Manuel Almeida

C ACL Mariners

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 187 lbs ROK K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKSEA	169	.280/.349/.473	8	0	38	—	.174/.229/.271
2026	18	ROKSEA	111	.115/.234/.177	1	0	-29	—	.079/.162/.129
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBSEA	221	.190/.251/.276	3	2	49	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBSEA	63	.194/.256/.286	1	1	55	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%34

BB%31

ISO21

Z-Con%9

Speed6

K%4

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJeffrey Mercedes (age 19) · Omar Estévez (age 19) · William Lugo (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 95 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .249 / .274

PA95

HR1

K%33

BB%7

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	169	150	42	5	0	8	16	46	0	0	3	280	349	473	823	193	343	27	9	358	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	111	96	11	3	0	1	14	41	1	0	0	115	234	177	411	63	185	37	13	205	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	169	155	27	3	0	4	11	56	0	0	3	174	229	271	500	97	228	33	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	111	101	8	2	0	1	9	59	1	0	0	79	162	129	291	50	150	53	8	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	169	155	27	3	0	4	11	56	0	0	3	174	229	271	500	97	235	33	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	169	150	42	5	0	8	16	46	0	0	3	280	349	473	823	193	343	27	9	358	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	111	101	8	2	0	1	9	59	1	0	0	79	162	129	291	50	171	53	8	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	111	96	11	3	0	1	14	41	1	0	0	115	234	177	411	63	185	37	13	205	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	169	156	27	3	0	4	11	56	0	0	3	173	229	269	498	96	228	33	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	111	100	8	2	0	1	9	59	1	0	0	80	162	130	292	50	150	53	8	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	169	156	27	3	0	4	11	56	0	0	3	173	229	269	498	96	228	33	7	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	111	100	8	2	0	1	9	59	1	0	0	80	162	130	292	50	150	53	8	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	221	202	38	6	1	3	15	73	2	2	1	190	251	276	527	86	277	33	7	240	49	-14	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	184	167	33	5	1	3	13	59	2	2	1	196	258	290	548	94	279	32	7	249	55	-10	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	63	58	11	2	0	1	4	20	1	1	0	194	256	286	542	92	277	32	6	247	55	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	63	58	11	2	0	1	4	20	1	1	0	190	254	276	530	86	270	32	6	247	32	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	114	21	0	10	41	206	10	10	0	191	254	276	530	85	272	32	6	247	32	-35	+2	+0	+12	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	559	511	85	13	2	9	39	205	4	3	4	166	231	252	483	86	252	37	7	215	32	-16	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	98	15	2	10	45	238	5	3	5	165	230	247	477	82	251	37	7	215	32	-37	+0	+0	+12	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Almeida (OGILVIE)	19	40	45	35	35	189/249/274	85	277	1	1	33%	7%	49	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeffrey Mercedes 2024 · A	19	41	39→45	45	39	199/250/289	89	270	6	4	28%	5%	52	-2.2	202/256/296	94	267	7	5	26%	6%	55	-1.9	194/249/295	101	248	10	4	25%	6%	51	-1.1
✕Omar Estévez 2017 · A	19	43	42→45	39→40	34	212/248/318	106	303	9	4	33%	4%	57	-1.8	214/256/315	101	300	9	3	30%	5%	60	-1.6	201/256/294	92	277	9	1	29%	6%	54	-1.1
✕William Lugo 2021 · A	19	38→40	37→45	41→45	40	177/251/246	69	284	4	5	36%	7%	43	-2.8	191/256/303	112	285	12	5	35%	7%	59	-1.7	185/248/303	118	257	14	4	32%	7%	53	-1.3
✕Cameron Garfield 2010 · A	19	41→43	39→45	41→45	32	196/239/276	80	305	7	5	37%	4%	45	-2.7	212/254/306	94	283	8	4	27%	4%	57	-1.8	211/249/313	102	279	10	2	27%	4%	54	-1.3
✕Yonatan Henriquez 2024 · A	19	39→48	36→45	42→55	49	183/270/250	67	263	4	10	30%	10%	52	-2.2	203/275/292	89	282	6	18	28%	8%	62	-1.4	199/262/302	103	269	9	23	28%	7%	58	-1.1
✕Junior Sanquintin 2021 · A	19	39	37→40	40	40	187/241/262	75	266	5	7	30%	6%	42	-2.9	179/230/275	96	300	9	5	41%	5%	41	-3.0	156/208/248	92	263	9	3	43%	5%	25	-1.6
✕Cristian Garcia 2023 · A	19	39	37→40	44→40	45	189/259/265	76	262	4	7	28%	8%	50	-2.3	192/279/282	90	307	6	4	35%	10%	62	-1.4	171/275/266	94	286	6	2	38%	11%	57	-0.7
✕Allan de San Miguel 2008 · A	20	40	39→45	41→40	37	192/257/276	84	295	7	5	35%	6%	53	-2.1	193/284/278	85	305	7	4	35%	9%	64	-1.3	182/257/287	106	248	11	5	30%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Gabriel Lino 2013 · A	20	39	42→40	42→30	40	192/251/295	103	271	9	4	32%	6%	55	-2.0	197/247/290	93	302	8	3	35%	5%	51	-2.3	206/255/293	86	293	6	0	30%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Anderson De Los Santos 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	43→50	40	192/247/282	89	269	7	8	30%	6%	49	-2.4	183/261/280	97	274	9	12	34%	9%	55	-1.9	173/266/275	101	253	10	13	33%	10%	53	-1.5
✕Darwin Rivera 2012 · A	20	39	40	40→30	35	195/234/282	87	285	8	3	34%	4%	44	-2.8	200/246/284	84	282	7	3	30%	5%	49	-2.4	189/236/264	76	258	7	0	28%	5%	39	-1.0
✕Adinso Reyes 2021 · A	19	43	40→45	41→40	40	207/254/298	91	266	7	5	25%	4%	55	-1.9	178/230/279	101	328	11	4	47%	5%	42	-2.9	150/202/248	98	286	13	2	50%	5%	23	-1.3
✕Ricardo Balogh 2021 · A	19	41	35→40	45→40	41	190/265/246	57	304	3	7	36%	8%	49	-2.4	184/228/249	65	315	4	5	40%	5%	34	-3.5	179/224/245	65	296	5	3	39%	5%	30	-1.4
✕Clayton Campbell 2023 · A	19	37→44	37→45	41→45	44	174/265/248	74	284	4	4	37%	9%	50	-2.3	177/259/266	89	265	7	6	33%	8%	52	-2.2	157/241/237	80	226	7	5	32%	8%	38	-1.2
✕Jonathan Araúz 2017 · A	18	41→40	37→45	43→45	41	196/245/271	75	262	5	4	26%	5%	45	-2.7	200/257/291	91	255	7	4	23%	7%	55	-1.9	193/263/299	106	237	12	3	23%	8%	58	-1.0
✕Duanel Jones 2013 · A	20	39→42	40→45	41→40	41	190/246/279	88	267	7	4	31%	6%	48	-2.5	199/244/296	97	282	10	3	32%	5%	51	-2.2	198/241/299	100	273	12	2	31%	5%	49	-1.9
✕Ronny Brito 2019 · A	20	39	43→45	41→50	35	192/244/298	107	308	11	6	40%	6%	52	-2.2	195/246/304	109	373	12	5	47%	6%	54	-2.0	105/168/225	120	225	18	0	60%	7%	8	-1.5
✕Adrian Rondon 2017 · A	19	36→37	41→40	37→30	33	178/226/274	96	298	9	3	42%	5%	40	-3.1	180/226/256	76	304	6	4	41%	5%	35	-3.4	161/199/215	54	270	3	2	40%	4%	13	-1.7
✕Gabriel Quintana 2012 · A	19	37→44	40→55	41→45	38	184/244/275	91	258	8	5	31%	5%	47	-2.5	216/255/331	115	310	12	5	33%	3%	63	-1.3	225/256/353	128	322	15	4	34%	2%	66	-0.7
✕Prilys Cuello 2008 · A	19	41	43→45	46→45	45	201/274/314	113	282	10	8	31%	8%	68	-1.0	212/270/306	94	317	7	8	33%	7%	63	-1.3	204/258/273	69	321	4	10	36%	6%	47	-0.4