Daniel Meza

SS DSL Rockies

Age 19 L/R 5'11" / 163 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKCOL	170	.229/.402/.244	0	7	40	—	.156/.296/.163
2026	18	ROKCOL	121	.202/.417/.214	0	6	38	—	.140/.304/.151
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBCOL	231	.188/.279/.243	1	4	53	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCOL	66	.203/.294/.279	1	1	59	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCOL	157	.209/.299/.295	2	3	64	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%96

BB%95

Whiff%52

Z-Con%47

wOBA44

wRC+42

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJuan Mosquera (age 19) · Michael De La Cruz (age 19) · Yohairo Cuevas (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 102 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .277 / .240

PA102

HR1

K%29

BB%10

ISO55

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	170	131	30	2	0	0	35	44	3	7	2	229	402	244	647	15	341	26	21	321	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	121	84	17	1	0	0	31	31	0	6	4	202	417	214	632	12	315	26	26	309	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	170	141	22	1	0	0	25	52	3	7	2	156	296	163	459	7	240	31	15	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	121	93	13	1	0	0	22	38	0	6	4	140	304	151	455	11	210	31	18	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	170	141	22	1	0	0	25	52	3	7	2	156	296	163	459	7	244	31	15	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	170	131	30	2	0	0	35	44	3	7	2	229	402	244	647	15	341	26	21	321	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	121	93	13	1	0	0	22	38	0	6	4	140	304	151	455	11	232	31	18	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	121	84	17	1	0	0	31	31	0	6	4	202	417	214	632	12	315	26	26	309	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	170	140	22	1	0	0	25	52	3	7	2	157	296	164	460	7	240	31	15	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	121	98	13	1	0	0	22	38	0	6	4	133	304	143	447	10	210	31	18	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	170	140	22	1	0	0	25	52	3	7	2	157	296	164	460	7	240	31	15	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	121	98	13	1	0	0	22	38	0	6	4	133	304	143	447	10	210	31	18	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	COL	0%	231	203	38	5	1	1	24	66	2	4	1	188	279	243	522	55	268	29	10	246	53	-13	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	COL	34%	191	167	33	4	1	2	20	54	2	4	1	194	285	260	545	66	271	28	10	255	59	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	COL	48%	325	286	58	8	2	4	33	90	3	6	2	199	290	275	564	76	273	28	10	263	64	-14	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	COL	54%	424	373	75	11	2	5	43	115	5	8	3	203	293	287	581	84	275	27	10	269	68	-16	+0	+0	+5	+9	-0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	COL	57%	489	431	88	13	2	7	50	132	5	9	3	207	296	298	594	91	277	27	10	274	71	-17	+1	+0	+5	+11	-0.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	COL	57%	532	467	99	14	3	9	54	142	6	10	3	210	298	307	605	97	278	27	10	278	74	-16	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	COL	57%	557	490	103	15	3	9	56	148	6	10	3	210	299	309	607	98	278	27	10	279	75	-17	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	COL	56%	571	502	106	15	3	10	58	152	6	11	3	210	299	310	608	99	278	27	10	279	75	-17	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.3
2035	27	MLB MLE	COL	55%	575	506	105	15	3	9	58	154	6	10	3	209	298	307	605	98	278	27	10	278	74	-18	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	COL	59%	573	504	105	15	3	9	58	155	6	10	3	208	296	302	599	95	277	27	10	275	72	-19	+1	-1	+6	+12	-0.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	COL	61%	564	497	102	15	3	8	57	154	5	9	4	205	293	296	590	91	276	27	10	272	70	-20	+0	-1	+6	+12	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	COL	34%	66	58	12	2	0	1	7	19	1	1	0	203	294	279	573	76	283	29	11	266	59	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	COL	48%	157	138	29	4	1	2	16	43	2	3	1	209	299	295	594	87	286	27	10	274	64	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	COL	54%	230	203	43	6	2	3	23	63	2	4	1	213	303	309	612	96	288	27	10	281	68	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	COL	57%	277	244	54	8	2	5	28	75	3	5	2	217	306	321	627	104	290	27	10	286	71	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	COL	57%	301	265	57	8	2	5	30	80	3	6	2	221	308	331	639	110	292	27	10	291	74	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	COL	57%	315	277	61	9	2	6	32	84	3	6	2	221	309	333	642	112	292	27	10	292	75	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	COL	56%	323	284	62	9	2	6	33	86	3	6	2	221	309	334	643	113	292	27	10	292	75	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	COL	55%	319	281	62	9	2	6	32	85	3	6	2	220	308	331	639	111	291	27	10	291	74	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	COL	59%	339	299	65	9	2	6	34	91	3	6	2	218	306	326	631	107	290	27	10	288	72	-11	+0	-0	+4	+7	-0.0
2037	29	MLB CTX	COL	61%	344	303	65	9	2	6	35	94	3	5	2	216	303	319	622	103	289	27	10	284	70	-12	+0	-1	+4	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2671	2352	510	73	17	46	270	720	26	48	16	217	304	321	625	104	290	27	10	287	69	-89	+3	-1	+29	+58	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	124	18	4	11	66	175	6	12	4	217	304	320	624	103	290	27	10	287	69	-22	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5194	4546	927	129	26	73	545	1415	54	102	34	204	297	292	589	88	277	27	10	271	69	-168	+7	-2	+53	+106	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	115	16	3	9	68	177	7	13	4	202	295	288	584	86	274	27	10	271	69	-22	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.2	2,771	41	50	207	293	299	+30	+18	1.5	1.6
/162	664	10	12	+7.1	+4.3	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Meza (OGILVIE)	19	30	20	50	60	186/277/240	54	268	1	2	29%	10%	53	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	37	35→30	49→55	47	176/246/232	56	244	2	15	27%	8%	38	-3.2	191/286/234	43	258	1	14	23%	11%	55	-2.0	192/299/217	25	248	0	17	20%	12%	55	-0.6
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	41	35→40	46→50	53	191/283/246	55	262	2	10	26%	11%	55	-1.9	187/254/251	64	288	3	9	33%	8%	45	-2.7	169/235/228	58	266	2	10	34%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	38	36→40	49→50	48	179/264/246	67	265	3	9	31%	10%	49	-2.4	191/274/274	83	295	5	14	33%	9%	59	-1.7	189/281/265	77	291	4	18	33%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	38	37→45	47→45	51	180/266/253	73	238	4	6	25%	10%	51	-2.2	200/296/287	87	250	6	8	20%	10%	70	-0.8	188/295/296	108	247	11	6	26%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Vladi Gomez 2024 · A	18	34	38→30	55→65	49	165/258/243	77	232	5	14	29%	10%	47	-2.6	177/267/241	64	248	3	28	27%	10%	49	-2.4	170/262/223	53	238	2	43	27%	10%	41	-1.0
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	35→41	36→45	48→40	50	170/265/234	64	247	4	3	30%	10%	47	-2.6	207/288/311	104	312	11	4	34%	10%	72	-0.7	205/285/317	112	311	13	2	36%	9%	70	-0.6
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕German Ortiz 2024 · A	19	39	34→30	51→45	50	182/271/231	49	265	1	6	29%	10%	48	-2.5	198/266/260	62	292	3	5	30%	8%	51	-2.2	191/252/252	60	284	3	3	31%	7%	41	-1.0
✕Dario Laverde 2024 · A	19	46→34	37→40	52→30	50	214/292/297	83	279	3	11	23%	9%	70	-0.9	207/268/284	77	295	4	4	29%	7%	57	-1.8	196/254/265	68	282	4	0	30%	6%	45	-1.6
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2024 · A	19	39	39→40	51→45	52	184/289/271	87	279	5	10	32%	12%	64	-1.3	183/279/280	97	312	6	8	38%	11%	62	-1.4	181/284/294	113	294	8	6	37%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Henry Pena 2010 · A	19	37	37→40	45	49	177/263/255	78	261	4	5	31%	10%	51	-2.3	198/271/294	96	333	7	6	39%	9%	61	-1.5	204/277/339	135	307	13	8	35%	8%	70	-0.1
✕Narciso Polanco 2024 · A	19	38→42	36→40	47→55	46	182/256/247	65	259	3	8	29%	8%	45	-2.7	193/266/277	84	267	6	17	27%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/281	89	260	6	21	27%	8%	54	-1.6
✕Nicoll Parra 2013 · A	19	39	34→30	48→55	61	178/305/231	53	239	1	16	23%	14%	63	-1.4	196/301/249	53	251	2	17	20%	11%	64	-1.3	167/318/192	26	207	0	34	16%	16%	58	-0.5
✕Robert Lopez 2023 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	42	172/250/235	63	266	3	6	34%	8%	40	-3.0	198/264/283	85	295	7	4	33%	8%	57	-1.8	188/259/268	80	276	7	3	32%	8%	48	-0.9
✕Cristhian Vasquez 2016 · A	19	34	36→30	51→50	44	167/239/232	64	246	4	10	32%	8%	35	-3.4	178/236/251	73	240	5	9	26%	6%	38	-3.2	162/218/231	69	210	4	8	24%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Freizer Pedron 2006 · A	19	40	37→30	46→55	41	195/250/265	70	268	5	12	28%	6%	47	-2.6	203/268/268	65	260	2	15	21%	7%	54	-2.0	203/274/262	60	249	1	23	17%	7%	53	-0.6
✕Elis Cuevas 2024 · A	19	41	37→40	51→65	45	195/270/275	80	270	3	14	27%	8%	57	-1.8	199/275/294	95	266	9	32	27%	7%	63	-1.3	188/268/283	95	252	12	43	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	41	37→45	51→45	45	196/255/276	80	259	4	6	25%	7%	51	-2.3	211/250/290	79	273	4	8	23%	5%	51	-2.2	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	38	35→30	48→50	47	182/254/242	60	245	3	12	26%	8%	43	-2.8	189/250/229	40	228	1	14	16%	7%	38	-3.2	191/256/205	14	227	0	12	15%	8%	33	-1.1
✕Ayendy Perez 2013 · A	19	42	34→30	48→60	51	196/282/251	55	252	1	12	21%	9%	57	-1.8	214/281/270	56	267	1	24	18%	8%	59	-1.7	224/286/275	51	279	0	33	18%	7%	59	-0.6

Daniel Meza

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps