Amilcar Teran

P DSL CLE Goryl

Age 19 RHP 5'10" / 180 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL CLE Goryl	18	1	28	6.11	5.60	9.9%	14.5%	—	K 6.7% · BB 18.1% · FIP 6.16
2026	18	ROKDSL CLE Goryl	15	0	18	12.00	6.71	20.2%	4.3%	—	K 13.7% · BB 5.3% · FIP 8.34
2027PROJ	19	MLB—	12	0	13	4.96	4.96	18.5%	10.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLB—	12	0	13	4.80	4.74	19.8%	9.7%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsYordin Chalas (age 19) · Blake Workman (age 20) · Harold Cortijo (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.96

FIP4.96

K%18.5%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%8.3%

Proj IP13

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	18	1	28	131	13	19	3	6%	1.6	6.7%	18.1%	-11.4%	2.4%	6.11	6.16	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	18	1	28	131	13	19	3	6%	1.6	6.7%	18.1%	-11.4%	2.4%	6.11	6.16	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	18	1	28	131	13	19	3	6%	1.6	9.9%	14.5%	-4.6%	2.3%	6.11	5.60	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	15	0	18	94	19	4	7	0%	1.2	13.7%	5.3%	8.4%	10.4%	12.00	8.34	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	15	0	18	94	19	4	7	0%	1.2	13.7%	5.3%	8.4%	10.4%	12.00	8.34	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	15	0	18	94	19	4	7	0%	1.2	20.2%	4.3%	16.0%	7.4%	12.00	6.71	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	—	12	0	13	55	10	6	2	0%	1.1	18.5%	10.3%	8.3%	3.2%	4.96	4.96	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	25	0	26	112	22	11	3	0%	1.1	19.8%	9.7%	10.1%	3.1%	4.80	4.74	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	12	0	13	55	11	5	2	0%	1.1	19.8%	9.7%	10.1%	3.1%	4.80	4.74	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	55	11	5	2	0%	1.1	19.8%	9.7%	10.1%	3.1%	4.80	4.36	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	169	77	31	0%	1.1	19.8%	9.7%	10.1%	3.1%	4.80	4.36	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		33	1	46	225	22	29	13	3%	1.4	9.7%	12.8%	-3.1%	5.8%	8.41	7.07	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		143	4	200	978	95	125	56	3%	1.4	9.7%	12.8%	-3.1%	5.8%	8.41	7.07	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Amilcar Teran (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.96	18.5%	10.3%	3.2%	—	4.74	19.8%	10.1%	26	-0.22	—	—	—
Yordin Chalas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	19	SU	4.56	17.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.294	3.92	19.9%	7.8%	116	-0.64	3.67	140	93
Blake Workman R 2018 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.98	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.02	3.09	213	90
Harold Cortijo R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	18	SU	4.46	19.1%	9.8%	3.1%	.309	5.64	13.5%	2.2%	73	+1.18	4.15	179	88
Jose Diaz R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	19	SU	3.97	17.9%	10.4%	1.9%	.326	5.52	19.2%	1.1%	64	+1.55	3.91	189	87
Joseilyn Gonzalez R 2022 · 4.98 FIP	20	SU	4.98	14.5%	8.5%	3.7%	.321	5.20	14.5%	-3.2%	107	+0.22	4.98	168	85
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	85
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	85
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	85
Austin Mason R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	21	SU	4.41	17.1%	11.6%	2.4%	.289	4.06	16.2%	6.5%	151	-0.35	3.60	179	85
Andy Rodriguez R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	19	SU	4.29	14.0%	7.9%	2.5%	.311	5.10	16.1%	3.6%	55	+0.81	3.05	153	85
Osiris German R 2018 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	20.6%	8.7%	3.3%	.346	3.15	26.3%	15.5%	59	-1.11	3.11	187	85
José Geraldo R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	19	SU	4.15	15.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.296	4.15	18.0%	7.8%	46	-0.00	3.50	192	84
Logan Lombana R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.9%	10.0%	3.1%	.315	4.02	15.7%	8.1%	123	-0.61	3.80	155	84
Jefry Valdez R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	20	SU	4.47	15.4%	8.6%	2.9%	.240	3.59	18.0%	9.7%	92	-0.88	3.23	168	84
Devon Fisher R 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	16.5%	12.5%	2.0%	.333	5.76	15.1%	0.9%	88	+1.37	4.39	102	84
Chris Gau R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SU	4.76	20.0%	8.6%	4.1%	.290	3.19	29.5%	23.5%	37	-1.57	2.96	211	84
Troy Bacon R 2017 · 3.92 FIP	20	SU	3.92	19.9%	11.7%	1.9%	.222	4.06	19.7%	10.8%	102	+0.14	3.34	203	84
Sandy Lugo R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	21	SU	3.86	20.7%	9.5%	2.4%	.352	3.98	23.6%	12.5%	119	+0.12	3.48	146	84
José Rodríguez R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	14.2%	11.6%	2.7%	.310	2.74	25.0%	16.4%	132	-2.11	2.55	237	84
David Matoma R 2024 · 3.81 FIP	18	SU	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	1.7%	.259	5.70	15.7%	-5.9%	79	+1.89	3.58	118	84