Albert Medina — OGILVIE

Albert MedinaOF DSL Arizona Black

Age 19 L/L 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .279 / .258

PA59

HR0

K%30

BB%8

ISO61

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	44	13	3	0	0	13	15	2	0	0	295	475	364	838	68	448	25	22	397	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	57	47	9	0	0	0	4	17	5	0	0	191	321	191	513		290	30	7	256	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	48	9	2	0	0	9	18	2	0	0	188	339	229	568	42	304	31	15	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	57	48	6	0	0	0	3	21	5	0	0	125	250	125	375		196	37	5	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	48	9	2	0	0	9	18	2	0	0	188	339	229	568	42	300	31	15	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	44	13	3	0	0	13	15	2	0	0	295	475	364	838	68	448	25	22	397	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	57	48	6	0	0	0	3	21	5	0	0	125	250	125	375		214	37	5	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	57	47	9	0	0	0	4	17	5	0	0	191	321	191	513		290	30	7	256	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	48	9	2	0	0	9	18	2	0	0	188	339	229	568	42	304	31	15	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	57	49	6	0	0	0	3	21	5	0	0	122	250	122	372		196	37	5	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	59	48	9	2	0	0	9	18	2	0	0	188	339	229	568	42	304	31	15	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	57	49	6	0	0	0	3	21	5	0	0	122	250	122	372		196	37	5	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	167	148	29	4	1	1	13	50	4	1	1	199	282	260	542	61	289	30	8	253	57	-8	-0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	150	134	27	4	1	1	12	44	3	1	1	204	287	274	561	70	291	29	8	261	63	-7	-0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	52	47	9	2	0	0	4	15	1	0	0	209	292	285	577	76	300	29	8	267	63	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	52	47	9	2	0	0	4	15	1	0	0	191	269	234	503	43	281	29	8	267	53	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	113	25	0	0	50	188	12	0	0	192	269	235	504	43	282	29	8	267	53	-29	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	325	283	52	8	1	1	29	101	11	1	1	184	285	230	515	46	279	31	9	246	53	-10	-0	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	104	16	2	2	58	202	22	2	2	184	285	230	515	46	279	31	9	246	53	-30	-1	+0	-4	+14	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Albert Medina (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	197/279/258	60	289	0	0	30%	8%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Henry Pena 2010 · A	19	37	37→40	45	49	177/263/255	78	261	4	5	31%	10%	51	-2.3	198/271/294	96	333	7	6	39%	9%	61	-1.5	204/277/339	135	307	13	8	35%	8%	70	-0.1
✕Fidel Castro 2018 · A	19	37	36→50	46→45	41	179/243/246	67	270	3	6	33%	7%	40	-3.1	188/257/298	110	336	8	8	43%	7%	57	-1.8	164/239/288	124	322	10	8	48%	7%	45	-0.8
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	38	36→40	49→50	48	179/264/246	67	265	3	9	31%	10%	49	-2.4	191/274/274	83	295	5	14	33%	9%	59	-1.7	189/281/265	77	291	4	18	33%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Robert Lopez 2023 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	42	172/250/235	63	266	3	6	34%	8%	40	-3.0	198/264/283	85	295	7	4	33%	8%	57	-1.8	188/259/268	80	276	7	3	32%	8%	48	-0.9
✕Jose Augusto Figueroa 2012 · A	19	40	38→40	44→45	45	188/266/270	82	276	4	6	31%	8%	55	-2.0	207/268/294	87	267	4	10	23%	7%	59	-1.6	240/273/329	88	342	5	9	30%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Deward Tovar 2024 · A	18	40→32	36→50	47→40	44	188/257/254	67	280	3	7	32%	8%	47	-2.5	183/259/279	96	306	9	6	39%	9%	54	-2.0	168/247/288	120	280	14	4	42%	8%	50	-1.0
✕Luis Castillo 2023 · A	19	43→36	39→50	47→40	44	207/268/293	86	280	7	7	28%	7%	59	-1.6	186/256/287	101	276	10	4	34%	8%	55	-2.0	164/248/298	134	222	17	2	33%	10%	54	-1.2
✕Luilly Baez 2008 · A	19	39	34→40	44→40	46	182/251/236	54	255	2	5	27%	8%	40	-3.0	197/283/274	77	252	4	5	21%	10%	61	-1.5	190/297/277	88	224	5	2	16%	13%	65	-0.5
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	40	38→40	49→50	45	192/259/276	85	264	5	8	28%	8%	53	-2.1	181/236/251	70	267	4	6	32%	6%	38	-3.2	148/203/199	52	218	3	3	32%	5%	12	-1.4
✕Edison Lantigua 2016 · A	19	40	37→45	50	43	194/248/273	79	262	4	5	27%	6%	47	-2.5	202/262/288	86	317	4	8	35%	7%	56	-1.9	183/244/272	89	297	5	7	37%	7%	43	-0.8
✕Jose Pirela 2024 · A	18	39→35	38→45	48→50	47	185/272/266	81	257	4	10	28%	8%	57	-1.8	168/242/269	101	276	9	9	40%	6%	46	-2.6	157/231/267	110	255	11	11	41%	6%	39	-1.7
✕Willian Berti 2024 · A	18	39	36→40	45→40	51	184/277/252	68	253	4	5	27%	10%	55	-1.9	174/276/249	75	247	5	5	28%	11%	55	-2.0	136/272/212	76	189	5	4	28%	14%	45	-0.7
✕Guillermo Williamson 2023 · A	19	36	40→45	46→30	44	176/254/269	93	267	7	5	35%	9%	50	-2.3	190/273/308	118	316	13	3	40%	9%	66	-1.1	177/264/302	125	302	16	1	43%	9%	59	-0.8
✕Manolfi Jimenez 2024 · A	19	37	36→45	45	45	176/228/243	67	217	3	9	20%	6%	32	-3.6	192/239/282	90	254	8	7	27%	5%	46	-2.6	180/223/276	95	245	10	5	30%	4%	39	-1.1
✕Rixon Wingrove 2019 · A	19	43→34	38→50	46→40	38	203/256/286	82	313	5	6	35%	6%	53	-2.1	199/257/311	112	288	10	4	32%	7%	60	-1.6	182/250/335	153	264	21	3	38%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Narciso Polanco 2024 · A	19	38→42	36→40	47→55	46	182/256/247	65	259	3	8	29%	8%	45	-2.7	193/266/277	84	267	6	17	27%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/281	89	260	6	21	27%	8%	54	-1.6
✕Shalin Polanco 2023 · A	19	36→24	39→45	47→50	39	177/234/257	80	265	6	10	34%	6%	38	-3.2	185/244/305	120	287	13	12	38%	7%	54	-2.0	169/229/296	127	253	15	12	38%	7%	45	-1.6
✕Gabriel Moncada 2021 · A	19	40→41	35→45	45→40	43	190/242/250	60	255	2	6	25%	6%	40	-3.1	206/288/306	100	297	8	4	31%	9%	72	-0.7	196/281/311	115	285	11	2	33%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Herman Armas 2006 · A	19	36	35→40	41→50	47	172/248/230	58	235	3	7	27%	8%	39	-3.1	188/262/273	85	246	6	10	25%	7%	54	-2.0	179/258/266	87	227	7	12	23%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Luis Montano 2019 · A	19	36	38→40	40	44	170/253/252	82	271	4	3	36%	9%	46	-2.6	171/234/254	83	313	4	4	43%	7%	38	-3.2	133/185/225	91	259	5	3	48%	5%	11	-1.3