Diustin Mayorquin

Diustin Mayorquin P ACL Brewers

Age 18 RHP 5'11" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.2 · 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 28 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.14

FIP4.14

K%18.1%

BB%4.9%

K-BB%13.2%

ROS IP28

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$47M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†4560

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$9M		$22M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	11	5	48	191	49	7	0	45%	4.3	17.4%	4.6%	12.9%	0.0%	2.45	2.21	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	11	5	48	191	49	7	0	45%	4.3	17.4%	4.6%	12.9%	0.0%	2.45	2.21	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Blue	11	5	48	191	49	7	0	45%	4.3	25.7%	3.7%	22.0%	0.0%	2.45	1.48	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	19	6	69	292	66	25	9	32%	3.6	15.9%	10.3%	5.6%	4.2%	5.22	5.36	—
YTD	18	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	19	6	69	292	66	25	9	32%	3.6	15.9%	10.3%	5.6%	4.2%	5.22	5.36	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	MIL	10	2	35	148	40	10	5	20%	3.5	27.0%	6.8%	20.3%	3.4%	4.93	3.53	—
2026	18	A RAW	MIL	9	4	34	144	26	15	4	44%	3.8	18.1%	10.4%	7.6%	2.8%	5.50	4.42	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIL	68	0	71	300	57	15	8	0%	1.0	19.0%	5.1%	13.9%	2.8%	4.10	4.06	+0.4
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIL	71	0	74	315	62	16	9	0%	1.0	19.7%	5.2%	14.5%	2.8%	4.04	3.99	+0.5
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIL	74	0	78	330	67	17	9	0%	1.1	20.3%	5.2%	15.1%	2.7%	3.97	3.91	+0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIL	78	0	82	347	74	17	9	0%	1.1	21.3%	4.9%	16.3%	2.7%	3.85	3.76	+0.8
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIL	81	0	85	360	79	17	9	0%	1.1	22.0%	4.6%	17.4%	2.6%	3.72	3.64	+0.9
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIL	83	0	87	369	83	16	10	0%	1.1	22.6%	4.4%	18.1%	2.6%	3.62	3.55	+1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIL	84	0	88	373	86	16	10	0%	1.1	22.9%	4.3%	18.7%	2.6%	3.54	3.49	+1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIL	84	0	88	373	86	16	10	0%	1.1	23.1%	4.2%	18.9%	2.6%	3.50	3.47	+1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIL	83	0	87	368	85	16	10	0%	1.0	23.1%	4.3%	18.8%	2.6%	3.50	3.51	+1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIL	80	0	84	357	82	16	10	0%	1.1	23.0%	4.5%	18.5%	2.7%	3.55	3.59	+1.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIL	77	0	81	341	78	16	10	0%	1.0	22.8%	4.7%	18.1%	2.9%	3.65	3.72	+0.8
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIL	72	0	76	320	78	13	10	0%	1.1	24.4%	4.2%	20.2%	3.1%	3.64	3.63	+0.8
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIL	67	0	71	299	72	14	10	0%	1.1	24.0%	4.5%	19.5%	3.3%	3.75	3.83	+0.6
2027	19	MLB CTX	MIL	33	0	35	148	28	8	4	0%	1.1	19.0%	5.1%	13.9%	2.9%	4.18	4.14	+0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIL	51	0	54	228	45	12	7	0%	1.1	19.7%	5.2%	14.5%	2.9%	4.12	4.07	+0.4
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIL	63	0	66	279	57	15	8	0%	1.0	20.3%	5.2%	15.1%	2.8%	4.04	3.98	+0.5
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIL	70	0	74	312	66	15	9	0%	1.1	21.3%	4.9%	16.3%	2.8%	3.92	3.83	+0.7
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIL	75	0	79	334	73	15	9	0%	1.1	22.0%	4.6%	17.4%	2.7%	3.79	3.71	+0.9
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIL	78	0	82	346	78	15	9	0%	1.1	22.6%	4.4%	18.1%	2.7%	3.69	3.62	+1.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIL	80	0	84	355	81	15	10	0%	1.1	22.9%	4.3%	18.7%	2.7%	3.61	3.56	+1.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIL	80	0	84	355	82	15	10	0%	1.1	23.1%	4.2%	18.9%	2.7%	3.57	3.54	+1.1
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIL	79	0	83	350	81	15	10	0%	1.1	23.1%	4.3%	18.8%	2.7%	3.57	3.58	+1.1
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIL	76	0	80	338	78	15	10	0%	1.1	23.0%	4.5%	18.5%	2.8%	3.62	3.66	+0.9
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIL	73	0	77	325	74	15	10	0%	1.1	22.8%	4.7%	18.1%	3.0%	3.73	3.80	+0.8
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIL	69	0	72	304	74	13	10	0%	1.0	24.4%	4.2%	20.2%	3.2%	3.72	3.71	+0.8
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIL	64	0	67	283	68	13	10	0%	1.0	24.0%	4.5%	19.5%	3.5%	3.84	3.92	+0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		892	0	936	3954	885	181	114	0%	1.0	22.4%	4.6%	17.8%	2.9%	3.77	3.37	+13.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	39	24	0%	1.1	22.4%	4.6%	17.8%	2.9%	3.77	3.37	+2.8
Career	—	MLE		30	11	117	483	80	39	12	37%	3.9	16.5%	8.1%	8.4%	2.5%	4.09	4.11	+10.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	19	200	828	137	67	21	37%	3.9	16.5%	8.1%	8.4%	2.5%	4.09	4.11	+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Diustin Mayorquin (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.14	18.1%	4.9%	2.8%	—	3.98	19.7%	14.5%	224	-0.16	—	—	—
Jose Romero R 2023 · 3.24 FIP	19	SW	3.24	21.7%	5.2%	2.4%	.267	4.37	13.6%	5.6%	193	+1.13	3.24	235	86
Tzu-Chen Sha R 2023 · 4.29 FIP	19	SP-	4.29	16.4%	4.3%	3.7%	.335	5.24	13.6%	5.5%	257	+0.95	4.21	309	84
Angel Jimenez R 2022 · 3.24 FIP	19	SP-	3.24	20.2%	5.5%	2.1%	.257	3.41	21.3%	12.4%	99	+0.17	3.24	223	82
Scooter Hightower R 2015 · 3.23 FIP	21	SW	3.23	18.7%	4.4%	2.1%	.304	2.86	19.6%	14.6%	68	-0.37	2.86	160	82
Efrain Contreras R 2018 · 3.51 FIP	18	SP-	3.51	19.2%	6.1%	2.3%	.275	4.12	19.7%	11.4%	110	+0.61	3.51	383	82
Andrew Sopko R 2015 · 3.76 FIP	20	SP-	3.76	17.4%	4.1%	2.9%	.282	3.97	16.6%	8.8%	353	+0.21	3.62	479	81
Zack Brown R 2016 · 3.55 FIP	21	SW	3.55	15.2%	3.3%	2.4%	.248	4.15	17.5%	7.7%	352	+0.60	3.46	490	80
Geno Encina R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	21	SW	4.22	16.5%	6.8%	3.0%	.325	7.09	12.0%	2.3%	76	+2.87	4.22	200	80
Albert Rivas R 2022 · 3.33 FIP	19	SW	3.33	16.0%	6.5%	1.4%	.343	4.06	16.1%	6.2%	105	+0.73	3.32	148	80
Alfredi Jimenez R 2018 · 3.09 FIP	18	SW	3.09	20.2%	7.7%	1.3%	.246	4.35	19.3%	12.6%	112	+1.26	3.09	187	80
Anderson Reynoso R 2016 · 4.06 FIP	18	SW	4.06	14.8%	7.3%	2.3%	.308	4.43	13.0%	5.2%	68	+0.37	3.56	122	79
Darel Torres R 2017 · 3.24 FIP	18	SW	3.24	12.7%	3.2%	1.5%	.280	2.79	19.1%	8.8%	57	-0.45	2.65	107	79
Jose Rodulfo R 2019 · 3.89 FIP	18	SW	3.89	13.3%	4.8%	2.4%	.356	5.83	14.2%	0.8%	36	+1.94	2.85	208	79
Joshua Cornielly R 2019 · 3.47 FIP	18	SW	3.47	17.5%	5.6%	2.1%	.377	6.01	18.2%	5.1%	47	+2.54	2.75	280	79
Miguel De Jesus R 2015 · 3.08 FIP	19	SW	3.08	15.7%	5.5%	1.1%	.331	4.33	15.0%	3.8%	53	+1.25	3.08	112	79
Jose Zacarias R 2015 · 3.80 FIP	18	SP-	3.80	16.1%	4.7%	2.6%	.342	3.73	9.7%	1.1%	54	-0.07	3.73	104	79
Roger Rodriguez R 2019 · 3.46 FIP	17	SW	3.46	13.3%	5.6%	1.4%	.280	4.21	15.9%	7.7%	78	+0.75	3.20	128	78
Jhonatan Munoz R 2018 · 3.56 FIP	18	SW	3.56	13.7%	3.7%	2.1%	.277	5.85	20.2%	3.5%	60	+2.29	3.56	254	78
Ezequiel Zabaleta R 2016 · 3.41 FIP	20	SP-	3.41	13.8%	4.0%	1.8%	.244	5.27	14.2%	5.1%	120	+1.86	3.41	210	77
Dawil Almonte R 2022 · 3.59 FIP	20	SW	3.59	17.4%	7.8%	1.8%	.271	4.54	14.7%	3.3%	97	+0.95	3.59	138	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.4	77	22.1%	4.6%	1.06	3.73
Ross Stripling ('24)	4.2	94	20.9%	5.6%	1.32	4.17
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Michael Fulmer ('23)	3.4	96	20.3%	7.6%	0.99	3.94
Craig Stammen ('22)	2.0	66	23.0%	5.4%	1.19	3.36
Luis Cessa ('23)	2.1	53	18.3%	7.8%	1.40	4.43