Oliver Guerrero

OF DSL Rangers Blue

Age 19 L/R 6'3" / 200 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Rangers R…	195	.245/.381/.409	7	4	38	—	.155/.268/.226
2026	18	ROKDSL Rangers B…	195	.217/.411/.462	9	1	55	—	.129/.289/.258
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBTEX	305	.197/.281/.291	4	4	64	-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBTEX	85	.203/.287/.307	1	1	69	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO92

BB%85

Chase%82

wOBA69

wRC+64

K%29

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsLuis Castillo (age 19) · Iverson Leonardo (age 19) · Edwin Sanchez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 165 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .279 / .288

PA165

HR2

K%28

BB%9

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	195	159	39	1	2	7	30	43	5	4	0	245	381	409	790	164	291	22	15	359	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	195	143	31	8	0	9	41	51	6	1	1	217	411	462	872	245	250	26	21	383	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	195	168	26	1	1	3	21	52	5	4	0	155	268	226	494	71	195	27	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	195	155	20	5	0	5	29	62	6	1	1	129	289	258	548	129	149	32	15	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	195	168	26	1	1	3	21	52	5	4	0	155	268	226	494	71	202	27	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	—	195	159	39	1	2	7	30	43	5	4	0	245	381	409	790	164	291	22	15	359	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	195	155	20	5	0	5	29	62	6	1	1	129	289	258	548	129	161	32	15	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	195	143	31	8	0	9	41	51	6	1	1	217	411	462	872	245	250	26	21	383	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	195	167	26	1	1	3	21	52	5	4	0	156	268	228	496	72	195	27	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	195	158	20	5	0	5	29	62	6	1	1	127	289	253	543	127	149	32	15	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	195	167	26	1	1	3	21	52	5	4	0	156	268	228	496	72	195	27	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	195	158	20	5	0	5	29	62	6	1	1	127	289	253	543	127	149	32	15	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	305	270	53	8	2	4	28	87	4	4	1	197	281	291	572	93	269	29	9	263	64	-13	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	246	219	45	7	2	4	22	69	3	4	2	202	286	303	590	101	272	28	9	270	69	-9	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	85	76	15	2	1	1	8	24	1	1	1	203	287	307	594	104	272	28	9	272	69	-3	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	85	76	15	2	1	1	8	24	1	1	1	197	282	289	572	92	275	28	9	272	57	-3	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	115	15	8	8	61	184	8	8	8	198	283	293	576	95	275	28	9	272	57	-24	-2	+0	-4	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	801	689	120	18	4	14	87	230	16	11	4	174	282	273	554	99	234	29	11	252	57	-16	+0	+0	-2	+9	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	559	97	15	3	11	71	187	13	9	3	174	281	270	552	97	234	29	11	252	57	-25	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
#6Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	250	4	3	200	281	296	-1	+0	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	10	9	-4.0	+0.0	-1.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Oliver Guerrero (OGILVIE)	19	35	40	45	55	195/279/288	93	269	2	2	28%	9%	64	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Castillo 2023 · A	19	43→36	39→50	47→40	44	207/268/293	86	280	7	7	28%	7%	59	-1.6	186/256/287	101	276	10	4	34%	8%	55	-2.0	164/248/298	134	222	17	2	33%	10%	54	-1.2
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	42	38→45	46→50	48	198/278/293	95	270	4	9	26%	8%	64	-1.3	187/263/295	108	293	10	8	37%	8%	59	-1.6	153/242/259	106	250	10	8	40%	8%	42	-0.7
✕Edwin Sanchez 2024 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	53	179/286/263	84	239	7	8	26%	11%	62	-1.4	187/321/279	92	246	7	9	24%	13%	80	-0.2	153/326/245	92	196	8	11	22%	16%	76	-0.1
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	40	38→40	49→50	45	192/259/276	85	264	5	8	28%	8%	53	-2.1	181/236/251	70	267	4	6	32%	6%	38	-3.2	148/203/199	52	218	3	3	32%	5%	12	-1.4
✕Henry Pena 2010 · A	19	37	37→40	45	49	177/263/255	78	261	4	5	31%	10%	51	-2.3	198/271/294	96	333	7	6	39%	9%	61	-1.5	204/277/339	135	307	13	8	35%	8%	70	-0.1
✕Jose Augusto Figueroa 2012 · A	19	40	38→40	44→45	45	188/266/270	82	276	4	6	31%	8%	55	-2.0	207/268/294	87	267	4	10	23%	7%	59	-1.6	240/273/329	88	342	5	9	30%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Jose Quero 2018 · A	19	41	40	43→30	45	199/262/282	82	254	8	3	24%	7%	55	-1.9	192/251/289	97	247	9	5	25%	7%	53	-2.1	193/245/339	146	221	15	4	21%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Yeicok Calderon 2011 · A	19	43	39→40	49→45	51	207/290/296	88	267	6	7	24%	10%	70	-0.9	185/242/299	114	287	11	6	37%	7%	51	-2.2	179/226/296	117	283	14	3	41%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Ricardo Burgos 2006 · A	19	42	37→40	48→40	51	197/283/270	73	274	5	9	28%	10%	61	-1.5	201/292/304	103	274	9	5	27%	11%	72	-0.7	185/288/299	114	245	11	3	27%	12%	68	-0.3
✕Willian Berti 2024 · A	18	39	36→40	45→40	51	184/277/252	68	253	4	5	27%	10%	55	-1.9	174/276/249	75	247	5	5	28%	11%	55	-2.0	136/272/212	76	189	5	4	28%	14%	45	-0.7
✕Thomas Sosa 2024 · A	19	40→41	41→45	45→50	41	195/259/294	99	280	8	6	32%	7%	57	-1.8	193/256/294	101	293	9	13	35%	7%	56	-1.9	187/250/295	108	276	11	12	35%	7%	51	-1.4
✕Guillermo Williamson 2023 · A	19	36	40→45	46→30	44	176/254/269	93	267	7	5	35%	9%	50	-2.3	190/273/308	118	316	13	3	40%	9%	66	-1.1	177/264/302	125	302	16	1	43%	9%	59	-0.8
✕Jose Pirela 2024 · A	18	39→35	38→45	48→50	47	185/272/266	81	257	4	10	28%	8%	57	-1.8	168/242/269	101	276	9	9	40%	6%	46	-2.6	157/231/267	110	255	11	11	41%	6%	39	-1.7
✕Samuel Zavala 2023 · A	19	42→44	45	48→50	46	206/278/339	133	281	12	10	30%	9%	74	-0.5	193/287/305	112	289	11	12	34%	11%	71	-0.8	193/290/301	108	265	12	12	29%	11%	68	-0.8
✕Albert Fabian 2021 · A	19	41→45	38→50	47→45	47	195/270/276	81	266	4	7	27%	8%	57	-1.8	193/253/309	116	288	12	5	35%	7%	59	-1.7	217/272/336	119	265	13	9	23%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	41	39→45	45	46	193/272/285	92	247	5	6	23%	7%	61	-1.5	191/250/292	101	251	8	6	26%	5%	53	-2.1	133/176/243	110	158	14	3	27%	3%	13	-1.3
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2024 · A	19	40→43	40→45	50→60	54	191/279/282	92	228	7	12	19%	10%	62	-1.4	201/284/307	106	276	10	23	29%	9%	70	-0.8	195/276/301	106	276	11	32	31%	9%	63	-0.9
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	38	37→45	47→45	51	180/266/253	73	238	4	6	25%	10%	51	-2.2	200/296/287	87	250	6	8	20%	10%	70	-0.8	188/295/296	108	247	11	6	26%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Cam Collier 2024 · A	19	46→44	40→45	47→40	46	215/292/308	93	309	8	5	31%	9%	72	-0.7	214/289/325	111	309	11	3	32%	9%	76	-0.4	204/279/320	116	291	12	1	32%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	38	36→40	49→50	48	179/264/246	67	265	3	9	31%	10%	49	-2.4	191/274/274	83	295	5	14	33%	9%	59	-1.7	189/281/265	77	291	4	18	33%	10%	58	-1.0

Oliver Guerrero

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps