Freddy Hernandez

P DSL Angels

Age 19 LHP 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKLAA	11	11	44	3.89	3.30	21.2%	11.3%	—	K 14.4% · BB 14.2% · FIP 4.45
2026	18	ROKLAA	11	6	29	4.66	4.24	16.4%	9.4%	—	K 11.2% · BB 11.7% · FIP 5.44
2027PROJ	19	MLBLAA	5	5	20	5.92	5.92	13.0%	15.1%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBLAA	4	4	20	5.63	5.54	15.2%	13.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control30Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJacob Heatherly (age 19) · McKenzie Mills (age 19) · Josue Arias (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129137vR 146

ERA5.92

FIP5.92

K%13.0%

BB%15.1%

K-BB%-2.1%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	11	11	44	203	43	23	2	100%	4.0	14.4%	14.2%	0.2%	1.4%	3.89	4.45	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	11	11	44	203	43	23	2	100%	4.0	14.4%	14.2%	0.2%	1.4%	3.89	4.45	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	11	11	44	203	43	23	2	100%	4.0	21.2%	11.3%	9.9%	1.0%	3.89	3.30	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	11	6	29	128	21	12	3	55%	2.6	11.2%	11.7%	-0.6%	3.3%	4.66	5.44	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	11	6	29	128	21	12	3	55%	2.6	11.2%	11.7%	-0.6%	3.3%	4.66	5.44	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	11	6	29	128	21	12	3	55%	2.6	16.4%	9.4%	7.0%	2.3%	4.66	4.24	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	LAA	5	5	20	84	11	13	3	100%	4.0	13.0%	15.1%	-2.1%	3.0%	5.92	5.92	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	LAA	9	9	42	176	27	24	5	100%	4.6	15.2%	13.8%	1.4%	2.9%	5.63	5.54	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	LAA	4	4	20	84	13	12	2	100%	5.0	15.2%	13.8%	1.4%	2.9%	5.63	5.54	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	20	86	13	12	3	100%	5.1	15.2%	13.8%	1.4%	2.9%	5.63	5.16	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	43	200	844	127	117	29	100%	4.6	15.2%	13.8%	1.4%	2.9%	5.63	5.16	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		22	17	73	331	44	44	7	77%	3.3	13.1%	13.2%	-0.1%	2.1%	4.19	4.84	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		60	47	200	907	119	120	19	77%	3.3	13.1%	13.2%	-0.1%	2.1%	4.19	4.84	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Freddy Hernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.92	13.0%	15.1%	3.0%	—	5.54	15.2%	1.4%	42	-0.38	—	—	—
Jacob Heatherly L 2017 · 5.14 FIP	19	SP-	5.14	11.6%	13.8%	2.3%	.315	6.27	18.1%	-9.1%	39	+1.13	4.47	192	90
McKenzie Mills L 2015 · 7.06 FIP	19	SP-	7.06	9.8%	21.4%	3.8%	.288	4.17	18.2%	11.0%	227	-2.89	4.12	334	85
Josue Arias L 2024 · 6.86 FIP	19	SP	6.86	13.8%	28.1%	2.5%	.250	7.30	9.3%	-30.1%	13	+0.44	4.73	114	83
Wilgenis Alvarado L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	19	SP-	4.88	10.5%	11.0%	2.3%	.289	5.43	14.8%	-3.3%	80	+0.55	4.70	122	83
Miguel Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.58 FIP	20	SP-	5.58	14.3%	21.8%	1.7%	.240	4.24	14.9%	-4.1%	64	-1.34	3.91	103	82
Juan Rojas L 2023 · 5.60 FIP	19	SP-	5.60	13.5%	14.4%	3.3%	.286	4.28	16.9%	2.0%	178	-1.32	2.74	282	82
Juan Pablo Lopez L 2017 · 5.05 FIP	18	SP-	5.05	8.4%	13.1%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	4.24	115	82
Sandro Bargallo L 2021 · 6.70 FIP	19	SP-	6.70	15.8%	26.5%	2.9%	.308	4.91	19.2%	-3.1%	82	-1.79	4.16	129	80
Salvador Montano L 2015 · 5.23 FIP	21	SP-	5.23	11.5%	15.9%	2.0%	.301	4.65	21.3%	-0.0%	71	-0.58	4.44	116	80
Dylan MacLean L 2021 · 6.38 FIP	19	SP	6.38	13.6%	27.9%	1.6%	.271	4.11	15.7%	5.3%	101	-2.27	3.45	282	80
Oddanier Mosqueda L 2017 · 5.29 FIP	18	SP	5.29	11.5%	15.0%	2.3%	.354	3.74	22.8%	11.7%	52	-1.55	3.05	433	80
Alexuan Vega L 2018 · 6.80 FIP	19	SP	6.80	11.5%	21.1%	3.6%	.306	5.64	13.6%	-7.7%	43	-1.16	5.05	111	80
Jared Tobey L 2018 · 5.39 FIP	22	SP	5.39	11.9%	15.1%	2.5%	.289	4.05	22.3%	10.4%	97	-1.34	3.99	158	80
Luis Guzman L 2015 · 4.81 FIP	19	SP-	4.81	11.7%	14.0%	1.7%	.307	4.41	14.7%	8.8%	59	-0.40	4.41	116	80
Gabriel Agostini L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	19	SP-	5.14	13.5%	12.4%	2.9%	.246	5.63	9.5%	-16.8%	12	+0.49	1.97	122	80
Brandon Herbold L 2024 · 6.27 FIP	19	SP-	6.27	17.2%	17.6%	4.3%	.296	5.06	19.8%	-3.9%	44	-1.21	3.72	105	79
Luis Cesar L 2023 · 5.28 FIP	19	SP-	5.28	14.8%	20.6%	1.5%	.351	5.77	14.3%	-8.1%	91	+0.49	4.84	131	78
Lucas Gilbreath L 2017 · 5.60 FIP	21	SP	5.60	11.5%	17.8%	2.2%	.281	4.37	16.9%	7.4%	260	-1.23	3.17	431	77
Bjorn Johnson L 2024 · 5.87 FIP	19	SP-	5.87	11.0%	22.7%	1.5%	.391	4.15	18.2%	3.1%	108	-1.72	3.80	128	77
Max Roberts L 2017 · 4.79 FIP	20	SP-	4.79	10.7%	9.9%	2.5%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	173	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	14.5%	14.2%	1.13	5.72
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Denny Bautista ('10)	1.1	45	17.3%	12.7%	0.85	5.89
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*