Anderson Areinamo

Anderson AreinamoSS FCL Astros

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 135 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION159 act + 106 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .276 / .305

PA106

HR2

K%28

BB%8

BABIP266

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.6M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$11M		$22M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	208	181	37	6	0	2	17	48	6	18	0	204	294	271	565	66	263	23	8	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	208	170	51	10	0	6	28	34	6	18	0	300	417	465	881	165	341	16	13	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	HOU	—	159	138	19	5	0	3	15	49	3	11	1	138	237	239	476	101	180	31	9	220	27	-13	+2	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
YTD	19	ROK	HOU	—	159	128	26	7	0	4	25	34	3	11	1	203	346	352	698	148	237	21	16	318	101	+0	+2	+0	+2	+5	0.8
ROS	19	ROK	HOU	0%	106	95	19	4	0	2	9	30	1	4	1	200	276	305	581	105	258	28	8	258	56	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	HOU	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		261	—	—	250	50	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	HOU	—	159	139	19	5	0	3	15	49	3	11	1	137	237	237	475	101	178	31	9	220	27	-13	+2	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
TOT	19	ROK	HOU	—	265	233	38	9	0	5	24	79	4	15	2	163	253	266	519	103	216	30	9	235	38	-19	+2	+0	+3	+8	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	HOU	34%	291	261	52	10	1	5	24	79	4	7	1	199	277	303	579	103	265	27	8	270	65	-12	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.1
2028	21	MLB	HOU	48%	402	359	74	14	2	8	34	107	6	10	2	206	286	323	609	117	268	27	8	277	70	-13	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.4
2029	22	MLB	HOU	54%	480	429	90	17	2	10	41	126	7	12	2	210	289	329	618	119	270	26	9	282	74	-14	+2	+0	+5	+14	0.6
2030	23	MLB	HOU	57%	531	472	100	19	2	12	46	138	8	13	2	212	293	337	630	125	271	26	9	285	77	-14	+2	+0	+6	+15	0.9
2031	24	MLB	HOU	57%	563	501	108	21	2	13	49	145	8	14	2	216	296	343	639	128	272	26	9	287	78	-14	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.0
2032	25	MLB	HOU	57%	581	518	111	21	3	13	50	150	8	14	2	214	293	342	635	127	272	26	9	288	78	-14	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.1
2033	26	MLB	HOU	56%	590	525	113	22	3	13	51	152	9	15	2	215	296	343	639	128	272	26	9	288	78	-14	+2	+0	+6	+17	1.1
2034	27	MLB	HOU	55%	591	525	113	22	3	13	52	153	9	15	2	215	297	343	640	128	272	26	9	288	79	-14	+2	+0	+6	+17	1.1
2035	28	MLB	HOU	55%	587	522	110	21	2	13	52	153	8	14	2	211	292	333	625	123	272	26	9	287	78	-15	+2	-1	+6	+17	1.0
2036	29	MLB	HOU	53%	578	513	109	21	2	13	52	151	8	13	2	212	295	337	632	125	271	26	9	285	77	-15	+2	-1	+6	+16	0.8
2037	30	MLB	HOU	53%	567	503	105	20	2	12	51	150	8	13	2	209	292	328	620	119	270	26	9	283	75	-16	+2	-2	+6	+16	0.6
2038	31	MLB	HOU	52%	553	491	101	19	2	11	49	148	8	12	2	206	288	320	608	114	268	27	9	279	72	-18	+2	-3	+6	+16	0.3
2027	20	MLB	HOU	34%	100	91	18	4	0	2	8	27	1	2	0	198	270	308	578	110	267	27	8	262	59	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	HOU	48%	195	173	36	7	1	4	17	52	3	5	1	208	290	329	620	121	270	27	9	270	65	-8	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.0
2029	22	MLB	HOU	54%	260	232	50	10	1	6	22	68	4	6	1	216	295	345	639	129	273	26	8	275	68	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2030	23	MLB	HOU	57%	301	268	57	11	1	7	26	78	4	7	1	213	292	340	631	127	274	26	9	278	71	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.3
2031	24	MLB	HOU	57%	318	283	61	12	1	7	27	82	5	8	1	216	295	339	634	124	275	26	8	279	72	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
2032	25	MLB	HOU	57%	328	292	63	12	1	8	28	85	5	8	1	216	295	346	641	130	275	26	9	280	73	-10	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2033	26	MLB	HOU	56%	333	296	64	12	1	8	29	86	5	8	1	216	297	345	642	128	275	26	9	280	73	-10	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2034	27	MLB	HOU	55%	328	291	63	12	1	8	29	85	5	8	1	216	298	347	646	131	275	26	9	280	73	-10	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2035	28	MLB	HOU	55%	322	285	61	12	1	7	29	84	5	8	1	214	298	337	635	123	274	26	9	280	72	-10	+1	-0	+3	+9	0.3
2036	29	MLB	HOU	53%	309	274	58	11	1	7	28	81	4	7	1	212	294	336	630	124	273	26	9	278	71	-10	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.2
2037	30	MLB	HOU	53%	298	265	57	11	1	7	27	79	4	7	1	215	297	343	641	128	272	27	9	275	69	-10	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.1
2038	31	MLB	HOU	52%	288	256	53	10	1	6	26	77	4	6	1	207	290	324	614	117	270	27	9	272	66	-11	+1	-1	+3	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3380	3007	641	124	11	77	296	884	49	80	11	213	294	339	633	125	273	26	9	277	70	-114	+12	-4	+36	+96	2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	123	24	2	15	57	170	9	15	2	213	293	339	632	126	273	26	9	277	70	-22	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	6628	5895	1242	237	26	140	577	1730	98	174	24	211	292	331	623	120	271	26	9	283	75	-190	+25	-7	+71	+188	8.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	122	23	3	14	57	170	10	17	2	211	293	334	627	123	272	26	9	283	75	-19	+3	-1	+7	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	208	170	51	10	0	6	28	34	6	18	0	300	417	465	881	165	341	16	13	389	156	+13	+4	—	—	+6	2.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,582	77	86	213	290	336	+38	+21	5.1	4.5
	/162	664	14	16	213	290	336	+7.1	+3.9	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anderson Areinamo (OGILVIE)	19	50	40	60	50	163/253/266	103	216	5	15	30%	9%	38	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→55	40→45	53→50	44	216/279/314	98	304	7	14	30%	7%	64	-0.8	199/257/288	89	280	6	10	30%	6%	48	-1.9	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Adan Velazquez 2010 · A	20	44→52	43→45	54→50	43	215/277/331	116	278	9	11	25%	6%	69	-0.4	210/261/303	93	295	7	10	30%	5%	54	-1.4	248/287/342	94	301	8	6	20%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Robert Vasquez 2006 · A	19	49	40	52→50	47	232/289/326	94	289	6	12	22%	7%	72	-0.2	206/273/275	69	276	4	8	25%	8%	52	-1.6	196/269/254	58	272	5	9	27%	8%	44	-0.6
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Jorge Alcantara 2011 · A	19	45	41→45	51→50	43	216/278/319	103	302	7	11	30%	7%	66	-0.6	198/267/295	97	299	7	13	33%	8%	55	-1.4	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	42→52	39→45	53→55	42	202/258/287	85	283	6	12	30%	7%	48	-1.9	215/267/306	91	282	7	10	25%	6%	56	-1.3	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	211/276/297	86	310	7	9	32%	8%	59	-1.1	239/285/329	90	301	8	17	22%	5%	70	-0.3	252/302/359	107	305	10	17	20%	6%	82	+0.4
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→35	40→45	55	45	230/305/328	98	330	7	18	30%	8%	80	+0.4	188/317/307	119	267	12	20	31%	11%	83	+0.6	183/337/342	159	234	19	21	28%	12%	99	+0.8
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	49→56	43→45	52→60	41	238/280/347	109	301	10	12	24%	5%	72	-0.2	245/290/342	97	292	8	24	18%	5%	76	+0.0	263/301/369	107	303	9	35	16%	4%	85	+0.5
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	49→55	38→45	51→60	51	232/298/315	83	281	5	13	18%	8%	72	-0.2	229/285/335	106	315	11	30	29%	7%	72	-0.2	236/292/342	106	319	11	39	28%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Jorge Vega-Rosado 2012 · A	20	47	41→45	55	41	224/275/324	100	304	8	19	28%	6%	65	-0.7	205/261/286	81	311	6	14	34%	6%	50	-1.8	174/233/231	57	275	4	15	36%	6%	21	-1.4
✕Leo Balcazar 2023 · A	19	44→49	44→40	55→45	39	211/276/328	117	312	11	15	34%	7%	67	-0.5	218/270/304	86	313	7	10	31%	6%	58	-1.2	218/268/302	84	281	9	6	25%	5%	53	-1.1
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	38→40	55→60	45	206/289/290	83	281	5	13	27%	8%	63	-0.8	190/255/255	65	322	4	20	39%	6%	40	-2.4	197/270/275	78	320	7	32	37%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Tito Polo 2015 · A	20	45→50	40→45	55→60	40	215/275/310	96	298	6	17	29%	6%	62	-0.9	217/271/314	97	290	8	26	27%	5%	61	-1.0	225/280/337	113	299	11	32	28%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	44→46	42→50	50→55	49	212/297/322	110	288	9	12	28%	10%	75	-0.0	215/276/339	124	320	12	16	34%	7%	70	-0.3	230/282/341	111	315	10	15	29%	6%	69	-0.3
✕Victor Bericoto 2021 · A	19	49→45	40→50	51→40	48	227/306/319	91	323	7	10	30%	10%	78	+0.2	219/280/336	117	316	13	5	32%	7%	71	-0.3	229/275/343	114	303	14	4	28%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→54	37→40	56→55	45	223/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	66	-0.6	200/260/251	51	275	1	18	26%	7%	40	-2.4	236/301/308	72	311	3	11	23%	8%	69	-0.2