Jhonger Ochoa

SS DSL Tigers 1

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 187 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Tigers 1	164	.248/.383/.301	0	14	27	—	.144/.265/.173
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBDET	274	.195/.273/.260	1	6	54	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBDET	43	.197/.275/.268	0	1	59	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBDET	134	.201/.280/.280	1	3	63	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Z-Con%68

Speed61

Chase%57

Whiff%52

wOBA51

K%38

CompsEsteban Mejia (age 19) · Luis Andujar (age 19) · Jesus Castillo (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 77 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .270 / .257

PA77

HR0

K%28

BB%7

ISO64

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	164	133	33	7	0	0	18	39	11	14	4	248	383	301	683	53	344	24	11	324	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	164	139	20	4	0	0	12	48	11	14	4	144	265	173	438	29	211	29	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	164	139	20	4	0	0	12	48	11	14	4	144	265	173	438	29	215	29	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	164	133	33	7	0	0	18	39	11	14	4	248	383	301	683	53	344	24	11	324	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	164	140	20	4	0	0	12	48	11	14	4	143	265	171	437	29	211	29	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	164	140	20	4	0	0	12	48	11	14	4	143	265	171	437	29	211	29	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	DET	0%	274	246	47	8	1	1	20	76	6	6	1	195	273	260	532	64	273	28	7	248	54	-15	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	DET	34%	125	112	23	4	1	1	9	34	3	3	1	200	278	273	552	73	276	27	7	255	59	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	DET	48%	276	247	50	9	1	3	20	75	7	7	1	204	283	285	568	81	278	27	7	262	63	-12	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	DET	54%	390	349	73	13	2	5	29	104	9	10	2	208	286	296	582	88	279	27	7	268	67	-15	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	DET	57%	468	419	88	16	2	6	35	124	11	12	2	211	289	305	594	94	281	26	7	272	70	-17	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	DET	57%	519	463	100	18	3	8	40	136	11	13	3	214	292	313	605	99	282	26	8	276	73	-17	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	DET	57%	551	492	106	19	3	8	42	144	12	14	3	214	292	314	606	100	282	26	8	277	74	-17	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	DET	56%	568	508	109	19	3	9	43	148	12	14	3	214	292	315	607	101	282	26	8	277	74	-18	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	DET	55%	575	514	110	19	3	9	44	151	12	14	3	213	291	312	604	99	282	26	8	276	73	-19	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	DET	55%	575	514	109	19	3	8	44	152	12	13	3	212	289	308	597	96	281	26	8	273	71	-20	+1	-1	+6	+12	-0.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	DET	58%	567	507	107	19	3	8	43	152	12	12	3	209	287	302	589	93	280	27	8	270	69	-21	+1	-1	+6	+12	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	DET	34%	43	39	7	1	0	0	3	12	1	1	0	197	275	268	544	71	272	28	7	252	59	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	DET	48%	134	120	24	4	1	1	10	36	3	3	1	201	280	280	559	79	273	27	7	259	63	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	DET	54%	212	189	38	7	1	2	16	57	5	5	1	205	283	290	573	85	275	27	8	264	67	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	DET	57%	265	237	49	9	1	3	20	70	6	7	1	208	286	299	585	91	277	26	8	268	70	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	DET	57%	293	263	56	10	2	4	22	77	6	7	1	210	289	306	595	96	278	26	8	272	73	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	DET	57%	311	277	58	10	2	4	24	81	7	8	2	211	289	308	596	97	278	26	8	273	74	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	DET	56%	321	286	62	11	2	5	25	84	7	8	2	211	289	308	597	97	278	26	8	273	74	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	DET	55%	319	285	61	11	2	5	24	84	7	8	2	210	288	306	594	96	277	26	8	272	73	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	DET	55%	316	282	59	10	2	4	24	84	7	7	2	208	286	301	588	93	277	27	8	269	71	-11	+1	-0	+3	+7	-0.0
2037	29	MLB CTX	DET	58%	329	294	61	11	2	4	25	88	7	7	2	206	284	296	579	90	275	27	8	266	69	-12	+1	-1	+4	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2543	2272	475	84	15	32	193	673	56	61	14	209	287	301	589	92	280	26	8	269	69	-88	+7	-1	+27	+55	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	121	21	4	8	49	172	14	16	4	208	286	299	585	91	279	26	8	269	69	-23	+2	-0	+7	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4855	4333	907	161	24	65	367	1289	114	128	28	209	288	303	591	93	280	27	8	270	69	-165	+13	-2	+50	+102	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	122	22	3	9	49	173	15	17	4	210	288	305	594	95	282	27	8	270	69	-23	+2	-0	+7	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#4Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.9	2,619	36	62	212	287	307	+28	+18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	9	16	+7.1	+4.6	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhonger Ochoa (OGILVIE)	19	35	20	60	40	194/270/257	64	273	0	2	28%	7%	54	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Esteban Mejia 2024 · A	19	39	36→40	55→50	41	188/242/257	68	263	3	15	28%	6%	41	-3.0	199/263/280	81	297	6	14	32%	7%	55	-1.9	196/265/273	77	287	7	15	32%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	40	36→30	53→50	41	189/245/254	65	270	3	9	30%	6%	42	-2.9	201/270/270	69	272	3	10	25%	8%	55	-1.9	192/273/252	60	253	1	12	22%	9%	53	-0.9
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	40→43	34→30	51→50	45	189/256/237	48	251	2	16	24%	7%	42	-2.9	211/305/254	43	285	1	19	23%	10%	66	-1.1	200/318/229	29	278	1	24	24%	13%	64	-0.5
✕Heiker Meneses 2010 · A	19	35→45	34→40	56→55	47	166/264/218	52	252	2	18	31%	9%	43	-2.8	207/263/280	73	304	4	18	31%	5%	55	-2.0	236/284/314	78	342	3	18	30%	4%	66	-0.8
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	39	37→40	54→50	46	185/258/260	75	249	3	18	26%	8%	49	-2.4	204/270/286	82	298	5	9	31%	7%	59	-1.7	199/271/269	69	303	4	7	33%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→44	38→30	53→60	41	204/261/287	83	286	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	223/282/290	67	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	230/324/274	45	312	0	26	23%	11%	74	-0.3
✕Félix Amparo 2024 · A	18	39	34→30	54→55	38	186/235/239	53	245	2	14	24%	4%	34	-3.5	200/260/271	71	244	5	20	19%	5%	52	-2.2	204/270/265	61	251	5	26	19%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2015 · A	20	42	36→40	54→60	43	195/260/262	67	275	2	19	28%	7%	49	-2.4	203/255/272	69	317	3	11	34%	6%	50	-2.3	184/229/215	32	332	0	4	42%	5%	23	-1.0
✕Fernando Kelli 2017 · A	19	41	34→30	50→65	41	191/254/234	43	274	2	22	29%	6%	41	-3.0	204/288/270	66	270	3	31	24%	8%	63	-1.3	194/297/258	65	249	3	51	21%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Braulio Vasquez 2018 · A	19	47	34→40	52→65	44	215/281/268	53	304	1	15	28%	7%	59	-1.7	198/257/271	73	304	5	8	34%	6%	51	-2.3	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Alexander Benua 2023 · A	19	39	35→40	54→55	41	182/256/244	62	268	2	19	31%	6%	45	-2.7	193/260/277	84	296	6	14	34%	6%	53	-2.1	183/250/274	91	292	7	12	37%	7%	49	-0.9
✕Franklin Torres 2016 · A	19	45→41	34→40	52→50	43	207/265/260	53	282	1	12	26%	6%	51	-2.3	211/260/284	73	273	5	8	23%	6%	54	-2.0	215/266/298	84	270	7	7	22%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Ryan Burrowes 2024 · A	19	40→45	36→40	52→60	40	188/258/259	71	285	3	14	33%	6%	49	-2.4	197/264/267	70	320	5	25	37%	7%	53	-2.1	200/271/277	77	308	7	32	35%	7%	56	-1.4
✕Jesus Hernandez 2023 · A	19	42	35→40	52→55	50	200/266/258	58	248	3	15	20%	8%	51	-2.3	194/274/273	79	271	5	15	28%	10%	58	-1.7	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2016 · A	19	40	36→40	52→60	42	182/257/247	65	301	3	18	37%	8%	46	-2.6	181/250/258	77	274	5	14	33%	8%	45	-2.7	159/233/232	73	231	6	16	31%	8%	32	-1.2
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	37	37→40	52→55	39	182/236/252	70	264	4	14	31%	6%	38	-3.2	194/241/254	60	283	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.1	183/218/203	20	254	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.3
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	38	35→30	48→50	47	182/254/242	60	245	3	12	26%	8%	43	-2.8	189/250/229	40	228	1	14	16%	7%	38	-3.2	191/256/205	14	227	0	12	15%	8%	33	-1.1
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	37	35→30	49→55	47	176/246/232	56	244	2	15	27%	8%	38	-3.2	191/286/234	43	258	1	14	23%	11%	55	-2.0	192/299/217	25	248	0	17	20%	12%	55	-0.6
✕Demetrio Nadal 2023 · A	19	40	35→30	55	49	187/276/246	60	239	2	17	21%	8%	53	-2.1	198/294/272	74	252	4	25	21%	9%	66	-1.1	181/288/252	71	236	5	32	23%	10%	59	-0.6

Jhonger Ochoa

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps