Jean Estrella
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 17 | ROKGCL Astros | 229 | .278/.356/.308 | 0 | 7 | 52 | — | .239/.297/.263 |
| 2014 | 18 | ROKGCL Astros | 93 | .218/.322/.244 | 0 | 4 | 22 | — | .183/.256/.207 |
| 2015 | 19 | ROKDSL Orioles 1 | 148 | .232/.338/.288 | 0 | 7 | 22 | — | .154/.241/.185 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK | GCL Astros | — | 229 | 198 | 55 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 31 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 278 | 356 | 308 | 664 | 30 | 327 | 14 | 9 | 301 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK | GCL Astros | — | 93 | 78 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 218 | 322 | 244 | 566 | 26 | 283 | 19 | 13 | 264 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 148 | 125 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 232 | 338 | 288 | 626 | 56 | 284 | 16 | 11 | 290 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 229 | 205 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 45 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 239 | 297 | 263 | 561 | 24 | 289 | 20 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 93 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 183 | 256 | 207 | 463 | 24 | 246 | 28 | 9 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 148 | 130 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 29 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 154 | 241 | 185 | 426 | 31 | 195 | 20 | 7 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 229 | 205 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 45 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 239 | 297 | 263 | 561 | 24 | 304 | 20 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK RAW | GCL Astros | — | 229 | 198 | 55 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 31 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 278 | 356 | 308 | 664 | 30 | 327 | 14 | 9 | 301 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 93 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 183 | 256 | 207 | 463 | 24 | 268 | 28 | 9 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Astros | — | 93 | 78 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 218 | 322 | 244 | 566 | 26 | 283 | 19 | 13 | 264 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 148 | 130 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 29 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 154 | 241 | 185 | 426 | 31 | 196 | 20 | 7 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 148 | 125 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 232 | 338 | 288 | 626 | 56 | 284 | 16 | 11 | 290 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 229 | 210 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 45 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 233 | 297 | 257 | 554 | 24 | 289 | 20 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Astros | — | 93 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 176 | 256 | 200 | 456 | 24 | 246 | 28 | 9 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 148 | 132 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 29 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 152 | 241 | 182 | 423 | 30 | 195 | 20 | 7 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 470 | 417 | 84 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 100 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 201 | 271 | 228 | 499 | 26 | 263 | 21 | 7 | 222 | 36 | -36 | -7 | +0 | +2 | +10 | -3.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 577 | 115 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 138 | 11 | 25 | 36 | 199 | 269 | 224 | 493 | 24 | 260 | 21 | 7 | 222 | 36 | -49 | -9 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -4.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 DSLDSL Orioles 1 · 148 PAwOBA .285 → .200 (−85)K% 16.2% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.22% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 7.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.034 | ×0.995 | 16.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.034 | ×0.995 | 1.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.034 | ×0.995 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .285 → .200; ISO .056 → .036; BABIP .284 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGCL Astros · 93 PAwOBA .258 → .201 (−57)K% 19.4% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.35% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 8.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 22.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 2.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .258 → .201; ISO .026 → .020; BABIP .283 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKGCL Astros · 229 PAwOBA .295 → .245 (−50)K% 13.5% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.54% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 19.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.038 | 5.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.038 | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.038 | 26.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.038 | 2.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.038 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.038 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 19.5 → +3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .295 → .245; ISO .030 → .024; BABIP .327 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).