Esteban Castro — OGILVIE

Esteban CastroC DSL Astros Orange

Age 18 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA

wRC+54

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .271 / .255

PA6

HR0

K%34

BB%7

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	80	62	9	0	0	1	10	26	7	0	0	145	329	194	523	48	222	32	12	268	68	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	80	66	6	0	0	0	6	37	7	0	0	91	241	91	331		182	46	8	177	6	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	80	66	6	0	0	0	6	37	7	0	0	91	241	91	331		200	46	8	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	80	62	9	0	0	1	10	26	7	0	0	145	329	194	523	48	222	32	12	268	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	80	67	6	0	0	0	6	37	7	0	0	90	241	90	330		182	46	8	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	80	67	6	0	0	0	6	37	7	0	0	90	241	90	330		182	46	8	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		290	33	0	248	54	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	166	148	29	4	1	2	12	54	5	1	0	196	279	277	556	81	292	33	7	260	62	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	310	274	56	8	2	4	24	97	9	2	1	204	290	292	582	88	294	31	8	268	68	-12	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	421	374	77	11	2	7	32	130	12	2	1	206	289	302	592	96	295	31	8	274	72	-14	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	500	443	93	14	3	8	39	152	14	3	1	210	294	309	604	99	295	30	8	277	74	-16	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	520	460	97	14	3	9	40	158	15	3	1	211	295	313	608	102	296	30	8	279	75	-15	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	459	97	14	3	9	41	158	15	3	1	211	297	314	611	102	297	30	8	281	76	-15	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	459	98	14	3	10	41	157	15	3	1	214	299	322	621	109	297	30	8	282	77	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	520	459	98	14	3	10	41	157	15	3	1	214	299	322	621	109	297	30	8	283	77	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	459	98	14	3	10	41	158	15	3	1	214	299	322	621	109	297	30	8	283	77	-14	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	520	458	98	14	3	10	42	159	15	3	1	214	301	323	624	109	296	31	8	282	77	-14	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	458	96	14	3	9	42	160	15	3	1	210	297	312	609	103	295	31	8	280	75	-15	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	520	458	96	14	3	9	42	161	15	3	1	210	297	312	609	103	294	31	8	277	73	-16	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	504	444	90	13	2	8	41	158	14	3	1	203	291	295	586	92	291	31	8	273	71	-18	+0	-3	+9	+11	-0.0
2027	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	57	51	10	1	0	1	4	18	2	0	0	196	281	275	555	78	292	32	7	260	62	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	150	134	27	4	1	2	11	47	4	1	0	201	282	291	573	90	294	31	7	268	68	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	228	202	42	6	1	4	18	70	6	1	0	208	292	307	599	99	295	31	8	274	72	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	283	251	54	8	2	5	22	86	8	2	1	215	299	323	622	108	295	30	8	277	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	299	266	56	8	2	5	23	91	8	2	1	211	293	312	605	102	296	30	8	279	75	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	296	263	56	8	2	5	23	90	8	2	1	213	296	316	612	103	297	30	8	281	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	295	262	55	8	2	5	23	89	8	2	1	210	294	313	606	103	297	30	8	282	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	294	261	55	8	2	5	23	89	8	2	1	211	295	314	609	103	297	30	8	283	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	289	256	54	8	2	5	23	88	8	2	1	211	296	316	613	105	297	30	8	283	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	286	253	54	8	2	5	23	87	8	2	1	213	299	320	619	107	296	30	8	282	77	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	278	246	51	7	1	5	22	85	8	1	1	207	293	305	598	98	295	31	8	280	75	-8	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	274	242	50	7	1	5	22	85	8	1	1	207	294	306	600	99	294	31	8	277	73	-9	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	263	233	47	7	1	4	21	82	7	1	1	202	287	292	579	90	291	31	8	273	71	-9	-0	-1	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3292	2920	611	88	19	56	258	1007	91	19	10	209	294	310	604	101	297	31	8	278	73	-100	-0	-4	+59	+71	2.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	120	17	4	11	51	199	18	4	2	208	293	308	601	101	295	31	8	278	73	-20	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6147	5425	1130	162	34	105	484	1898	181	35	12	208	295	309	604	100	296	31	8	277	73	-186	+2	-7	+108	+131	5.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	120	17	4	11	51	201	19	4	1	209	295	310	605	101	298	31	8	277	73	-20	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.1	3,365	58	19	210	292	312	+60	+32	5.0	4.4
/162	664	11	4	+11.9	+6.3	1.0	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Esteban Castro (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	188/271/255	66	290	1	0	34%	7%	54	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→48	36→50	49→40	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	49	-2.4	204/277/280	76	276	6	5	26%	8%	61	-1.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Carlos Cauro 2023 · A	18	42	36→45	45	41	193/263/257	64	306	3	5	35%	8%	50	-2.3	206/281/320	114	312	12	5	35%	8%	72	-0.7	198/283/308	110	288	14	4	34%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	39	36→50	45	37	189/231/257	68	267	3	6	30%	5%	37	-3.3	211/249/327	116	282	13	5	29%	5%	60	-1.6	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	37	37→60	47→40	38	174/236/245	70	296	4	6	40%	7%	37	-3.3	193/257/301	108	312	11	5	39%	8%	58	-1.7	197/257/339	142	318	16	2	41%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	54	-2.0	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	58	-1.7	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	46	-0.7
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→41	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	58	-1.7	196/241/316	120	278	11	5	32%	5%	55	-2.0	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Hidekel Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	47→45	37	205/260/286	81	312	4	7	34%	5%	55	-2.0	227/275/314	87	287	6	8	22%	5%	67	-1.1	241/291/328	87	291	6	8	19%	4%	75	-0.2
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	37	40→45	51→60	42	173/271/261	88	302	7	6	41%	9%	55	-1.9	193/299/288	95	289	6	11	32%	11%	72	-0.7	181/305/266	86	250	6	20	26%	12%	68	-0.4
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	43	38→40	49→45	41	202/274/282	81	298	6	6	32%	7%	60	-1.6	205/294/284	79	319	6	6	34%	9%	69	-0.9	158/267/223	66	272	6	3	39%	10%	45	-1.1
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	43	-2.8	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	58	-1.7	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	50	-0.6
✕Hector Martinez 2015 · A	18	42	38→45	41→45	33	201/241/285	84	303	5	7	34%	4%	47	-2.5	226/266/311	85	316	6	8	29%	4%	62	-1.4	244/276/343	99	341	7	9	29%	2%	70	-0.2
✕Emilio King 2008 · A	18	40	39→45	44→40	38	192/250/280	89	281	6	5	33%	5%	51	-2.3	184/255/258	74	259	4	7	29%	6%	48	-2.5	205/257/297	92	296	6	4	31%	4%	54	-0.9
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2011 · A	18	38	36→45	48→40	39	186/240/247	61	267	4	5	31%	5%	38	-3.2	192/249/275	83	281	7	4	32%	5%	49	-2.4	187/245/279	93	270	8	2	33%	5%	46	-0.7
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	52	-2.2	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	68	-1.0	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Kendry Chirinos 2023 · A	18	39	37→40	47→50	46	177/279/252	75	300	3	4	38%	10%	57	-1.8	189/291/265	76	334	5	5	40%	11%	63	-1.3	187/287/260	73	324	6	3	39%	10%	59	-0.6
✕Jose Perez 2022 · A	18	41	38→40	42→45	44	193/266/276	83	281	5	6	31%	8%	55	-1.9	200/299/287	87	269	5	7	25%	11%	71	-0.8	193/314/286	93	255	5	7	23%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2010 · A	19	43	38→45	46→45	38	202/250/284	82	300	5	5	33%	6%	50	-2.3	219/259/313	94	273	9	6	22%	5%	60	-1.6	232/268/336	104	264	12	5	17%	4%	66	-0.3
✕Daniel Santos 2017 · A	18	40	35→45	51→40	43	188/256/247	59	280	3	8	32%	8%	45	-2.7	189/258/268	79	267	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	173/243/251	78	245	5	4	30%	6%	41	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps