Daniel Hernandez

Daniel HernandezC FCL Nationals

Age 18 L/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION78 act + 52 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .269 / .250

PA52

HR0

K%23

BB%6

BABIP278

ISO42

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+1.2	$5M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$14M		$31M	+$25M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	148	141	23	5	0	0	5	24	2	3	2	163	203	199	401	35	197	16	3	178	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	148	138	31	7	0	0	8	16	2	3	2	225	277	275	552	51	254	11	5	255	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	WSH	—	78	75	11	1	0	0	2	14	1	0	0	147	179	160	339	13	180	18	3	162	-18	-10	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.7
YTD	18	ROK	WSH	—	78	73	15	2	0	0	4	10	1	0	0	205	256	233	489	27	238	13	5	229	33	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
ROS	18	ROK	WSH	0%	52	48	10	2	0	0	3	12	1	1	0	208	269	250	519	42	274	23	6	249	49	-3	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.0
ROS	18	MLB	WSH	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		274	—	—	242	44	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	WSH	—	78	76	11	1	0	0	2	14	1	0	0	145	179	158	337	13	177	18	3	162	-18	-10	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.7
TOT	18	ROK	WSH	—	130	123	21	3	0	0	5	26	2	1	0	171	215	195	411	24	216	20	4	197	9	-13	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	WSH	34%	212	196	44	8	1	2	12	47	2	2	1	224	276	306	582	82	280	22	6	265	61	-9	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.0
2028	20	MLB	WSH	48%	347	319	74	13	2	5	21	76	4	4	1	232	288	332	620	100	283	22	6	274	68	-13	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.3
2029	21	MLB	WSH	54%	449	413	96	17	2	7	27	98	6	6	2	232	289	334	623	102	284	22	6	280	72	-14	+0	-1	+8	+13	0.6
2030	22	MLB	WSH	57%	520	476	112	19	3	9	32	112	7	7	2	235	293	345	638	109	285	22	6	284	75	-14	+1	-1	+9	+15	0.9
2031	23	MLB	WSH	58%	520	475	112	19	3	9	33	112	7	7	2	236	295	345	640	109	286	22	6	286	77	-13	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.0
2032	24	MLB	WSH	57%	520	475	112	19	3	9	33	111	7	7	2	236	295	345	640	109	287	21	6	288	78	-13	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.1
2033	25	MLB	WSH	57%	520	475	112	19	3	9	33	111	7	7	2	236	295	345	640	109	287	21	6	289	79	-12	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.2
2034	26	MLB	WSH	57%	520	475	112	19	3	9	33	111	7	7	2	236	295	345	640	109	287	21	6	289	79	-12	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.2
2035	27	MLB	WSH	55%	520	474	112	19	3	9	34	111	7	7	2	236	297	346	643	110	287	21	7	289	80	-12	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.2
2036	28	MLB	WSH	55%	520	474	112	19	3	9	34	112	7	7	2	236	297	346	643	110	286	22	7	288	79	-12	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.1
2037	29	MLB	WSH	53%	520	474	111	19	3	9	34	113	7	7	2	234	295	344	639	110	286	22	7	286	77	-13	+1	-2	+9	+15	0.9
2027	19	MLB	WSH	34%	73	68	15	3	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	221	274	309	583	88	280	22	5	256	54	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	WSH	48%	168	154	35	6	1	2	10	37	2	2	1	227	283	318	601	91	283	22	6	265	61	-7	+0	-0	+3	+5	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	WSH	54%	244	224	52	9	1	4	15	53	3	3	1	232	289	335	624	103	284	22	6	270	65	-10	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.1
2030	22	MLB	WSH	57%	294	270	64	11	2	5	18	63	4	4	1	237	295	348	643	111	285	21	6	274	68	-11	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.3
2031	23	MLB	WSH	58%	299	274	64	11	2	5	19	64	4	4	1	234	293	343	636	109	286	21	6	276	70	-10	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.3
2032	24	MLB	WSH	57%	296	271	64	11	2	5	19	63	4	4	1	236	296	347	643	111	287	21	6	278	71	-10	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.4
2033	25	MLB	WSH	57%	295	270	64	11	2	5	19	63	4	4	1	237	297	348	645	111	287	21	6	279	72	-9	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.4
2034	26	MLB	WSH	57%	294	269	64	11	2	5	19	63	4	4	1	238	298	349	647	112	287	21	6	279	72	-9	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.4
2035	27	MLB	WSH	55%	289	264	62	11	1	5	19	62	4	4	1	235	296	341	637	106	287	21	7	279	72	-9	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.4
2036	28	MLB	WSH	55%	286	261	61	11	1	5	19	62	4	4	1	234	296	341	637	107	286	22	7	278	71	-9	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.3
2037	29	MLB	WSH	53%	278	254	59	10	1	5	18	60	4	3	1	232	293	339	632	106	286	22	6	277	70	-9	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2816	2580	604	105	15	47	179	606	38	37	10	234	294	341	635	107	288	22	6	276	69	-98	+3	-6	+50	+80	3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	139	24	3	11	41	140	9	9	2	233	293	339	631	106	286	22	6	276	69	-23	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	5368	4915	1142	197	29	86	334	1150	71	72	22	232	291	337	628	104	285	21	6	282	74	-159	+6	-11	+96	+152	8.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	139	24	4	10	40	139	9	9	3	234	292	338	630	104	287	21	6	282	74	-19	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	148	138	31	7	0	0	8	16	2	3	2	225	277	275	552	51	254	11	5	255	53	-8	-0	—	—	+4	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#3Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	12	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
	/162	664	14	3	250	308	370	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#4Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	9	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
	/162	664	12	5	261	285	388	+6.4	-3.1	1.0	pk7: 8
#5Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	8	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.8	7.1
	/162	664	11	12	259	303	375	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7
#6Gerald Lairdlast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,690 PA	11	2,690	37	21	244	305	354	+48	-40	3.7	5.4
	/162	664	9	5	244	305	354	+11.9	-9.8	0.9	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,939	49	38	235	290	342	+52	-14	5.9	5.3
	/162	664	11	9	235	290	342	+11.9	-3.2	1.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Hernandez (OGILVIE)	18	25→60	20→30	40	50	171/215/195	24	216	0	1	20%	4%	9	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rossmel Perez 2008 · A	18	46→55	35→30	42→45	52	212/306/268	56	272	2	5	21%	9%	66	-0.6	227/286/282	55	266	2	3	15%	6%	59	-1.1	264/318/322	58	285	4	5	8%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Yonny Hernández 2016 · A	18	43→53	34→30	40→60	48	201/280/255	55	270	2	8	24%	8%	50	-1.7	219/296/276	57	268	1	22	17%	9%	62	-0.9	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕William Bergolla Jr. 2023 · A	18	53→63	36→30	43→55	51	247/304/313	67	281	3	7	13%	7%	74	-0.1	254/308/308	54	291	2	16	12%	7%	74	-0.1	276/322/324	48	307	1	26	10%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	68	-0.5	235/286/325	90	300	6	3	22%	6%	70	-0.3	247/290/366	119	318	11	2	25%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Rochest Cruz 2018 · A	19	46	36→40	43→65	52	214/289/283	69	266	3	10	20%	9%	61	-1.0	213/286/278	65	276	3	30	22%	8%	59	-1.1	205/284/259	53	265	2	47	21%	8%	50	-0.6
✕Roynier Hernandez 2023 · A	18	44	34→30	46→50	53	203/279/257	54	256	2	8	20%	10%	50	-1.7	230/299/285	55	293	1	9	20%	9%	65	-0.7	244/304/306	62	315	3	7	22%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Sergio Burruel 2010 · A	19	45	37→30	45→30	43	213/264/286	73	284	3	6	25%	6%	50	-1.7	203/270/264	61	295	3	4	29%	8%	48	-1.9	241/305/316	75	293	8	1	20%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	39→45	51	214/291/283	68	279	4	8	23%	9%	62	-0.9	195/266/265	70	306	4	9	34%	8%	46	-2.0	215/312/294	79	295	8	4	27%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Carlos Garay 2013 · A	18	51→61	35→30	42→30	49	238/284/296	58	273	2	4	13%	6%	60	-1.0	207/260/265	58	264	2	4	21%	6%	43	-2.2	278/307/332	54	326	2	1	15%	3%	75	+0.0
✕Victor Ortega 2023 · A	19	48	38→30	43→45	51	224/306/303	80	299	4	6	25%	10%	74	-0.1	219/319/282	63	283	2	7	20%	12%	74	-0.1	214/326/298	84	277	4	4	21%	12%	79	+0.1
●Luis Lara 2023 · A	18	42→48	38→40	45→60	45	200/259/284	84	248	4	8	21%	6%	48	-1.9	212/278/277	65	276	3	25	23%	7%	54	-1.4	229/308/305	76	292	5	34	21%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Offerman Collado 2014 · A	18	45	36→30	46→50	44	214/268/276	62	286	3	9	26%	7%	50	-1.8	222/285/278	56	268	2	9	16%	8%	57	-1.2	221/288/264	43	261	1	11	14%	8%	51	-0.6
✕José Godoy 2013 · A	18	44	35→45	42→30	53	202/285/257	56	253	2	4	20%	9%	53	-1.5	223/293/281	58	275	3	4	18%	8%	62	-0.9	260/316/340	80	308	6	2	17%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Yeltsin Encarnacion 2016 · A	18	47	35→30	41→45	47	220/284/277	57	292	2	6	24%	8%	56	-1.3	216/274/289	73	266	3	8	19%	7%	55	-1.4	218/272/297	79	264	3	9	17%	6%	52	-0.5
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Jesus Martinez 2014 · A	19	49	36→30	44→55	54	229/302/301	71	269	3	7	15%	9%	71	-0.3	220/279/277	57	275	2	13	19%	7%	54	-1.4	217/274/256	39	271	1	18	19%	7%	44	-0.8
✕Livan Soto 2019 · A	19	45→54	34→40	47→50	49	208/273/256	49	257	1	10	19%	8%	46	-2.0	189/245/250	61	247	4	9	23%	7%	33	-2.9	236/307/320	84	310	7	8	24%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Francisco Aponte 2010 · A	19	48	36→30	44→60	46	226/292/291	64	293	3	10	23%	7%	64	-0.8	225/299/283	58	281	1	19	18%	9%	65	-0.7	221/287/267	45	270	0	22	16%	8%	54	-0.5
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	46→56	40	50→40	47	222/289/316	94	291	7	7	25%	8%	69	-0.4	242/309/331	89	308	7	5	22%	8%	82	+0.5	244/317/320	76	314	4	2	22%	9%	78	+0.1