Elias Perez — OGILVIE

Elias PerezOF DSL Mariners

Age 18 S/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION190 act + 17 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .294 / .267

PA17

HR0

K%29

BB%12

BABIP264

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$4M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	196	163	40	4	1	1	30	39	3	5	3	245	372	301	673	55	317	20	15	320	103	+1	-0	—	—	+4	0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	196	174	31	3	1	1	19	56	3	5	3	178	270	224	495	46	247	29	10	221	36	-15	-0	—	—	+4	-1.1
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	196	174	31	3	1	1	19	56	3	5	3	178	270	224	495	46	256	29	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	196	163	40	4	1	1	30	39	3	5	3	245	372	301	673	55	317	20	15	320	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	196	172	31	3	1	1	19	56	3	5	3	180	270	227	497	47	247	29	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	196	172	31	3	1	1	19	56	3	5	3	180	270	227	497	47	247	29	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	SEA	—	190	147	23	8	1	2	37	63	4	16	2	156	340	265	606	109	250	33	19	284	78	-5	+2	+0	-1	+4	0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	SEA	—	190	125	29	11	2	2	59	44	4	16	2	232	489	400	889	168	333	23	31	412	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	SEA	0%	17	15	3	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	200	294	267	561	67	267	29	12	270	69	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	SEA	—	207	162	26	9	1	2	39	68	4	17	2	160	337	265	602	105	255	33	19	283	78	-6	+3	+0	-1	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	256	219	42	9	2	3	32	72	3	5	1	192	303	292	595	100	271	28	12	281	76	-7	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	SEA	48%	381	325	66	14	3	6	47	104	6	7	1	203	315	320	635	117	275	27	12	290	82	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	474	406	84	18	3	8	58	127	7	8	2	207	316	325	641	118	277	27	12	296	86	-8	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	540	461	97	20	4	10	66	144	8	9	2	210	320	336	656	126	278	27	12	300	89	-7	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	SEA	58%	585	499	105	22	4	11	72	155	9	10	2	210	321	337	657	126	279	26	12	302	90	-7	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	614	525	111	23	4	12	75	162	9	10	2	211	320	339	659	128	280	26	12	304	92	-6	+1	+0	-4	+13	0.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	SEA	61%	626	534	114	24	4	13	77	165	10	10	2	213	324	346	670	133	280	26	12	304	92	-6	+1	+0	-4	+14	0.5
2034	26	MLB MLE	SEA	63%	634	541	115	24	4	13	78	167	10	10	2	213	323	344	667	131	280	26	12	305	92	-6	+1	+0	-4	+14	0.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	SEA	64%	634	540	115	24	4	13	79	167	10	10	2	213	324	344	669	131	279	26	12	305	92	-6	+1	+0	-4	+14	0.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	629	535	113	24	4	12	79	167	10	10	2	211	324	338	662	127	279	27	13	304	92	-6	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.4
2037	29	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	619	527	111	23	4	12	78	165	9	9	2	211	322	338	660	127	278	27	13	302	90	-7	+1	-1	-4	+13	0.2
2038	30	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	609	518	107	22	4	11	77	164	9	9	2	207	320	328	648	122	276	27	13	299	88	-8	+1	-2	-4	+13	0.0
2039	31	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	594	505	103	21	3	11	75	162	9	8	2	204	317	323	640	119	274	27	13	295	86	-10	+1	-3	-4	+13	-0.3
2027	19	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	88	76	15	3	1	1	11	25	1	2	0	197	307	303	609	105	269	28	12	269	76	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	SEA	48%	185	157	32	7	1	3	23	51	3	3	1	204	317	318	635	115	272	28	12	277	82	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	257	220	45	9	2	4	31	69	4	5	1	205	314	318	632	114	274	27	12	282	86	-4	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	306	261	54	11	2	6	37	81	5	5	1	207	317	333	650	126	276	26	12	286	89	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	SEA	58%	337	288	60	13	2	6	41	89	5	6	1	208	317	330	647	122	276	26	12	288	90	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	350	299	63	13	2	7	43	92	5	6	1	211	320	338	658	127	277	26	12	290	92	-4	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	SEA	61%	379	323	67	14	2	7	47	100	6	6	1	207	319	328	647	121	277	26	12	290	92	-4	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.3
2034	26	MLB CTX	SEA	63%	397	339	72	15	3	8	49	104	6	6	1	212	322	345	667	133	277	26	12	291	92	-4	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	SEA	64%	403	344	73	15	3	8	50	106	6	7	1	212	323	343	666	131	277	26	12	291	92	-4	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	409	349	73	15	3	8	51	108	6	6	1	209	320	338	658	129	276	26	12	290	92	-4	+1	-0	-2	+9	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	402	342	71	15	2	8	51	107	6	6	1	208	321	333	654	126	275	27	13	288	90	-5	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	396	337	68	14	2	7	50	107	6	6	1	202	316	318	633	116	274	27	13	285	88	-5	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.0
2039	31	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	386	328	67	14	2	7	49	105	6	5	1	204	319	323	642	119	271	27	13	281	86	-7	+1	-2	-2	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4295	3663	760	158	27	80	533	1144	65	69	12	207	319	331	650	123	276	27	12	287	88	-54	+9	-5	-26	+93	1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	554	115	24	4	12	81	173	10	10	2	208	319	330	650	123	277	27	12	287	88	-8	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	7408	6324	1317	272	48	136	914	1982	112	121	27	208	319	331	650	123	278	27	12	298	88	-93	+14	-7	-43	+156	2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	555	116	24	4	12	80	174	10	11	2	209	319	332	651	123	280	27	12	298	88	-8	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.7	4,464	83	72	210	317	334	-27	+0	4.5	4.2
/162	664	12	11	-4.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elias Perez (OGILVIE)	18	35	20	45	55	183/300/269	85	267	1	7	29%	13%	69	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Deivi Estrada 2019 · A	18	40	36→30	45→50	43	190/259/260	71	280	2	10	31%	7%	49	-2.4	210/287/274	64	289	3	9	26%	9%	63	-1.4	195/270/241	46	288	2	8	30%	8%	47	-0.8
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	38→40	42→45	44	193/266/276	83	281	5	6	31%	8%	55	-1.9	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	71	-0.8	193/314/286	93	255	5	7	23%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	54	-2.0	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	73	-0.6	224/288/270	46	274	0	22	17%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Julio Izturis 2007 · A	17	43	35→30	48→60	46	200/278/258	58	271	2	14	25%	7%	56	-1.9	214/300/262	48	265	2	24	18%	8%	65	-1.2	217/310/253	36	266	2	31	17%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	38	-3.2	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	58	-1.7	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	61	-0.5
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2011 · A	18	43	35→40	47→65	48	203/275/262	59	265	2	16	23%	8%	55	-1.9	204/271/273	69	256	3	20	20%	7%	56	-1.9	212/299/273	61	273	1	34	20%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Michael Chirinos 2018 · A	18	41	37→40	51→55	50	193/251/266	73	225	4	11	16%	7%	47	-2.5	226/292/296	70	250	5	13	11%	8%	69	-0.9	236/307/298	61	253	5	16	8%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Emmanuel Morel 2015 · A	18	42	36→30	51→55	41	199/261/262	63	278	3	9	28%	6%	50	-2.3	192/267/250	58	298	2	16	33%	9%	50	-2.3	173/256/219	46	280	0	22	34%	9%	37	-0.9
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Omar Casamayor 2006 · A	19	45	37→40	43→55	46	212/282/286	74	280	3	7	24%	7%	63	-1.3	233/290/299	66	278	2	10	16%	6%	69	-0.9	249/301/308	60	288	1	12	13%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Yonny Hernández 2016 · A	18	43→53	34→30	40→60	48	201/280/255	55	270	2	8	24%	8%	56	-1.9	218/295/275	57	265	1	22	17%	9%	66	-1.1	265/327/322	57	316	2	17	16%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Kendy Moya 2017 · A	18	42	35→30	45→50	51	192/285/256	65	274	2	9	28%	10%	59	-1.7	188/289/252	64	278	2	10	29%	11%	60	-1.6	168/285/230	63	255	1	12	30%	12%	53	-0.8
✕Nicoll Parra 2012 · A	18	39	36→30	44→55	45	183/264/252	70	275	4	8	32%	8%	50	-2.3	197/307/251	54	268	1	18	24%	12%	67	-1.1	186/321/224	38	254	0	27	22%	14%	65	-0.4
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→35	37→40	43→50	40	196/257/268	72	295	4	10	33%	6%	50	-2.3	186/284/265	79	353	5	9	43%	10%	61	-1.5	159/271/236	77	335	5	7	47%	10%	49	-1.0
✕Carlos Ramirez 2007 · A	18	39	36→40	44→45	46	187/255/250	63	262	3	6	28%	8%	45	-2.7	221/282/291	70	277	2	5	20%	6%	64	-1.3	241/302/311	71	291	2	4	17%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	40	-3.0	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	63	-1.4	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Jon Del Campo 2007 · A	19	43	38→45	45→55	46	205/268/282	77	271	6	5	26%	8%	57	-1.8	205/257/287	82	297	4	5	30%	6%	53	-2.1	267/298/376	109	332	10	18	22%	3%	90	+0.3
✕Chris Torres 2016 · A	18	43→37	37→30	50→55	50	200/288/273	73	290	4	15	30%	10%	63	-1.3	203/274/273	70	315	3	13	33%	9%	57	-1.8	181/262/239	58	298	3	15	36%	10%	42	-1.3
✕Yonathan Mendoza 2012 · A	18	43	35→30	48→45	55	199/272/261	62	232	2	6	15%	9%	54	-2.0	218/285/270	52	263	2	9	16%	8%	61	-1.5	243/306/291	47	282	2	8	13%	8%	71	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps