Elias Reyno

OF FCL Braves
Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202517ROKATL184.178/.408/.27111352—.123/.324/.188
202618ROKATL64.269/.406/.3270652—.196/.297/.250
2027PROJMLE19MLBATL174.182/.279/.2531455-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB20MLBATL33.188/.284/.2690161-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Chase%91
BB%89
wOBA58
wRC+57
Z-Con%48
ISO47
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 97%
CompsRichard Rodriguez (age 19) · Ricardo Rosario (age 19) · Maximo Rivera (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 40 proj PA
wRC+†55
AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .276 / .251
PA40
HR0
K%29
BB%10
ISO71
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +0.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202517 ROKDSL Braves — 184129 23901 384612 135 178408271679 93253 2521 330 52 — — — — — —
202618 ROKFCL Braves — 6452 14110 10152 63 269406327733 58378 2316 347 52 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 184138 17601 295612 135 123324188512 65170 3016 245 52 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 6456 11110 6222 63 196297250547 54312 349 245 52 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 184138 17601 295612 135 123324188512 65186 3016 245 52 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Braves — 184129 23901 384612 135 178408271679 93253 2521 330 52 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 6456 11110 6222 63 196297250547 54324 349 245 52 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAWFCL Braves — 6452 14110 10152 63 269406327733 58378 2316 347 52 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 184141 17601 295612 135 121324184508 64170 3016 245 52 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 6456 11110 6222 63 196297250547 54312 349 245 52 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 184141 17601 295612 135 121324184508 64170 3016 245 52 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 6456 11110 6222 63 196297250547 54312 349 245 52 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLEATL 0% 174151 27511 17504 41 182279253532 71258 2910 250 55 -9 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLEATL 34% 9685 16311 9272 20 188284269554 81262 289 259 61 -4 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.3
202820 MLB CTXATL 34% 3329 5100 391 10 188284269554 81262 279 259 61 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3329 5100 391 10 172273207480 34250 279 259 55 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650571 992000 5917720 200 173274208482 35251 279 259 55 -30 +4 +0 -4 +14 -1.6
Career— MLE — 384314 501122 4811617 228 159303226530 67239 3012 249 55 -7 +1 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650532 841933 8119629 3714 158302222524 64238 3012 249 55 -31 +3 +0 -4 +14 -1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Braves · 64 PAwOBA .339 → .245 (−95)K% 23.4% → 33.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.44%÷1.000×1.440——33.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.62%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0229.91%
HBP% /PA3.12%—×0.720—×1.0222.30%
Singles /BIP32.43%÷1.000×0.820—×1.02227.19%
Doubles /BIP2.70%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0221.99%
Triples /BIP2.70%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0221.99%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .339 → .245; ISO .058 → .040; BABIP .378 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Braves · 184 PAwOBA .333 → .245 (−88)K% 25.0% → 30.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.009×1.220——30.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.65%÷0.947×0.700—×1.02215.62%
HBP% /PA6.52%—×0.700—×1.0224.67%
Singles /BIP15.66%÷0.978×0.680×0.973×1.02210.84%
Doubles /BIP10.84%÷0.932×0.600×0.973×1.0226.95%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.045×0.600×0.973×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP1.20%÷0.878×0.470—×1.0220.66%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 96, 2B 86, 3B 109, K 102, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .333 → .245; ISO .093 → .063; BABIP .253 → .170. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).