Jefer Lista — OGILVIE

Jefer ListaOF DSL Brewers Gold

Age 18 R/R 6'2" / 184 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION73 act + 130 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .295 / .296

PA130

HR1

K%23

BB%9

BABIP271

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	233	193	32	3	1	0	24	48	13	9	4	166	300	192	492	26	216	21	10	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	233	179	41	4	1	0	38	37	13	9	4	229	400	263	663	34	283	16	16	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	MIL	—	73	62	14	4	0	2	8	14	1	2	1	226	324	387	711	161	250	19	11	296	85	-1	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.0
YTD	18	ROK	MIL	—	73	57	16	5	0	2	13	10	1	2	1	281	423	474	896	193	298	14	18	391	157	+5	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.6
ROS	18	ROK	MIL	0%	130	115	24	5	1	1	12	30	2	2	1	209	295	296	590	87	268	23	9	270	65	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
ROS	18	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		266	—	—	256	54	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	MIL	—	73	63	14	4	0	2	8	14	1	2	1	222	324	381	705	159	245	19	11	296	85	-1	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.0
TOT	18	ROK	MIL	—	203	177	38	9	1	3	20	44	3	4	2	215	305	328	633	113	263	22	10	279	72	-6	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	MIL	34%	281	248	54	10	2	4	26	64	5	5	1	218	305	323	627	105	271	23	9	279	72	-9	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	MIL	48%	401	354	77	14	2	6	37	91	7	7	2	218	304	319	623	102	274	23	9	287	78	-10	+1	+0	-2	+11	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	MIL	54%	490	433	96	18	3	8	45	110	9	9	3	222	308	333	641	111	276	22	9	293	82	-10	+1	+0	-3	+14	0.2
2030	22	MLB	MIL	57%	552	486	109	20	3	10	51	123	10	10	3	224	311	340	650	115	277	22	9	297	85	-9	+1	+0	-3	+16	0.4
2031	23	MLB	MIL	58%	595	524	118	22	3	11	55	131	11	11	3	225	312	342	653	116	278	22	9	299	87	-9	+1	+0	-4	+17	0.6
2032	24	MLB	MIL	57%	617	544	124	23	3	12	57	136	11	12	4	228	314	347	661	119	279	22	9	300	88	-8	+1	+0	-4	+17	0.6
2033	25	MLB	MIL	57%	628	553	125	23	3	12	58	138	12	12	4	226	313	344	657	118	279	22	9	301	89	-8	+1	+0	-4	+18	0.7
2027	19	MLB	MIL	34%	97	86	18	3	1	1	9	22	2	2	1	209	299	302	601	93	269	23	9	264	61	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	MIL	48%	194	170	37	7	1	3	18	44	4	3	1	218	307	324	631	106	272	23	9	272	66	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2029	21	MLB	MIL	54%	266	235	51	9	1	5	24	60	5	5	1	217	303	328	631	111	274	23	9	277	70	-9	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2030	22	MLB	MIL	57%	312	274	62	11	2	6	29	69	6	6	2	226	314	347	661	120	275	22	9	281	73	-9	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.2
2031	23	MLB	MIL	58%	343	302	67	12	2	6	32	76	6	6	2	222	309	334	643	113	276	22	9	283	75	-10	+0	+0	-2	+10	-0.2
2032	24	MLB	MIL	57%	352	309	71	13	2	7	33	77	7	7	2	230	318	353	671	123	277	22	9	285	76	-10	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.1
2033	25	MLB	MIL	57%	356	313	71	13	2	7	33	78	7	7	2	227	314	348	663	121	277	22	9	285	76	-9	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1920	1690	377	68	11	35	178	426	37	36	11	223	311	338	649	115	276	22	9	281	73	-59	+3	+0	-12	+54	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	128	23	4	12	60	144	13	12	4	224	312	341	653	117	277	22	9	281	73	-20	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	3927	3450	759	138	21	64	365	871	80	77	25	220	309	328	637	108	274	22	9	291	81	-86	+5	+0	-24	+111	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	126	23	3	11	60	144	13	13	4	221	309	329	638	109	274	22	9	291	81	-14	+1	+0	-4	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	233	179	41	4	1	0	38	37	13	9	4	229	400	263	663	34	283	16	16	324	106	+2	+0	—	—	+7	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,122	36	39	224	307	336	-13	+0	1.0	1.2
	/162	664	11	12	224	307	336	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jefer Lista (OGILVIE)	18	35	20	50	60	215/305/328	113	263	3	4	22%	10%	72	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→30	52→50	46	204/257/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	46	-2.0	230/283/304	74	270	3	15	15%	6%	63	-0.9	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Kelvin Fajardo 2014 · A	18	44	35→30	46→50	48	204/261/260	56	246	3	6	18%	7%	43	-2.2	222/278/270	48	270	1	6	17%	6%	52	-1.6	224/280/257	33	266	0	6	15%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Jorge Caballero 2018 · A	18	44	37→40	49→45	47	210/286/284	74	263	4	10	21%	7%	61	-1.0	216/286/282	66	325	3	7	31%	8%	59	-1.1	225/303/291	67	362	5	5	36%	9%	66	-0.3
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	46	-2.0	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	61	-1.0	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Ivan Gonzalez 2014 · A	18	44	37→40	47→50	47	208/269/281	73	249	4	12	18%	6%	52	-1.6	224/274/303	79	281	4	12	21%	5%	59	-1.1	244/291/326	81	295	5	14	18%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Albert Hernandez 2008 · A	19	43	39→40	49→45	46	207/270/299	92	260	6	7	22%	7%	57	-1.2	226/286/317	91	285	6	7	22%	6%	68	-0.5	230/289/314	84	291	6	6	22%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Elio Castillo 2012 · A	18	43	35→30	48→50	49	202/273/265	63	251	2	8	20%	8%	50	-1.8	213/285/265	52	263	2	8	18%	7%	55	-1.4	213/278/238	26	263	0	8	18%	7%	43	-0.6
✕Randy Romero 2019 · A	19	43	36→40	50→60	45	203/252/272	69	247	3	12	19%	6%	42	-2.3	229/271/302	73	269	3	22	15%	5%	56	-1.3	223/260/283	60	275	2	30	19%	4%	47	-0.6
✕Dubal Baez 2011 · A	18	46	36→30	50→60	46	214/289/282	68	300	4	7	28%	8%	61	-1.0	214/302/264	50	297	2	18	26%	8%	63	-0.8	217/309/247	30	304	0	28	25%	8%	58	-0.3
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	43→46	38→45	47→55	49	203/297/279	76	256	6	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	211/299/308	97	254	9	16	20%	9%	72	-0.2	216/299/322	106	259	12	19	21%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→32	37→40	43→50	40	199/260/273	73	295	4	10	32%	6%	46	-2.0	184/285/263	79	357	5	9	44%	10%	56	-1.3	152/269/228	75	334	5	7	49%	11%	40	-1.1
✕Daniel Padilla 2015 · A	18	44	35→30	50→55	43	206/259/267	61	274	2	12	24%	6%	43	-2.2	221/284/282	61	298	3	16	25%	7%	58	-1.2	233/300/281	48	310	2	23	24%	8%	62	-0.3
✕Jose Monserrate 2023 · A	18	47	38→40	51→50	46	221/290/309	87	287	5	13	23%	7%	68	-0.5	215/293/282	67	300	3	21	27%	9%	63	-0.9	180/265/225	45	288	1	34	34%	9%	34	-0.6
✕Manuel Falcon 2008 · A	18	43	35→30	49→50	41	200/260/254	54	286	2	8	29%	6%	41	-2.3	227/283/274	47	287	1	10	20%	6%	56	-1.3	240/298/272	32	295	0	11	17%	6%	60	-0.4
✕Marco Soto 2022 · A	18	41	36→30	52→50	41	195/262/260	64	278	3	10	29%	6%	44	-2.1	202/257/256	54	271	2	8	25%	5%	40	-2.4	184/237/220	36	252	1	8	26%	5%	21	-0.9
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	48	-1.9	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	69	-0.4	221/287/267	45	270	0	22	16%	8%	54	-0.5