209	282	306	587	97	288	29	8	268	67	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	ATL	30%	54	49	10	2	0	1	5	16	0	1	0	209	282	306	587	97	288	30	9	268	67	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	54	49	10	2	0	1	5	16	0	1	0	204	278	306	584	102	281	30	9	268	44	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	120	24	0	12	60	193	0	12	0	203	277	305	582	102	281	30	9	268	44	-25	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	430	382	66	16	2	3	43	124	2	14	5	173	260	249	509	76	245	29	10	234	44	-11	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	100	24	3	5	65	187	3	21	8	173	260	251	512	78	245	29	10	234	44	-26	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cardell Thibodeaux (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	203/276/292	89	287	1	2	29%	9%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	43→33	40→50	51→55	43	207/268/296	89	302	7	9	32%	8%	61	-1.5	199/264/310	111	281	9	16	31%	7%	62	-1.4	179/252/293	114	245	10	19	30%	8%	52	-1.2
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	202/278/275	73	283	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	209/294/310	101	262	9	15	22%	8%	75	-0.5	204/297/299	95	251	9	15	21%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	42→33	40→45	50	44	200/275/295	95	300	7	13	34%	8%	63	-1.3	203/269/320	117	297	12	11	34%	7%	67	-1.1	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Trey Paige 2024 · A	23	40	39→40	49→50	42	192/266/272	80	290	6	7	34%	8%	55	-2.0	202/270/291	89	307	6	9	33%	8%	60	-1.6	197/270/292	94	292	7	12	32%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Ryan Aguilar 2018 · A	23	39→40	36→45	50	44	188/253/251	63	273	3	8	31%	8%	45	-2.7	183/253/273	90	296	8	7	38%	8%	50	-2.3	181/274/286	106	291	12	12	39%	10%	59	-1.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Preston Beck 2014 · A	23	43→42	38→45	49→45	48	207/275/289	82	264	5	10	23%	8%	61	-1.5	210/276/319	109	266	9	8	23%	8%	69	-0.9	210/274/325	115	261	9	7	22%	7%	67	-0.9
✕Estee Harris 2008 · A	23	38→32	40→50	49→50	36	184/237/276	92	297	8	13	39%	6%	45	-2.7	218/265/340	122	373	12	12	42%	5%	70	-0.9	212/253/348	137	372	14	14	45%	4%	63	-0.4
✕Jerry Downs 2017 · A	23	45→32	39→45	48→40	46	215/289/301	86	287	6	8	26%	8%	70	-0.9	191/264/292	101	266	9	4	31%	5%	59	-1.6	163/238/261	97	227	11	2	32%	5%	41	-1.5
✕Clark Elliott 2024 · A	23	42→40	36→45	51→50	49	196/281/257	61	262	4	12	25%	9%	57	-1.8	207/307/309	102	286	9	13	28%	10%	80	-0.2	198/314/306	108	278	10	16	29%	12%	80	-0.1
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→39	44→50	50→45	45	206/271/326	120	274	11	7	28%	8%	69	-0.9	208/265/331	123	293	14	5	32%	7%	68	-1.0	187/241/315	128	257	17	1	34%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	195/261/308	113	264	9	19	28%	7%	59	-1.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→30	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	192/262/298	106	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→39	40→45	48→45	44	199/276/293	94	296	8	12	33%	9%	63	-1.3	209/278/327	118	271	12	8	26%	8%	72	-0.7	200/272/318	119	252	12	6	25%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Tyler Callihan 2023 · A	23	43	42→45	53→55	42	213/262/322	108	277	9	14	26%	6%	63	-1.3	218/276/332	114	306	10	21	30%	7%	72	-0.7	213/281/334	121	303	14	24	32%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Logan Wyatt 2021 · A	23	47→38	40→45	47→40	46	223/293/316	92	306	7	7	28%	8%	74	-0.5	204/291/283	79	279	7	4	26%	11%	67	-1.1	193/281/282	89	257	10	1	27%	10%	61	-0.8
✕Je'Von Ward 2023 · A	23	45→37	40→45	47→50	37	212/261/304	92	326	7	11	36%	6%	59	-1.7	201/270/312	111	315	11	10	37%	8%	65	-1.2	195/284/320	125	290	14	8	35%	11%	73	-0.3
✕Jacob Pearson 2021 · A	23	41→39	40	50	43	199/254/289	91	268	7	12	28%	7%	53	-2.1	188/249/286	98	259	8	15	29%	7%	51	-2.2	165/232/259	94	229	8	19	30%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	39→41	42→45	51→50	40	189/265/296	107	289	9	13	36%	7%	61	-1.5	210/285/338	128	315	13	12	35%	8%	77	-0.3	209/287/345	136	311	14	12	35%	9%	76	-0.3