Elias Reyno — OGILVIE

Elias ReynoOF FCL Braves

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION78 act + 76 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .289 / .242

PA76

HR0

K%29

BB%11

BABIP273

ISO61

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	184	141	19	7	0	1	26	65	12	13	5	135	318	206	524	71	225	35	14	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	184	129	23	9	0	1	38	46	12	13	5	178	408	271	679	93	253	25	21	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	ATL	—	78	65	10	0	1	0	9	27	4	10	1	154	295	185	479	31	263	35	12	244	45	-5	+2	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
YTD	18	ROK	ATL	—	78	59	14	0	2	0	15	19	4	10	1	237	423	305	728	68	350	24	19	352	128	+2	+2	+0	-0	+2	0.6
ROS	18	ROK	ATL	0%	76	66	12	2	1	0	8	22	2	3	0	182	289	242	532	61	260	29	11	252	51	-4	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
ROS	18	MLB	ATL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		260	—	—	233	37	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	ATL	—	78	66	10	0	1	0	9	27	4	10	1	152	295	182	477	30	256	35	12	244	45	-5	+2	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
TOT	18	ROK	ATL	—	154	131	22	2	2	0	17	49	6	13	1	168	292	214	506	46	268	32	11	248	48	-9	+2	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	ATL	34%	240	208	41	7	2	3	24	69	6	6	1	197	298	293	592	96	269	29	10	267	62	-10	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.4
2028	20	MLB	ATL	48%	369	320	64	11	3	5	37	103	9	9	1	200	301	300	601	100	273	28	10	276	69	-13	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.3
2029	21	MLB	ATL	54%	465	404	81	14	3	7	47	128	11	11	2	200	301	302	603	101	275	28	10	282	74	-14	+1	+0	-3	+13	-0.2
2030	22	MLB	ATL	57%	533	461	95	16	4	9	54	145	13	12	2	206	307	317	624	111	276	27	10	286	77	-14	+2	+0	-3	+15	-0.0
2031	23	MLB	ATL	58%	579	502	104	18	4	10	58	157	14	13	2	207	307	319	625	112	277	27	10	288	79	-14	+2	+0	-3	+16	0.1
2032	24	MLB	ATL	57%	609	527	111	19	5	11	62	165	15	13	2	211	311	328	640	118	278	27	10	290	80	-14	+2	+0	-4	+17	0.2
2033	25	MLB	ATL	61%	625	542	113	19	5	11	63	169	15	14	2	208	308	323	631	114	278	27	10	291	81	-14	+2	+0	-4	+18	0.3
2034	26	MLB	ATL	63%	633	549	116	20	5	12	64	171	15	14	2	211	311	332	642	120	278	27	10	291	81	-13	+2	+0	-4	+18	0.3
2027	19	MLB	ATL	34%	82	72	14	2	1	1	8	24	2	2	0	194	293	292	584	97	269	29	10	249	49	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
2028	20	MLB	ATL	48%	179	155	30	5	1	2	18	50	4	4	1	194	294	277	571	84	273	28	10	258	56	-9	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
2029	21	MLB	ATL	54%	252	219	45	8	2	4	25	69	6	6	1	205	304	315	619	110	275	27	10	264	61	-11	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.5
2030	22	MLB	ATL	57%	302	262	53	9	2	5	30	82	7	7	1	202	301	309	610	107	276	27	10	269	64	-12	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.5
2031	23	MLB	ATL	58%	333	288	59	10	2	6	34	90	8	7	1	205	306	316	622	111	277	27	10	271	65	-13	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.5
2032	24	MLB	ATL	57%	347	301	63	11	3	6	35	94	8	8	1	209	308	326	634	116	278	27	10	272	67	-13	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.4
2033	25	MLB	ATL	61%	379	329	69	12	3	7	38	102	9	8	1	210	309	328	637	119	278	27	10	273	67	-14	+1	+0	-2	+11	-0.4
2034	26	MLB	ATL	63%	396	343	71	12	3	7	40	107	10	9	1	207	308	321	629	114	278	27	10	274	68	-14	+1	+0	-2	+11	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2270	1970	404	69	17	38	228	618	54	51	7	205	305	315	620	110	276	27	10	269	64	-92	+7	+0	-14	+64	-3.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	116	20	5	11	65	177	15	15	2	206	304	317	621	112	277	27	10	269	64	-26	+2	+0	-4	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	4313	3720	756	133	32	69	443	1194	112	108	19	203	307	312	618	109	277	28	10	284	76	-119	+14	+0	-26	+122	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	114	20	5	10	67	180	17	16	3	203	307	310	618	107	277	28	10	284	76	-18	+2	+0	-4	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	184	129	23	9	0	1	38	46	12	13	5	178	408	271	679	93	253	25	21	330	111	+2	+1	—	—	+5	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,424	40	54	206	302	315	-15	+0	-0.4	0.0
	/162	664	11	15	206	302	315	-4.0	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elias Reyno (OGILVIE)	18	20	25	55	60	168/292/214	46	268	0	13	32%	11%	48	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	46	-2.0	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	61	-1.0	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Antonio Tovar 2014 · A	18	40	34→30	53→45	47	187/263/237	50	262	2	14	27%	9%	38	-2.6	205/274/264	59	266	2	10	22%	8%	50	-1.8	206/272/262	56	259	3	9	20%	8%	46	-0.8
✕Curtney Doran 2010 · A	18	39	37→30	51→55	48	184/277/259	75	284	4	16	34%	10%	51	-1.7	188/294/266	78	272	4	10	29%	12%	60	-1.0	154/290/223	68	217	3	8	26%	15%	49	-0.9
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→30	52→50	46	204/257/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	46	-2.0	230/283/304	74	270	3	15	15%	6%	63	-0.9	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Henry Ramos 2023 · A	18	37	34→45	55	45	175/253/225	50	259	2	17	31%	8%	31	-3.0	179/240/248	69	278	4	16	35%	7%	30	-3.1	199/257/269	70	294	5	20	32%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2017 · A	18	37	35→40	51→60	40	176/238/231	55	271	2	17	34%	7%	25	-3.5	204/268/282	78	293	5	21	30%	8%	52	-1.6	192/263/269	77	285	7	32	32%	8%	44	-0.7
✕Olivber Moreno 2019 · A	18	40	36→40	52→50	41	192/248/253	61	272	3	13	29%	6%	36	-2.7	198/268/274	76	279	6	11	29%	7%	50	-1.7	203/284/283	80	254	7	13	21%	8%	56	-0.6
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→32	37→40	43→50	40	199/260/273	73	295	4	10	32%	6%	46	-2.0	184/285/263	79	357	5	9	44%	10%	56	-1.3	152/269/228	75	334	5	7	49%	11%	40	-1.1
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Jose Paez 2012 · A	18	36	36→45	51→50	41	173/241/239	66	265	4	16	34%	7%	30	-3.1	220/268/311	91	310	5	12	29%	5%	58	-1.2	226/270/319	93	319	4	12	29%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Marco Soto 2022 · A	18	41	36→30	52→50	41	195/262/260	64	278	3	10	29%	6%	44	-2.1	202/257/256	54	271	2	8	25%	5%	40	-2.4	184/237/220	36	252	1	8	26%	5%	21	-0.9
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2023 · A	18	42→39	36→45	51→60	46	193/275/265	72	282	3	13	30%	9%	51	-1.7	203/273/292	89	313	7	23	34%	8%	56	-1.3	206/260/333	127	301	14	35	35%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	30	-3.1	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	53	-1.5	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	56	-0.4
✕Juan Baez 2023 · A	18	43→37	36→40	49→50	44	203/250/264	61	250	3	15	20%	5%	38	-2.6	224/268/306	82	266	4	13	17%	5%	57	-1.2	213/265/282	69	250	3	11	15%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2008 · A	18	40	37→40	45→55	39	190/264/262	72	298	5	8	36%	7%	46	-2.0	202/281/278	76	302	6	15	32%	8%	57	-1.2	192/271/258	66	296	7	17	34%	8%	46	-0.7