Sterling Bazil — OGILVIE

Sterling BazilSS DSL Tigers 2

Age 18 S/R 5'10" / 164 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION106 act + 70 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+53

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .269 / .267

PA70

HR1

K%30

BB%8

BABIP264

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$5M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$4M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M
Totals		$14M		$27M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	168	148	18	1	1	4	18	65	1	19	5	122	222	223	445	101	175	39	11	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	168	138	25	2	1	6	28	44	1	19	5	181	323	341	664	159	213	26	17	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	106	95	19	1	0	2	10	35	1	19	2	200	283	274	557	74	293	33	9	260	57	-5	+3	+0	+1	+3	0.2
YTD	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	106	89	27	2	0	3	16	24	1	19	2	303	415	427	842	124	387	23	15	383	151	+6	+3	+0	+1	+3	1.4
ROS	18	ROK	—	0%	70	63	12	2	0	1	6	21	1	4	1	188	269	267	536	79	265	30	8	254	53	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		265	—	—	254	53	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	—	—	106	96	19	1	0	2	10	35	1	19	2	198	283	271	554	73	288	33	9	260	57	-5	+3	+0	+1	+3	0.2
TOT	18	ROK	—	—	176	158	31	3	0	3	16	56	2	23	3	195	277	271	548	76	281	32	9	258	55	-9	+3	+0	+2	+5	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	233	209	42	6	1	4	20	67	2	8	1	201	277	297	574	96	272	29	9	268	63	-10	+1	+0	+2	+7	0.1
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	362	323	67	10	2	7	32	101	4	10	1	207	287	316	603	108	275	28	9	276	69	-12	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	460	411	87	13	2	10	41	126	5	12	2	212	291	326	617	114	277	27	9	281	74	-14	+2	+0	+5	+13	0.6
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	529	471	102	15	3	12	47	144	6	14	2	217	296	338	633	121	278	27	9	285	76	-14	+2	+0	+6	+15	0.9
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	576	512	110	16	3	13	52	156	7	15	2	215	296	334	630	119	279	27	9	287	77	-15	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.0
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	606	540	117	17	3	14	54	163	7	15	2	217	296	337	633	120	280	27	9	288	79	-15	+2	+0	+6	+17	1.1
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	623	554	121	18	3	15	56	168	8	16	2	218	299	343	642	125	280	27	9	289	79	-15	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.2
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	632	562	122	18	3	15	57	170	8	16	2	217	298	340	638	123	280	27	9	289	79	-15	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.2
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	632	561	122	18	3	15	58	170	8	16	2	217	300	340	640	123	280	27	9	289	79	-15	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.3
2036	28	MLB	—	59%	628	557	120	17	3	15	58	170	8	15	2	215	299	338	636	122	279	27	9	288	79	-15	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.1
2037	29	MLB	—	56%	618	549	117	17	3	14	57	169	7	14	2	213	295	332	627	118	279	27	9	286	77	-16	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.9
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	80	72	15	2	0	2	7	23	1	3	0	208	287	319	607	111	272	29	9	268	63	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	175	156	33	5	1	4	15	49	2	5	1	212	289	333	622	122	275	28	9	276	69	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	249	222	47	7	1	5	22	68	3	7	1	212	291	320	611	108	277	27	9	281	74	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	299	266	56	8	1	7	27	81	4	8	1	211	293	327	620	117	278	27	9	285	76	-8	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.5
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	332	295	64	9	2	8	30	90	4	8	1	217	298	342	640	125	279	27	9	287	77	-8	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.6
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	345	307	67	10	2	8	31	93	4	9	1	218	298	342	640	124	280	27	9	288	79	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	353	314	68	10	2	8	32	95	4	9	1	217	297	338	635	121	280	27	9	289	79	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	358	319	69	10	2	8	32	96	4	9	1	216	296	335	631	119	280	27	9	289	79	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	351	312	68	10	2	8	32	95	4	9	1	218	299	340	639	122	280	27	9	289	79	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2036	28	MLB	—	59%	371	329	71	10	2	9	34	101	5	9	1	216	299	340	639	125	279	27	9	288	79	-9	+1	-0	+4	+11	0.7
2037	29	MLB	—	56%	346	307	67	10	2	8	32	94	4	8	1	218	300	342	642	124	279	27	9	286	77	-9	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3259	2900	625	91	17	75	294	885	39	84	10	216	296	336	633	121	281	27	9	286	77	-85	+13	-1	+35	+92	5.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	124	18	3	15	59	177	8	17	2	215	296	334	630	119	280	27	9	286	77	-17	+3	-0	+7	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	6137	5460	1157	168	30	139	556	1690	72	174	26	212	293	330	623	118	278	28	9	283	75	-175	+24	-2	+66	+174	8.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	123	18	3	15	59	179	8	18	3	213	295	332	627	119	279	28	9	283	75	-19	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	168	138	25	2	1	6	28	44	1	19	5	181	323	341	664	159	213	26	17	306	92	-1	+2	—	—	+5	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,403	77	87	215	292	334	+36	+21	5.2	4.8
	/162	664	15	17	215	292	334	+7.1	+4.1	1.0	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sterling Bazil (OGILVIE)	18	20	40	60	60	195/277/271	76	281	3	23	32%	9%	55	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Jim Caceres 2019 · A	18	43	40→45	55	48	207/277/305	97	255	6	14	21%	7%	61	-1.0	196/263/271	75	271	4	10	27%	7%	47	-1.9	124/200/139	15	187	0	10	30%	7%	-14	-1.1
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	42	-2.3	225/287/323	98	318	6	19	29%	7%	70	-0.3	201/262/323	122	304	12	21	36%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	41	41→40	51→30	43	201/256/296	95	262	9	9	26%	7%	50	-1.7	189/256/262	73	263	5	5	28%	8%	42	-2.3	168/252/275	106	241	12	2	34%	9%	42	-0.6
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Michael Chirinos 2018 · A	18	41	37→40	51→55	50	193/251/266	73	225	4	11	16%	7%	40	-2.4	226/292/296	70	250	5	13	11%	8%	65	-0.7	236/307/298	61	253	5	16	8%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Miguel Tamares 2023 · A	18	40	39→40	56→60	48	187/282/273	86	283	6	24	33%	10%	56	-1.3	178/267/248	70	298	4	19	38%	9%	44	-2.1	126/238/152	25	234	0	24	40%	10%	7	-1.2
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42	45	53→60	45	210/279/333	123	274	12	11	27%	8%	70	-0.3	194/289/295	101	275	9	22	30%	11%	66	-0.6	172/263/292	120	248	13	35	34%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Denzer Guzman 2022 · A	18	39→36	42→45	47→50	46	192/253/301	109	237	9	13	23%	7%	50	-1.7	186/243/279	93	277	8	8	33%	7%	40	-2.4	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Leo Bernal 2022 · A	18	37→46	43→45	48→50	45	187/245/295	108	226	10	6	22%	6%	46	-2.0	213/279/331	118	281	12	5	27%	8%	69	-0.4	221/285/341	120	281	14	10	25%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Leandro Arias 2023 · A	18	40	38→30	51→45	43	188/262/268	80	284	4	11	33%	8%	46	-2.0	199/267/280	81	262	6	10	25%	7%	51	-1.7	199/277/263	64	267	6	7	25%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	30	-3.1	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	53	-1.5	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	56	-0.4
✕Derwin Barreto 2019 · A	18	40	39→40	49→50	51	191/279/279	88	254	6	10	26%	10%	57	-1.2	199/274/291	92	289	7	10	31%	9%	57	-1.2	146/239/192	46	256	4	9	40%	10%	14	-0.8
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	41→43	41→45	51→55	54	194/303/299	105	291	7	16	32%	13%	72	-0.2	205/300/298	93	293	6	20	29%	11%	70	-0.3	210/285/315	105	268	10	21	24%	9%	66	-0.4
✕Robel García 2012 · A	19	37	43→50	53→40	43	183/255/301	118	276	9	9	35%	8%	52	-1.6	184/251/272	88	280	5	5	33%	8%	42	-2.3	192/262/383	192	272	27	2	39%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	48	-1.9	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	69	-0.4	221/287/267	45	270	0	22	16%	8%	54	-0.5
✕Gilbert Gomez 2010 · A	18	43→35	38→40	55→50	49	202/285/284	82	286	5	23	29%	10%	60	-1.0	200/262/286	86	282	5	13	29%	7%	50	-1.7	202/261/288	86	281	5	10	28%	6%	46	-0.8