Jefer Lista

OF DSL Brewers Gold
Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 184 lbs ROK HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202517ROKDSL Brewers B…233.229/.400/.2630939—.153/.304/.180
202618ROKDSL Brewers G…130.307/.453/.4853276—.204/.328/.315
2027PROJMLE19MLBMIL240.206/.291/.2782465-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBMIL42.209/.294/.2910171-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Chase%89
K%88
wOBA86
Whiff%84
wRC+81
ISO77
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%
CompsEdwin Sanchez (age 19) · Jorge Caballero (age 18) · Guillermo Pimentel (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj PA
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .289 / .276
PA68
HR0
K%23
BB%9
ISO72
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +1.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202517 ROKDSL Brewers Blue — 233179 41410 383713 94 229400263663 34283 1616 324 39 — — — — — —
202618 ROKDSL Brewers Gold — 130101 31903 25172 22 307453485938 178337 1319 415 76 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Brewers Blue — 233189 29310 284313 94 153304180484 26180 1812 226 39 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Brewers Gold — 130108 22602 18212 22 204328315643 111219 1614 280 76 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Brewers Blue — 233189 29310 284313 94 153304180484 26195 1812 226 39 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Brewers Blue — 233179 41410 383713 94 229400263663 34283 1616 324 39 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Brewers Gold — 130108 22602 18212 22 204328315643 111230 1614 280 76 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWDSL Brewers Gold — 130101 31903 25172 22 307453485938 178337 1319 415 76 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Brewers Blue — 233190 29310 284313 94 153304179483 26180 1812 226 39 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Brewers Gold — 130109 22602 18212 22 202328312640 110219 1614 280 76 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Brewers Blue — 233190 29310 284313 94 153304179483 26180 1812 226 39 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEDSL Brewers Gold — 130109 22602 18212 22 202328312640 110219 1614 280 76 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLEMIL 0% 240212 43712 22564 41 206291278570 72269 239 264 65 -10 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLEMIL 34% 122108 23411 11282 21 211297295591 83272 239 273 71 -4 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.2
202820 MLB CTXMIL 34% 4237 7100 4101 10 209294291585 82268 2410 270 71 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4237 7100 4101 10 189286216502 27259 2410 270 58 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650573 1081500 6215515 150 188285215499 26258 2410 270 58 -23 +3 +0 -4 +14 -0.9
Career— MLE — 553466 851523 6310818 147 182303242546 60227 2011 254 58 -7 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650548 1001824 7412721 168 182303245548 62226 2011 254 58 -24 +1 +0 -4 +14 -1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Brewers Gold · 130 PAwOBA .411 → .280 (−131)K% 13.1% → 16.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.08%÷1.000×1.220——15.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.23%÷1.000×0.700—×1.00813.56%
HBP% /PA1.54%—×0.700—×1.0081.08%
Singles /BIP22.62%÷1.000×0.680×1.002×1.00815.53%
Doubles /BIP10.71%÷1.000×0.600×1.002×1.0086.49%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600×1.002×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP3.57%÷1.000×0.470—×1.0081.69%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .411 → .280; ISO .178 → .103; BABIP .337 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Brewers Blue · 233 PAwOBA .321 → .226 (−95)K% 15.9% → 18.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.88%÷1.052×1.220——18.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.31%÷0.984×0.700—×1.02211.86%
HBP% /PA5.58%—×0.700—×1.0223.99%
Singles /BIP25.35%÷1.051×0.680×0.973×1.02216.32%
Doubles /BIP2.82%÷1.017×0.600×0.973×1.0221.65%
Triples /BIP0.70%÷1.042×0.600×0.973×1.0220.40%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.042×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 110, 2B 103, 3B 108, K 110, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .321 → .226; ISO .034 → .021; BABIP .283 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).