Andy Rodriguez
P
Bowling Green Hot Rods
Age 24
RHP
6'1" / 182 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 116
ERA5.14
FIP5.14
K%11.7%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%2.6%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 91 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays 2 | 10 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 14.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 3.07 | 4.48 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays 2 | 10 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.6% | 6.3% | 14.3% | 1.6% | 3.07 | 3.03 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 5 | 2 | 16 | 63 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 40% | 3.1 | 10.8% | 11.9% | -1.1% | 0.0% | 1.15 | 3.70 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 5 | 2 | 16 | 63 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 40% | 3.1 | 15.9% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 0.0% | 1.15 | 2.97 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 7 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 31.8% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 0.0% | 3.60 | 2.43 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 7 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 31.8% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 0.0% | 3.60 | 2.40 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 39 | 154 | 40 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.2% | 12.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.75 | 5.65 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 39 | 154 | 40 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.0% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 3.2% | 2.75 | 3.94 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 39 | 0 | 53 | 228 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 12.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 0.4% | 4.61 | 3.02 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 39 | 0 | 53 | 228 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.7% | 4.8% | 11.8% | 0.4% | 4.61 | 2.53 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 16 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.86 | 6.16 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TB | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 33 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 11.7% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.14 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.7% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.14 | 5.14 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | TB | — | — | 91 | 381 | 52 | 36 | 12 | — | — | 13.7% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.81 | 5.40 | -0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 11.7% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.14 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TB | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.1% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 4.97 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TB | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 45 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 4.85 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TB | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 45 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 4.82 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TB | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.1% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 4.97 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | TB | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 4.85 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | TB | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 35 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 4.82 | 4.82 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 121 | 0 | 127 | 534 | 82 | 48 | 15 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 4.87 | 4.46 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 130 | 76 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 4.87 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 106 | 2 | 156 | 649 | 100 | 64 | 15 | 2% | 1.5 | 15.5% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 3.47 | 4.28 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 136 | 3 | 200 | 834 | 129 | 82 | 19 | 2% | 1.5 | 15.5% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 3.47 | 4.28 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andy Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.14 | 11.7% | 9.1% | 2.7% | — | 4.85 | 15.2% | 6.3% | 203 | -0.29 | — | — | — |
| Troy Neiman R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.93 | 13.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .287 | 4.60 | 19.7% | 11.7% | 135 | -0.33 | 3.84 | 199 | 92 |
| Alejandro Barraza R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.10 | 13.2% | 8.3% | 1.9% | .291 | 4.48 | 13.1% | 4.7% | 93 | +0.38 | 3.36 | 174 | 91 |
| Mark Peterson R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.15 | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.5% | .277 | 4.72 | 15.9% | 5.6% | 112 | -0.43 | 4.62 | 185 | 91 |
| Robbie Aviles R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.77 | 11.5% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .343 | 3.62 | 12.2% | 6.5% | 58 | -1.15 | 3.62 | 172 | 90 |
| Angel Nesbitt R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.33 | 14.0% | 9.7% | 2.1% | .335 | 3.72 | 15.4% | 8.2% | 44 | -0.61 | 3.72 | 106 | 89 |
| Jordan Piche R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.41 | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 115 | 89 |
| Robert Coles R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 9.8% | 9.4% | 1.9% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 109 | 88 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.59 | 13.6% | 10.6% | 2.4% | .284 | 3.85 | 23.0% | 12.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.24 | 172 | 88 |
| David Reid-Foley R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.89 | 13.8% | 8.8% | 3.4% | .308 | 6.53 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 33 | +1.64 | 4.89 | 110 | 87 |
| Raul Fernandez R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.95 | 14.2% | 9.4% | 1.6% | .285 | 4.86 | 16.1% | 5.0% | 103 | +0.91 | 3.95 | 165 | 87 |
| Gabe Friese R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.69 | 10.3% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 115 | 86 |
| John Kuchno R 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.66 | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.0% | .247 | 5.21 | 10.2% | 1.6% | 84 | -0.45 | 2.43 | 162 | 86 |
| Jency Solis R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.82 | 116 | 86 |
| Pedro Echemendia R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.76 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .286 | 4.02 | 11.0% | 5.9% | 72 | -0.74 | 4.02 | 141 | 86 |
| David Berg R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.74 | 14.1% | 8.1% | 3.3% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.41 | 123 | 86 |
| Darin Gillies R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.20 | 15.0% | 10.8% | 1.8% | .270 | 5.19 | 22.5% | 12.9% | 124 | +0.99 | 4.20 | 295 | 86 |
| Starling Peralta R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.79 | 9.5% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .203 | 4.43 | 9.9% | -0.1% | 62 | -0.36 | 4.43 | 117 | 85 |
| Jesus Barraza R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.83 | 9.8% | 11.1% | 2.1% | .302 | 3.33 | 15.3% | 8.2% | 91 | -1.50 | 3.28 | 164 | 85 |
| Robert Kwiatkowski R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.28 | 9.6% | 7.9% | 1.8% | .277 | 4.38 | 16.2% | 6.7% | 164 | +0.10 | 4.01 | 254 | 85 |
| Parker Markel R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.69 | 13.6% | 12.3% | 2.1% | .313 | 3.16 | 15.9% | 6.2% | 61 | -1.53 | 3.16 | 266 | 85 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 14.3% | 9.0% | 1.07 | 4.94 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |