Joshua Cornielly
P
Binghamton Rumble Ponies
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 175 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113104vR 95
ERA4.14
FIP4.14
K%22.5%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%14.3%
ROS IP61
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | 14 | 0 | 28 | 126 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 14.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 0.0% | 3.25 | 2.75 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | 14 | 0 | 28 | 126 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 21.4% | 5.6% | 15.9% | 0.0% | 3.25 | 1.91 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Mets | 13 | 6 | 46 | 202 | 52 | 9 | 3 | 46% | 3.5 | 17.5% | 5.6% | 11.9% | 2.1% | 4.89 | 3.47 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Mets | 13 | 6 | 46 | 202 | 52 | 9 | 3 | 46% | 3.5 | 25.7% | 4.5% | 21.3% | 1.5% | 4.89 | 2.27 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 31 | 0 | 47 | 216 | 53 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.2% | 13.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.21 | 6.17 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 31 | 0 | 47 | 216 | 53 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.5% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 3.7% | 5.21 | 4.60 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 31 | 1 | 51 | 220 | 58 | 17 | 8 | 3% | 1.6 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 4.1% | 3.71 | 4.76 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 31 | 1 | 51 | 220 | 58 | 17 | 8 | 3% | 1.6 | 26.4% | 7.7% | 18.6% | 3.6% | 3.71 | 3.86 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 55 | 228 | 71 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.3% | 8.5% | 15.9% | 2.1% | 3.42 | 3.27 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 55 | 228 | 71 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 31.1% | 7.5% | 23.7% | 2.2% | 3.42 | 2.63 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 1 | 55 | 240 | 64 | 19 | 4 | 3% | 1.5 | 21.7% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 2.1% | 3.93 | 3.51 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 1 | 55 | 240 | 64 | 19 | 4 | 3% | 1.5 | 26.7% | 7.9% | 18.8% | 1.7% | 3.93 | 2.75 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | NYM | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 66 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 2.8% | 4.14 | 4.14 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 67 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 4.15 | 4.14 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 66 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.18 | 4.19 | +0.4 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 4.15 | 4.14 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 42 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 2.9% | 4.18 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 74 | 314 | 72 | 26 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 4.17 | 3.79 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 70 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 4.17 | 3.79 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 161 | 8 | 282 | 1232 | 245 | 108 | 35 | 5% | 1.7 | 19.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.09 | 4.07 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 114 | 6 | 200 | 875 | 174 | 77 | 25 | 5% | 1.7 | 19.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.09 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joshua Cornielly (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.14 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.16 | 22.8% | 14.5% | 139 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Josh Martin R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.43 | 24.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .257 | 2.89 | 20.7% | 13.6% | 124 | -0.54 | 2.31 | 225 | 90 |
| Alex Phillips R 2025 · 3.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.26 | 22.0% | 8.0% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.49 | 23.2% | 14.6% | 72 | +1.23 | 3.26 | 139 | 90 |
| Nick Merkel R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.90 | 22.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% | .284 | 3.25 | 20.8% | 10.5% | 125 | -0.65 | 3.08 | 201 | 90 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 89 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 88 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.33 | 19.6% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .293 | 4.70 | 17.7% | 7.8% | 115 | +1.37 | 3.33 | 258 | 88 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.57 | 23.7% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .284 | 3.71 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 167 | +0.14 | 3.05 | 290 | 87 |
| Matt Pierpont R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.42 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 1.8% | .295 | 3.26 | 21.6% | 13.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.66 | 280 | 87 |
| Casey Cobb R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.73 | 21.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | .261 | 5.72 | 17.2% | 8.3% | 118 | +1.99 | 3.73 | 191 | 86 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.24 | 22.1% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .274 | 4.67 | 24.1% | 8.8% | 38 | +1.43 | 3.24 | 172 | 86 |
| J.R. Graham R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 18.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | .317 | 3.55 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 61 | -0.83 | 3.30 | 125 | 86 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.46 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .244 | 3.76 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.30 | 3.23 | 253 | 86 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.55 | 22.2% | 7.6% | 2.5% | .313 | 3.38 | 23.4% | 12.8% | 93 | -0.17 | 2.88 | 312 | 86 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 86 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 85 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 85 |
| T.J. Weir R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.21 | 20.0% | 6.7% | 1.7% | .272 | 3.63 | 18.4% | 7.1% | 113 | +0.42 | 3.21 | 349 | 85 |
| Matt Marsh R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.06 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 3.1% | .273 | 3.13 | 18.5% | 5.9% | 15 | -0.93 | 3.13 | 143 | 85 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.28 | 19.4% | 7.4% | 1.6% | .312 | 3.96 | 20.7% | 7.8% | 65 | +0.68 | 3.28 | 113 | 85 |
| Trent Harris R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.45 | 26.9% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .258 | 4.07 | 22.8% | 13.3% | 87 | +0.62 | 3.45 | 163 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 1.09 | 4.16 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |