Jose Romero
P
Inland Empire 66ers
Age 22
RHP
6'1" / 160 lbs
A
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139129vR 120
ERA5.32
FIP5.32
K%13.5%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%2.8%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 115 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 12 | 4 | 42 | 169 | 54 | 7 | 3 | 33% | 3.5 | 21.7% | 5.2% | 16.6% | 2.3% | 2.76 | 3.20 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 12 | 4 | 42 | 169 | 54 | 7 | 3 | 33% | 3.5 | 32.0% | 4.1% | 27.8% | 1.8% | 2.76 | 1.97 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 12 | 5 | 36 | 170 | 37 | 15 | 1 | 42% | 3.0 | 14.8% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 4.25 | 3.87 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Mariners | 12 | 5 | 36 | 170 | 37 | 15 | 1 | 42% | 3.0 | 21.8% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 0.6% | 4.25 | 2.66 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 9 | 57 | 255 | 48 | 21 | 4 | 64% | 4.0 | 12.9% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.29 | 4.81 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 9 | 57 | 255 | 48 | 21 | 4 | 64% | 4.0 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 1.6% | 4.29 | 3.44 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 15 | 15 | 63 | 294 | 51 | 24 | 6 | 100% | 4.2 | 12.8% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 6.32 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | SEA | 10 | 10 | 52 | 222 | 30 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.2 | 13.5% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.32 | 5.32 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.5% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.32 | 5.32 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 115 | 516 | 81 | 48 | 13 | — | — | 15.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 5.86 | 4.98 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | SEA | 10 | 10 | 54 | 230 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 5.5 | 15.8% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 5.11 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 10 | 10 | 56 | 236 | 41 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 4.95 | 4.87 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 10 | 10 | 57 | 239 | 43 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.78 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 9 | 9 | 57 | 239 | 44 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 18.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.78 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 9 | 9 | 56 | 236 | 43 | 23 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.78 | 4.79 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | SEA | 5 | 5 | 27 | 114 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 15.8% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 5.11 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 7 | 39 | 165 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 4.95 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 8 | 8 | 46 | 194 | 35 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 4.84 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 8 | 8 | 49 | 207 | 38 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.78 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 8 | 8 | 50 | 211 | 39 | 21 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.78 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 36 | 36 | 212 | 893 | 158 | 88 | 26 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.44 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 149 | 83 | 25 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 4.87 | 4.44 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 53 | 33 | 198 | 888 | 132 | 77 | 22 | 62% | 3.7 | 14.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 4.60 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 33 | 200 | 898 | 134 | 78 | 22 | 62% | 3.7 | 14.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 4.60 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Romero (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.32 | 13.5% | 10.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.89 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 167 | -0.43 | — | — | — |
| Jeremiah Burke R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.88 | 11.9% | 9.3% | 2.9% | .330 | 3.83 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 34 | -1.05 | 3.83 | 137 | 87 |
| Will Childers R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.30 | 11.8% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .305 | 4.22 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 143 | -1.08 | 3.50 | 202 | 86 |
| Drew McDaniel R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.03 | 14.1% | 9.1% | 3.6% | .323 | 5.65 | 18.6% | 8.5% | 122 | +0.62 | 4.72 | 200 | 86 |
| Alex Romero R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.38 | 10.6% | 8.9% | 1.9% | .314 | 4.41 | 13.8% | 6.0% | 168 | +0.03 | 4.31 | 235 | 85 |
| Brooks Auger R 2027 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .299 | 3.81 | 26.3% | 14.4% | 46 | -1.19 | 3.81 | 138 | 84 |
| Jordan Geber R 2027 · 5.14 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.14 | 15.3% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .341 | 4.51 | 15.5% | 7.5% | 176 | -0.63 | 4.16 | 239 | 84 |
| Dillon Tate R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.72 | 14.0% | 10.6% | 2.7% | .358 | 4.09 | 15.7% | 8.6% | 261 | -0.63 | 3.02 | 599 | 84 |
| Michael Ross R 2027 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.05 | 16.3% | 9.9% | 3.8% | .275 | 5.83 | 12.5% | 3.6% | 64 | +0.78 | 5.05 | 146 | 84 |
| Wuilberth Mendez R 2025 · 5.18 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.18 | 13.2% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 137 | 83 |
| Holden Wilkerson R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.37 | 14.4% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .370 | 4.86 | 15.8% | 4.8% | 63 | +0.49 | 4.37 | 114 | 83 |
| Nick Belzer R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.23 | 14.5% | 9.1% | 2.2% | .291 | 4.55 | 12.8% | 4.2% | 63 | +0.32 | 4.23 | 112 | 83 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 83 |
| Ben Hansen R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.86 | 12.5% | 11.9% | 2.4% | .372 | 4.29 | 21.5% | 13.2% | 88 | -0.57 | 4.29 | 149 | 83 |
| Chris McElvain R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.79 | 15.8% | 11.6% | 2.9% | .275 | 5.18 | 16.0% | 4.7% | 191 | +0.39 | 4.01 | 287 | 83 |
| Wellington Caceres R 2026 · 5.73 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.73 | 12.0% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .366 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 121 | 83 |
| Luke Gabrysh R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.59 | 13.8% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .271 | 5.55 | 21.8% | 8.1% | 59 | +0.96 | 4.59 | 138 | 83 |
| Bradley Brehmer R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.40 | 14.6% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .349 | 2.88 | 21.3% | 13.7% | 82 | -1.52 | 2.76 | 153 | 82 |
| Tanner Hall R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 82 |
| Jacob Meador R 2027 · 5.28 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.28 | 15.6% | 14.0% | 3.1% | .301 | 6.83 | 14.7% | -6.6% | 50 | +1.55 | 5.28 | 139 | 82 |
| Nick Krauth R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.48 | 14.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .297 | 4.74 | 12.5% | 2.5% | 232 | +0.26 | 4.44 | 424 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 55 | 16.9% | 10.0% | 1.13 | 4.96 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |