Elias Perez

OF DSL Mariners
Age 19 S/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202517ROKSEA196.245/.372/.3011528—.157/.260/.198
202618ROKSEA190.232/.489/.40021675—.133/.340/.217
2027PROJMLE19MLBSEA300.195/.288/.2712562-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBSEA52.199/.292/.2841168-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
BB%99
Chase%95
wOBA90
wRC+87
Speed83
ISO73
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsMilkar Perez (age 19) · Terry Serrano (age 19) · Fidel Mejia (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 99 proj PA
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .286 / .268
PA99
HR1
K%27
BB%10
ISO75
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202517 ROKDSL Mariners — 196163 40411 30393 53 245372301673 55317 2015 320 28 — — — — — —
202618 ROKDSL Mariners — 190125 291122 59444 162 232489400889 168333 2331 412 75 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 196172 27211 21473 53 157260198458 41206 2411 210 28 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 190143 19711 41544 162 133340217557 84200 2822 279 75 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 196172 27211 21473 53 157260198458 41210 2411 210 28 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Mariners — 196163 40411 30393 53 245372301673 55317 2015 320 28 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 190143 19711 41544 162 133340217557 84200 2822 279 75 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWDSL Mariners — 190125 291122 59444 162 232489400889 168333 2331 412 75 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 196170 27211 21473 53 159260200460 41206 2411 210 28 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 190143 19711 41544 162 133340217557 84200 2822 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 196170 27211 21473 53 159260200460 41206 2411 210 28 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Mariners — 190143 19711 41544 162 133340217557 84200 2822 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLESEA 0% 300263 51922 31813 51 195288271559 75270 2710 260 62 -13 +1 +0 -2 +6 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLESEA 34% 150131 27512 16402 31 201294288582 87273 2711 269 68 -6 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.3
202820 MLB CTXSEA 34% 5246 10201 5141 10 199292284576 85271 2710 267 68 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5246 10201 5141 10 217308326634 109290 2710 267 57 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650575 12525012 6217512 120 217306323630 106291 2710 267 57 -25 +2 +0 -4 +14 -1.2
Career— MLE — 635534 901745 8816810 266 169297243541 75234 2614 252 57 -10 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650547 921745 9017210 276 168297241538 73233 2614 252 57 -26 +2 +0 -4 +14 -1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Mariners · 190 PAwOBA .408 → .279 (−129)K% 23.2% → 28.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.16%÷1.000×1.220——28.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA31.05%÷1.000×0.700—×0.99521.63%
HBP% /PA2.11%—×0.700—×0.9951.47%
Singles /BIP17.28%÷1.000×0.680×0.950×0.99511.11%
Doubles /BIP13.58%÷1.000×0.600×0.950×0.9957.70%
Triples /BIP2.47%÷1.000×0.600×0.950×0.9951.40%
Home runs /BIP2.47%÷1.000×0.470—×0.9951.15%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .408 → .279; ISO .168 → .103; BABIP .333 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Mariners · 196 PAwOBA .313 → .210 (−103)K% 19.9% → 24.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.90%÷1.003×1.220——24.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.31%÷0.996×0.700—×1.00810.84%
HBP% /PA1.53%—×0.700—×1.0081.08%
Singles /BIP27.42%÷0.986×0.680×0.950×1.00818.10%
Doubles /BIP3.23%÷0.989×0.600×0.950×1.0081.87%
Triples /BIP0.81%÷0.900×0.600×0.950×1.0080.51%
Home runs /BIP0.81%÷0.936×0.470—×1.0080.41%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 97, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .313 → .210; ISO .055 → .032; BABIP .317 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).