Andy Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Andy Rodriguez P Bowling Green Hot Rods

+0.1 WAR

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 182 lbs A+ peak 0.4 · 2027

ERA4.31

FIP4.31

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%20.7%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%12.1%

IP48

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.4peak

2027

STUF2525

CTRL5555

CMD3535

K†4045

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	DSL Rays 2	10	0	15	63	13	4	1	14.0%	7.9%	2.8%	3.07	4.44	+0.1
2022	20	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	5	2	16	63	10	6	0	10.8%	11.9%	0.0%	1.15	3.70	+0.2
2023	21	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	7	0	10	44	14	7	0	—	—	—	3.60	—	—
2024	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	29	0	39	154	40	16	5	18.2%	12.7%	4.5%	2.75	5.66	-0.3
2025	23	A	Charleston RiverDogs	39	0	53	228	38	11	1	12.3%	5.7%	0.5%	4.61	3.04	+1.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	3	0	4	18	4	1	0	—	—	—	4.50	—	—
ROS	24	MLB	TB	48	—	48	204	36	19	6	17.7%	9.5%	2.7%	4.69	4.69	+0.1
2026 Total	24	MLB	TB	—	—	52	222	40	20	6	18.1%	9.2%	2.5%	4.68	4.33	+0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	25	MLB	TB	49	—	49	206	38	19	6	18.6%	9.3%	2.7%	4.62	4.59	+0.2
2028	26	MLB	TB	49	—	49	206	40	19	6	19.2%	9.3%	2.8%	4.57	4.55	+0.2
2029	27	MLB	TB	48	—	48	204	40	19	6	19.4%	9.3%	2.8%	4.55	4.55	+0.2
2030	28	MLB	TB	48	—	48	201	39	19	6	19.5%	9.4%	2.8%	4.56	4.57	+0.2
2031	29	MLB	TB	47	—	47	197	38	19	6	19.4%	9.4%	2.9%	4.59	4.61	+0.2
2032	30	MLB	TB	45	—	45	191	37	18	6	19.1%	9.6%	2.9%	4.64	4.68	+0.1
2033	31	MLB	TB	44	—	44	184	35	18	6	18.9%	9.7%	3.0%	4.71	4.75	+0.1
2034	32	MLB	TB	42	—	42	177	33	17	5	18.6%	9.8%	3.1%	4.79	4.84	+0.1
2035	33	MLB	TB	40	—	40	169	31	17	5	18.3%	10.0%	3.2%	4.88	4.94	+0.0
2036	34	MLB	TB	38	—	38	160	29	16	5	18.0%	10.2%	3.3%	4.98	5.05	-0.0
2037	35	MLB	TB	36	—	36	151	27	16	5	17.6%	10.4%	3.4%	5.09	5.17	-0.1
2038	36	MLB	TB	34	—	34	141	24	15	5	17.2%	10.7%	3.5%	5.22	5.30	-0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			93	2	136	570	90	53	10	15.8%	9.3%	1.7%	3.43	3.89	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—			136	3	200	836	132	78	15	15.8%	9.3%	1.7%	3.43	3.89	+3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andy Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	17.7%	9.5%	2.7%	—	4.56	19.1%	9.8%	146	-0.13	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.48 FIP	25	SU	4.48	17.1%	9.6%	2.9%	.289	3.53	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.95	1.94	131	94
Kyle Whitten R 2026 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	18.0%	9.5%	2.8%	.296	5.22	18.2%	7.4%	37	+0.88	4.33	143	92
Josh Uhen R 2026 · 4.10 FIP	24	SU	4.10	16.1%	9.7%	2.1%	.303	4.01	15.6%	1.2%	82	-0.09	3.16	185	92
Blake Goldsberry R 2026 · 4.05 FIP	24	SU	4.05	16.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.267	4.51	23.6%	13.4%	75	+0.46	3.39	117	91
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2027 · 3.83 FIP	25	SU	3.83	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.38	3.83	181	91
Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 4.37 FIP	24	SU	4.37	18.1%	8.1%	3.2%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.49	4.37	412	91
Juan Ramon Noriega R 2026 · 3.59 FIP	24	SU	3.59	17.7%	7.4%	1.9%	.303	4.11	16.6%	9.3%	92	+0.52	3.46	198	90
Roberto Espinosa R 2026 · 4.32 FIP	24	SU	4.32	15.1%	10.1%	2.2%	.312	4.58	14.5%	-1.1%	35	+0.26	4.32	117	89
Roman Mendez R 2027 · 4.38 FIP	25	SU	4.38	19.1%	8.1%	3.4%	.275	4.54	20.2%	10.4%	118	+0.16	4.12	230	89
Nick Belzer R 2025 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	14.5%	9.1%	2.2%	.291	4.51	12.8%	4.2%	63	+0.28	4.23	112	89
Vince Vannelle R 2026 · 3.72 FIP	24	SU	3.72	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.28	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.56	3.72	105	89
Josh Advocate R 2026 · 3.74 FIP	24	SU	3.74	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.68	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.06	3.68	118	89
Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.27 FIP	24	SU	4.27	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.63	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.36	4.27	328	89
Nick Neumann R 2026 · 4.03 FIP	24	SU	4.03	14.7%	7.0%	2.3%	.299	4.28	11.4%	3.9%	62	+0.25	3.67	107	89
Sean Donatello R 2026 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	14.8%	7.7%	1.7%	.288	3.44	14.2%	7.5%	108	-0.34	3.22	141	88
Jackson Rees R 2026 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	16.1%	9.0%	2.9%	.354	1.89	28.2%	20.8%	62	-2.58	1.89	103	87
Micah Dallas R 2026 · 4.09 FIP	24	SU	4.09	18.7%	7.1%	3.1%	.273	3.61	17.5%	9.0%	50	-0.48	3.61	147	87
Armando Ruiz R 2026 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	18.4%	11.4%	2.3%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	113	87
Hunter Stanley R 2026 · 3.87 FIP	24	SU	3.87	18.9%	10.1%	2.0%	.270	5.33	17.4%	7.1%	148	+1.46	3.87	162	87
Luis De La O R 2027 · 4.37 FIP	25	SU	4.37	17.0%	9.4%	2.8%	.370	3.72	15.3%	10.8%	81	-0.65	3.22	145	87

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.