Eduardo GuerreroSS Great Lakes Loons
Age 21 S/R 6'2" / 165 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION291 act + 194 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .307 / .298
PA194
HR2
SB5
K%26
BB%10
BABIP303
ISO76
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -15.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-16BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +5.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+5POSREP: +13.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.01.12.30.00.51.11.51.71.81.81.61.41.2+$84M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.7$10M+$9M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.8$10M+$9M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.8$9M+$9M
2033Arb-1$3M+1.6$8M+$6M
2034Arb-2$5M+1.4$6M+$4M
2035Arb-3$6M+1.2$5M+$3M
Totals $17M $48M +$40M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL LAD Mega 202182 44301 13493 64 242303275578 33316 246 256 54
202217 ROKDSL LAD Mega 202172 51401 23323 64 297389337726 41350 1611 332 112
202318 ROKDSL LAD Mega 184170 31820 10361 43 182232253485 71226 205 220 27
202318 ROKDSL LAD Mega 184162 421221 18241 43 259337377714 117293 1310 318 101
202419 ROK2 teams 259221 40330 26756 91 181285222506 41263 2910 235 38
202419 ROK2 teams 259205 48430 42516 91 234379283662 49300 2016 312 97
202520 A3 teams 405342 62623 52935 86 181298237535 56237 2313 247 47
202520 A3 teams 405323 69843 71685 86 214363291654 77259 1718 309 94
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 A+LAD 291261 63813 26841 125 241312314627 73339 299 282 74 -9 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.3
YTD21 A+LAD 291251 721014 36621 125 287378382761 96362 2112 344 122 +7 +0 +0 +3 +8 1.9
ROS21 A+LAD 0% 194171 38512 20511 52 222307298606 76298 2610 273 67 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.1
ROS21 MLBLAD 0% 11 0000 000 00 294 00 266 62 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL21 A+LAD 292262 63813 26841 125 240311313624 73337 299 282 74 -9 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.3
TOT21 A+LAD 485432 1011325 461352 177 234310308618 74324 289 279 71 -16 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBLAD 35% 510449 1011426 521314 105 225311305616 80298 2610 283 74 -15 +0 +0 +5 +14 0.5
202823 MLBLAD 49% 536472 1081529 551344 115 229315326641 97299 2510 293 83 -11 +0 +0 +6 +15 1.1
202924 MLBLAD 53% 564497 11717311 581394 125 235320348668 113299 2510 300 88 -8 +0 +0 +6 +16 1.5
203025 MLBLAD 55% 579510 12117312 601414 125 237322353675 116299 2410 303 90 -6 +0 +0 +6 +16 1.7
203126 MLBLAD 56% 586515 12217312 611435 125 237324351675 115299 2410 304 91 -6 +0 +0 +6 +17 1.8
203227 MLBLAD 55% 586514 12117312 621435 125 235324350674 115299 2411 305 91 -6 +0 +0 +6 +17 1.8
203328 MLBLAD 55% 581510 12017312 621434 115 235323351674 116299 2511 304 91 -6 +0 -1 +6 +16 1.6
203429 MLBLAD 53% 571501 11616211 611414 105 232320337657 106298 2511 302 89 -7 +0 -1 +6 +16 1.4
203530 MLBLAD 53% 560491 11416211 601404 94 232321340661 108297 2511 299 87 -8 +0 -2 +6 +16 1.2
203631 MLBLAD 56% 546479 10915210 581384 84 228316330646 102295 2511 295 84 -10 +0 -3 +6 +15 0.9
203732 MLBLAD 59% 527462 1031429 561354 63 223312320633 97293 2611 290 80 -12 +0 -4 +6 +15 0.6
203833 MLBLAD 61% 497438 961328 531303 52 219308313620 94289 2611 284 76 -14 +0 -4 +5 +14 0.2
203934 MLBLAD 56% 451397 851127 481213 31 214304305608 91284 2711 277 70 -15 +0 -5 +5 +13 -0.3
202722 MLBLAD 35% 176155 35512 18451 42 226310310620 84295 2610 275 68 -6 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.1
202823 MLBLAD 49% 260229 52714 27652 52 227314319633 92295 2510 285 76 -7 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.3
202924 MLBLAD 53% 298263 60915 31732 63 228314327641 99296 2410 291 81 -6 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.5
203025 MLBLAD 55% 317279 64916 33772 63 229315333649 104296 2410 294 83 -6 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.7
203126 MLBLAD 56% 326286 65916 34793 73 227316329644 101296 2410 295 84 -6 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.7
203227 MLBLAD 55% 322282 65916 34793 73 230320333653 103295 2511 295 84 -6 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.7
203328 MLBLAD 55% 318279 64916 34782 63 229317333651 104295 2511 295 84 -6 +0 -0 +3 +9 0.6
203429 MLBLAD 53% 305267 62916 33752 62 232321341662 109295 2511 293 82 -6 +0 -1 +3 +9 0.6
203530 MLBLAD 53% 294259 58815 31732 52 224312320632 97294 2511 291 81 -6 +0 -1 +3 +8 0.4
203631 MLBLAD 56% 308270 60815 33782 42 222311315626 93292 2511 287 78 -8 +0 -2 +3 +9 0.3
203732 MLBLAD 59% 312274 60815 33802 42 219307310618 91289 2611 282 74 -9 +0 -2 +3 +9 0.1
203833 MLBLAD 61% 303266 57715 32792 31 214303305608 90286 2611 276 70 -10 +0 -3 +3 +9 -0.1
203934 MLBLAD 56% 255224 48614 27682 21 214304304608 89281 2711 269 64 -10 +0 -3 +3 +7 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 37953334 7501031365 40094927 6529 225313322635 97293 2511 288 78 -93 +1 -11 +41 +108 4.6
/ 162G 650571 12818211 691635 115 224314320634 96292 2511 288 78 -16 +0 -2 +7 +18 0.8
Career 83387321 164822439136 867208368 15370 225313322635 97293 2510 289 79 -198 +3 -20 +89 +236 11.3
/ 162G 650571 12817311 681625 125 224312322634 98291 2510 289 79 -15 +0 -2 +7 +18 0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL LAD Mega 202172 51401 23323 64 297389337726 41350 1611 332 112 +3 -0 +6 0.8
202318 ROKDSL LAD Mega 184162 421221 18241 43 259337377714 117293 1310 318 101 +0 -0 +5 0.5
202419 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 9077 15100 12220 31 195303208511 13268 2413 248 48 -5 +0 +3 -0.3
202419 ROKACL Dodgers 169128 33330 30296 60 258421328749 70317 1718 346 123 +4 +1 +5 1.1
202520 AATulsa Drillers 5345 9000 7130 01 200308200508 281 2513 246 46 -3 -0 +2 -0.2
202520 A+Great Lakes Loons 2221 3010 140 00 143182238420 95176 185 187 2 -2 +0 +1 -0.2
202520 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 330257 57833 63515 85 222385311696 89262 1519 327 108 +3 -0 +9 1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#4Royce Claytonlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA
83,9205470256311365+18+1710.110.0
/162664912+3.1+2.91.7pk7: 10
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
73,7966964230314334+39+217.97.0
/1626641211+6.8+3.71.4pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Eduardo Guerrero (OGILVIE) 21 40 25 45 60 234/310/308 74324 517 28% 9% 71 +0.4
Juan Mosquera
2009 · A
21 43 33→30 46→55 52 197/290/240 43280 114 27% 10% 51 -1.7 202/267/260 58263 39 22% 8% 45 -2.1 183/242/211282220916%7%19-1.0
Shawn Zarraga
2010 · A
21 44 36→40 48→45 47 207/285/272 64289 45 28% 8% 57 -1.2 237/301/331 94305 78 23% 6% 79 +0.3 277/347/362843224214%8%106+0.8
Yonathan Mendoza
2015 · A
21 47 35→30 46→45 49 220/283/279 59274 28 20% 8% 56 -1.3 245/297/310 65293 46 17% 7% 70 -0.3 258/307/313563054516%6%73-0.1
Terry Serrano
2008 · A
21 41 35→30 46→55 49 191/267/245 53257 213 25% 9% 42 -2.3 202/275/269 67295 316 29% 9% 51 -1.7 195/275/2626729822232%10%46-0.8
Kelvin Alarcon
2019 · A
20 43 35→30 48→55 51 200/292/258 58284 38 28% 11% 57 -1.2 209/271/272 63327 38 34% 7% 50 -1.7 201/262/235343190834%7%34-0.6
Dalfis Ortiz
2013 · A
21 46 36→45 43→55 49 213/290/277 64302 310 28% 10% 59 -1.1 219/279/302 83272 314 19% 8% 61 -1.0 253/308/36411030321816%7%89+0.3
Deivi Estrada
2021 · A
20 46 36→30 45→50 50 213/291/275 62281 39 23% 9% 60 -1.0 190/251/259 69328 38 40% 7% 38 -2.6 146/188/204583143452%4%-7-1.2
Josh Johnson
2007 · A
21 46→49 37→45 49→50 57 215/306/291 76273 411 21% 11% 71 -0.3 220/302/287 67289 310 22% 10% 68 -0.5 249/317/35911029691618%9%89+0.6
Carlos Alvarez
2008 · A
22 44 36→40 49→45 49 204/285/270 66265 28 22% 8% 56 -1.3 227/306/316 89269 48 16% 9% 77 +0.1 231/320/325952695915%9%83+0.2
Noe Becerra
2009 · AAA
22 42 37→30 44→40 46 201/262/269 69259 57 24% 7% 46 -2.0 226/280/312 86274 77 19% 7% 64 -0.8 274/319/333593103012%5%84+0.2
Jeremy Arocho
2021 · A
22 48→46 36→30 48→60 47 224/285/296 72288 310 22% 7% 62 -0.9 224/322/278 54314 226 25% 12% 75 -0.0 217/330/2614529713424%14%71-0.2
Adderly Rosa
2012 · A
21 44 35→40 48→50 53 203/291/265 62264 314 22% 10% 58 -1.2 199/269/262 63271 311 25% 8% 46 -2.0 169/208/202332250424%5%0-1.2
Elvis Perez
2017 · A
21 47 36→30 46→45 45 220/278/291 71289 27 24% 7% 57 -1.2 202/250/281 79286 55 29% 6% 43 -2.2 181/215/272912488230%4%23-1.1
Melvin Jimenez
2017 · A
21 47 34→30 48→45 49 219/280/274 54264 18 17% 7% 53 -1.5 220/280/275 55266 28 17% 8% 54 -1.4 229/293/248192620912%8%52-0.5
Gustavo Omana
2007 · A
21 44 35→30 46→45 45 206/260/260 55257 25 20% 6% 42 -2.3 229/278/299 70274 44 17% 5% 59 -1.1 261/301/322612944012%4%76+0.0
Adrian Abreu
2012 · A
21 39 38→40 47→55 47 190/263/273 82247 59 24% 8% 47 -1.9 212/292/300 88256 817 19% 9% 67 -0.5 209/299/2908024192516%10%66-0.2
Pedro Ruiz
2012 · A
20 44 34→30 48→50 53 202/296/253 51285 111 26% 11% 57 -1.2 208/278/270 62325 310 33% 8% 53 -1.5 185/263/241562953835%9%36-1.3
Anneury Peguero
2008 · A
21 48 35→30 48→50 51 224/298/278 54280 211 20% 8% 63 -0.8 205/282/270 65269 412 23% 9% 55 -1.4 150/247/1863619331822%10%17-1.1
Omar Casamayor
2007 · A
20 47 35→40 46→55 48 220/283/278 59268 26 18% 7% 57 -1.2 236/287/302 66283 212 16% 5% 64 -0.8 242/288/3005829321417%4%59-0.4
Yohander Martinez
2023 · A
21 45 36→30 43→50 52 209/304/266 57271 58 23% 10% 65 -0.7 197/304/264 67284 56 29% 10% 65 -0.7 166/287/223562495531%11%48-0.6