Daniel Gentile — OGILVIE

Daniel Gentile P DSL CLE Goryl

+0.0 WAR

Age 17 RHP 6'0" / 155 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.9 · 2034

ERA4.42

FIP4.42

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%22.3%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%12.4%

IP41

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.9peak

2034

K†5560

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	12	11	48	199	40	23	1	13.7%	14.4%	0.4%	2.81	4.02	+0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	17	MLB	—	41	—	41	172	38	17	5	22.3%	9.8%	2.9%	4.42	4.42	+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	18	MLB	—	43	—	43	181	41	17	5	22.8%	9.3%	2.8%	4.34	4.29	+0.3
2028	19	MLB	—	45	—	45	190	44	17	5	23.2%	9.0%	2.8%	4.24	4.18	+0.4
2029	20	MLB	—	47	—	47	199	47	17	5	23.6%	8.7%	2.7%	4.15	4.08	+0.5
2030	21	MLB	—	50	—	50	209	50	18	6	24.0%	8.5%	2.7%	4.06	3.99	+0.5
2031	22	MLB	—	52	—	52	220	55	18	6	24.9%	8.1%	2.6%	3.92	3.83	+0.7
2032	23	MLB	—	54	—	54	228	58	18	6	25.7%	7.8%	2.6%	3.79	3.71	+0.8
2033	24	MLB	—	55	—	55	233	61	18	6	26.2%	7.5%	2.5%	3.68	3.61	+0.8
2034	25	MLB	—	56	—	56	236	63	18	6	26.6%	7.4%	2.5%	3.61	3.56	+0.9
2035	26	MLB	—	56	—	56	236	63	17	6	26.8%	7.4%	2.5%	3.57	3.54	+0.9
2036	27	MLB	—	56	—	56	235	63	17	6	26.8%	7.4%	2.5%	3.56	3.55	+0.9
2037	28	MLB	—	55	—	55	231	62	17	6	26.7%	7.5%	2.6%	3.57	3.57	+0.9
2038	29	MLB	—	54	—	54	226	60	17	6	26.6%	7.5%	2.6%	3.60	3.62	+0.8
2039	30	MLB	—	52	—	52	220	58	17	6	26.4%	7.6%	2.7%	3.65	3.68	+0.7
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			12	11	48	199	27	29	1	13.7%	14.4%	0.4%	2.81	4.02	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—			50	46	200	829	113	121	4	13.7%	14.4%	0.4%	2.81	4.02	+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Gentile (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	22.3%	9.8%	2.9%	—	4.18	23.2%	14.2%	135	-0.24	—	—	—
Luis Victorino R 2028 · 4.27 FIP	19	SU	4.27	18.9%	12.8%	2.1%	.301	4.96	15.9%	-5.0%	84	+0.69	4.27	118	92
Luigi Hernandez R 2026 · 5.12 FIP	17	SU	5.12	17.1%	11.9%	3.6%	.301	4.82	19.5%	-2.5%	77	-0.30	4.30	109	90
Eccel Correa R 2029 · 4.34 FIP	20	SU	4.34	19.4%	11.9%	2.5%	.316	4.01	14.2%	3.6%	122	-0.33	3.99	157	90
Kevin Rodriguez R 2027 · 4.37 FIP	18	SU	4.37	17.4%	12.8%	2.0%	.279	4.12	16.7%	7.6%	41	-0.25	2.34	188	90
Alimber Santa R 2027 · 4.85 FIP	18	SU	4.85	17.0%	11.4%	3.2%	.304	5.09	20.9%	1.8%	125	+0.24	3.38	216	90
Yordin Chalas R 2028 · 4.60 FIP	19	SU	4.60	17.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.294	3.94	19.9%	7.8%	116	-0.66	3.68	140	89
Carlos Jimenez R 2026 · 4.07 FIP	17	SU	4.07	18.1%	12.6%	1.7%	.324	4.70	20.9%	5.2%	104	+0.63	4.07	257	89
Bryan Perez R 2026 · 4.20 FIP	17	SU	4.20	18.2%	9.5%	2.6%	.289	4.60	16.6%	5.2%	160	+0.40	4.20	193	89
Wilmy Sanchez R 2027 · 3.88 FIP	18	SU	3.88	23.0%	12.9%	2.0%	.316	4.21	21.5%	3.8%	148	+0.33	3.31	182	89
Harold Cortijo R 2027 · 4.46 FIP	18	SU	4.46	19.1%	9.8%	3.1%	.309	5.60	13.5%	2.2%	73	+1.14	4.15	179	88
Joel Garcia R 2028 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	18.4%	13.0%	1.9%	.341	3.91	16.7%	9.5%	72	-0.35	3.11	104	88
Alec Kisena R 2028 · 4.01 FIP	19	SU	4.01	17.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	248	88
Brandon Komar R 2029 · 4.74 FIP	20	SU	4.74	17.7%	11.6%	3.0%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.19	3.03	538	88
Rodolfo Sanchez R 2026 · 5.15 FIP	17	SU	5.15	16.5%	13.8%	3.1%	.271	3.59	16.5%	10.8%	66	-1.56	3.59	255	87
Luis Aguilar R 2028 · 4.49 FIP	19	SU	4.49	17.6%	10.3%	2.9%	.356	4.25	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.24	3.51	146	87
Mike Garcia R 2026 · 4.11 FIP	17	SU	4.11	17.7%	10.6%	2.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	125	87
Greiber Mendez R 2027 · 5.05 FIP	18	SU	5.05	15.7%	11.5%	3.3%	.330	4.81	16.7%	2.5%	152	-0.24	3.66	185	87
Keiner Leon R 2026 · 4.39 FIP	17	SU	4.39	18.8%	8.9%	3.2%	.307	5.07	17.3%	3.9%	95	+0.68	2.93	129	87
Bryan Rivera R 2026 · 5.20 FIP	17	SU	5.20	16.2%	12.6%	3.4%	.333	4.60	18.3%	2.8%	199	-0.60	3.90	223	86
Domingo Geronimo R 2026 · 3.77 FIP	17	SU	3.77	17.9%	10.5%	1.6%	.311	4.61	15.7%	5.4%	97	+0.84	2.96	120	86

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.8	$4M	+$3M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.8	$4M	+$3M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.9	$5M	+$4M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.9	$5M	+$3M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$17M	+$13M