Saivel Zayas — OGILVIE

Saivel ZayasOF DSL Rangers Blue

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION239 act + 22 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .273 / .250

PA22

HR0

K%27

BB%5

BABIP280

ISO50

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	210	182	43	9	1	2	19	49	6	14	5	236	329	330	658	93	306	23	9	300	89	-3	+1	—	—	+5	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	210	190	31	5	1	1	11	70	6	14	5	163	232	216	448	53	236	33	5	202	23	-19	+1	—	—	+5	-1.4
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	210	190	31	5	1	1	11	70	6	14	5	163	232	216	448	53	246	33	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	—	210	182	43	9	1	2	19	49	6	14	5	236	329	330	658	93	306	23	9	300	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	210	191	31	5	1	1	11	70	6	14	5	162	232	215	447	52	236	33	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	210	191	31	5	1	1	11	70	6	14	5	162	232	215	447	52	236	33	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	TEX	—	239	206	44	11	1	6	17	75	10	10	6	214	305	364	669	150	290	31	7	289	82	-5	-0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	TEX	—	239	195	60	17	1	8	28	52	10	10	6	308	421	528	949	221	369	22	12	409	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	TEX	0%	22	20	4	1	0	0	1	6	1	1	0	200	273	250	523	50	278	27	5	270	69	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	TEX	—	261	226	48	12	1	6	18	81	11	11	6	212	302	354	656	142	290	31	7	287	81	-6	-0	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	292	264	56	12	1	6	20	79	6	6	2	212	283	333	616	121	279	27	7	279	75	-9	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
2028	20	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	408	367	80	17	2	8	29	108	9	9	3	218	291	341	632	123	282	26	7	287	80	-10	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	494	444	97	20	2	11	36	128	11	10	4	218	293	347	640	128	283	26	7	292	84	-10	+0	+0	-3	+11	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	555	497	112	23	3	13	41	142	12	12	5	225	300	362	662	137	284	26	7	296	86	-9	+0	+0	-3	+12	0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	TEX	58%	595	533	120	25	3	14	44	152	13	13	5	225	300	362	662	137	285	26	7	298	88	-9	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	620	555	126	26	3	15	46	158	14	13	5	227	302	366	668	139	286	25	7	299	89	-8	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	TEX	61%	630	564	127	26	3	15	47	160	14	14	6	225	301	362	663	137	286	25	7	300	89	-8	+0	+0	-4	+14	0.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	TEX	63%	636	569	130	27	3	16	48	161	14	14	6	228	304	371	675	142	286	25	8	301	90	-8	+0	+0	-4	+14	0.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	TEX	64%	635	568	128	26	3	16	48	161	14	14	6	225	302	366	668	141	285	25	8	301	90	-8	+0	+0	-4	+14	0.3
2036	28	MLB MLE	TEX	65%	630	562	126	26	3	15	49	161	14	13	5	224	302	361	664	137	285	26	8	300	89	-8	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	TEX	65%	620	553	124	25	3	15	48	160	14	13	5	224	302	362	664	137	284	26	8	298	88	-9	+1	-1	-4	+13	-0.0
2038	30	MLB MLE	TEX	65%	609	544	121	25	3	14	47	158	13	12	5	222	300	357	656	134	283	26	8	295	86	-10	+0	-2	-4	+13	-0.3
2027	19	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	100	91	19	4	0	2	7	27	2	2	1	209	280	319	599	110	281	27	7	267	75	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	198	178	39	8	1	4	14	52	4	4	2	219	291	343	634	124	284	26	7	275	80	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	268	241	53	11	1	6	19	70	6	6	2	220	293	349	642	129	286	26	7	280	84	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	314	281	64	13	2	8	23	81	7	7	3	228	302	374	676	146	287	26	7	284	86	-5	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	TEX	58%	343	308	70	14	2	9	25	87	7	7	3	227	300	373	673	146	287	25	7	286	88	-5	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	353	316	73	15	2	9	26	90	8	8	3	231	306	377	682	146	288	25	7	288	89	-5	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	TEX	61%	382	342	79	16	2	10	29	97	8	8	3	231	306	377	683	146	288	25	8	289	89	-5	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	TEX	63%	398	356	83	17	2	11	30	101	9	9	3	233	309	385	694	152	288	25	8	289	90	-5	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2035	27	MLB CTX	TEX	64%	403	360	83	17	2	11	31	102	9	9	4	231	307	381	688	150	288	25	8	289	90	-5	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	TEX	65%	410	366	84	17	2	11	32	105	9	9	3	230	307	377	684	148	287	26	8	288	89	-5	+1	-0	-2	+9	0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	TEX	65%	403	360	82	17	2	10	31	104	9	8	3	228	305	369	674	142	286	26	8	286	88	-6	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.0
2038	30	MLB CTX	TEX	65%	396	353	80	16	2	10	31	103	9	8	3	227	305	368	674	142	285	26	8	283	86	-7	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3968	3552	809	165	20	101	298	1019	87	85	33	228	303	371	674	143	289	26	8	286	85	-61	+4	-3	-24	+86	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	133	27	3	17	49	167	14	14	5	229	304	373	677	144	289	26	8	286	85	-10	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6956	6230	1382	284	33	159	515	1804	155	158	62	222	297	355	652	133	284	26	7	294	85	-106	+6	-4	-40	+146	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	130	27	3	15	48	169	14	15	6	223	298	357	655	134	287	26	7	294	85	-10	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	6.3	4,168	96	88	224	296	359	-25	+0	2.5	2.5
/162	664	15	14	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Saivel Zayas (OGILVIE)	18	35	25	55	30	205/276/313	108	278	3	6	28%	6%	69	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2007 · A	18	40	38→30	54→45	37	197/239/278	81	273	6	11	30%	4%	45	-2.7	217/280/275	58	274	3	9	20%	6%	60	-1.6	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Olivber Moreno 2019 · A	18	40	36→40	52→50	41	192/248/253	61	272	3	13	29%	6%	43	-2.8	198/268/274	76	279	6	11	29%	7%	56	-1.9	203/284/283	80	254	7	13	21%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	43	-2.8	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	58	-1.7	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	68	-1.0	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	74	-0.2
✕Randy Romero 2019 · A	19	43	36→40	50→60	45	203/252/272	69	247	3	12	19%	6%	49	-2.4	229/271/302	73	269	3	22	15%	5%	61	-1.5	223/260/286	62	276	2	30	19%	4%	54	-0.6
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2008 · A	18	40	37→40	45→55	39	190/264/262	72	298	5	8	36%	7%	52	-2.2	202/281/278	76	301	6	15	32%	8%	62	-1.4	192/271/258	67	293	7	17	34%	8%	52	-0.7
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→35	37→40	43→50	40	196/257/268	72	295	4	10	33%	6%	50	-2.3	186/284/265	79	353	5	9	43%	10%	61	-1.5	159/271/236	77	335	5	7	47%	10%	49	-1.0
✕Marco Soto 2022 · A	18	41	36→30	52→50	42	194/263/258	64	277	3	10	29%	6%	51	-2.3	201/256/257	56	270	2	8	25%	5%	47	-2.5	183/237/221	38	251	1	8	26%	5%	30	-0.9
✕Jose Paez 2012 · A	18	36	36→45	51→50	41	173/241/239	66	265	4	16	34%	7%	38	-3.2	220/268/311	91	310	5	12	29%	5%	63	-1.4	226/270/319	93	319	4	12	29%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Albert Hernandez 2008 · A	19	43	39→40	49→45	46	207/270/299	92	260	6	7	22%	7%	62	-1.4	226/286/317	91	285	6	7	22%	6%	72	-0.7	230/289/314	84	291	6	6	22%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Juan Baez 2023 · A	18	43→38	36→40	49→50	44	203/250/268	65	252	4	15	21%	5%	47	-2.6	226/269/306	80	268	4	13	16%	5%	62	-1.4	217/267/283	66	254	2	11	15%	6%	55	-1.2
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→45	52→55	46	204/259/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	53	-2.1	228/282/303	75	268	3	15	15%	6%	67	-1.1	286/329/371	85	315	6	22	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Ryan Vega 2016 · A	19	40	35→40	52→45	41	190/245/253	62	253	3	9	25%	5%	42	-2.9	221/274/312	91	286	8	7	24%	6%	66	-1.1	200/263/287	87	275	8	6	29%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Manuel Falcon 2008 · A	18	43	35→30	49→50	41	200/260/254	54	286	2	8	29%	6%	48	-2.5	227/283/274	47	287	1	10	20%	6%	61	-1.5	240/298/272	32	295	0	11	17%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Daniel Padilla 2015 · A	18	44	35→30	50→55	43	206/259/267	61	274	2	12	24%	6%	50	-2.3	221/284/282	61	298	3	16	25%	7%	63	-1.4	233/300/281	48	310	2	23	24%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Maximo Rivera 2011 · A	18	40	35→45	46→60	39	188/247/243	55	285	3	9	33%	6%	40	-3.0	208/263/297	89	272	9	19	26%	6%	59	-1.7	235/283/299	64	303	5	24	23%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Jorge Caballero 2018 · A	18	44	37→40	49→45	47	210/286/284	74	263	4	10	21%	7%	65	-1.2	216/286/282	66	325	3	7	31%	8%	64	-1.3	226/304/293	67	365	5	5	36%	9%	71	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps