Fredderick Ovalle2B Bradenton Marauders
Age 19 L/R 5'10" / 150 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION169 act + 112 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .313 / .328
PA112
HR1
K%20
BB%9
BABIP296
ISO89
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -7.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +2.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +8.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.01.22.40.50.91.31.51.71.81.91.91.71.5+$98M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.7$9M+$9M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.8$9M+$9M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.9$9M+$8M
2034Arb-1$4M+1.9$8M+$7M
2035Arb-2$6M+1.7$7M+$5M
2036Arb-3$7M+1.5$6M+$3M
Totals $20M $48M +$40M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202518 ROKDSL Pirates Gold 188165 35911 21381 275 212305297602 85270 2011 267 63
202518 ROKDSL Pirates Gold 188151 431411 35251 275 285422411833 126336 1319 379 148
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 APIT 169146 37411 17262 133 253339315654 62295 1510 287 78 -4 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.3
YTD19 APIT 169139 40411 24182 133 288400353753 65317 1114 342 120 +4 +1 +0 +1 +5 1.1
ROS19 APIT 0% 112100 24411 10231 41 238313328641 89289 209 284 75 -3 +0 +0 +0 +3 0.1
ROS19 MLBPIT 0% 01 0000 000 00 288 276 69 +0 +0
FULL19 APIT 169147 37411 17262 133 252339313652 61293 1510 287 78 -4 +1 +0 +1 +5 0.3
TOT19 APIT 281246 61822 27493 174 247329320649 73295 1710 286 77 -7 +2 +0 +1 +8 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBPIT 34% 314279 661124 29653 82 237315333648 97290 219 293 83 -6 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.5
202821 MLBPIT 48% 419372 881526 39865 112 237317336653 99291 219 300 88 -6 +1 +0 +1 +12 0.9
202922 MLBPIT 54% 492438 1051738 461005 123 240319347666 107292 209 305 92 -5 +1 +0 +2 +14 1.3
203023 MLBPIT 57% 538476 11619310 511096 133 244325359684 116293 209 308 94 -4 +1 +0 +2 +15 1.5
203124 MLBPIT 57% 567502 12320311 541146 143 245326363688 118294 2010 311 96 -3 +2 +0 +2 +16 1.7
203225 MLBPIT 57% 583516 12621311 551177 143 244325360686 116294 209 312 97 -2 +2 +0 +2 +17 1.8
203326 MLBPIT 56% 591523 12821312 561197 153 245326365691 120294 209 312 97 -2 +2 +0 +2 +17 1.9
203427 MLBPIT 55% 591522 12821312 571197 153 245328366694 121294 2010 312 97 -2 +2 +0 +2 +17 1.9
203528 MLBPIT 55% 586517 12621311 571197 143 244327360687 116293 2010 311 96 -3 +2 -1 +2 +17 1.7
203629 MLBPIT 53% 576509 12320311 561186 133 242324358682 116292 2010 309 95 -3 +1 -1 +2 +16 1.5
203730 MLBPIT 53% 566500 12020310 551186 133 240323352675 112291 2110 306 92 -5 +1 -2 +2 +16 1.3
203831 MLBPIT 57% 552487 11619310 541166 122 238322351673 113289 2110 302 89 -7 +2 -3 +2 +16 1.0
203932 MLBPIT 59% 533470 1101739 521146 112 234318340659 106286 2110 297 85 -9 +1 -4 +2 +15 0.6
204033 MLBPIT 61% 503444 1001528 491115 102 225309322631 97282 2210 290 80 -11 +1 -4 +2 +14 0.2
204134 MLBPIT 57% 457405 881326 441035 82 217302304605 86276 2310 282 74 -14 +1 -5 +2 +13 -0.3
202720 MLBPIT 34% 10896 23411 10221 31 240318333651 94289 209 285 76 -3 +0 +0 +0 +3 0.1
202821 MLBPIT 48% 203180 43713 19422 51 239318339657 100290 219 291 81 -4 +1 +0 +1 +6 0.3
202922 MLBPIT 54% 267237 57925 25543 71 241321359679 118291 209 296 85 -5 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.5
203023 MLBPIT 57% 305270 661126 29623 82 244325367691 122292 2010 299 87 -4 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.6
203124 MLBPIT 57% 321284 691126 30654 82 243324359683 116293 209 301 89 -4 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.7
203225 MLBPIT 57% 329291 711226 31664 82 244325361686 117293 209 302 89 -4 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.8
203326 MLBPIT 56% 334295 721226 32674 82 244326359686 115292 2010 303 90 -4 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.8
203427 MLBPIT 55% 328289 711226 32664 82 246329363693 118292 2010 303 90 -4 +1 +0 +1 +9 0.8
203528 MLBPIT 55% 322284 691126 31654 82 243326359685 116292 2010 302 89 -4 +1 -0 +1 +9 0.7
203629 MLBPIT 53% 308272 661126 30633 71 243325364689 121291 2010 300 88 -4 +1 -1 +1 +9 0.6
203730 MLBPIT 53% 298264 631025 29623 71 239321348669 110290 2110 297 86 -5 +1 -1 +1 +8 0.5
203831 MLBPIT 57% 312275 641025 31663 71 233317338655 105287 2110 293 82 -6 +1 -2 +1 +9 0.3
203932 MLBPIT 59% 316279 641015 31683 71 229313326639 97284 2210 288 78 -8 +1 -2 +1 +9 0.1
204033 MLBPIT 61% 307271 61915 30673 61 225309321630 96280 2210 281 73 -9 +1 -3 +1 +9 -0.1
204134 MLBPIT 57% 258228 50714 25583 51 219305311616 92275 2210 273 67 -10 +1 -3 +1 +7 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 43163816 9091462575 41589347 10221 238321349669 110290 2110 295 84 -78 +12 -11 +15 +122 6.2
/ 162G 650575 13722411 631347 153 238321348669 110290 2110 295 84 -12 +2 -2 +2 +18 0.9
Career 81687225 172228343141 785168989 21445 238321348668 110291 2110 303 90 -91 +25 -20 +29 +231 17.8
/ 162G 650575 13723311 621347 174 238319346665 108291 2110 303 90 -7 +2 -2 +2 +18 1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202518 ROKDSL Pirates Gold 188151 431411 35251 275 285422411833 126336 1319 379 148 +10 +3 +5 1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Royce Claytonlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA
83,9205470256311365+18+1710.110.0
/162664912+3.1+2.91.7pk7: 10
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA
103,1083684243310341+28+299.29.5
/162664818+5.9+6.22.0pk7: 10
#3Logan Forsythelast yr '19
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA
93,5027042246327370+5-118.69.2
/162664138+0.9-2.21.6pk7: 10
#4Manuel Margotlast yr '24
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA
83,1545694254307380-5+278.48.8
/1626641220-1.1+5.61.8pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
94,52178106240318350+16+910.08.4
/1626641116+2.4+1.31.5pk7: 7
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#6Desi Relafordlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA
62,4433464246329356-1-75.15.1
/162664917-0.3-1.81.4pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Fredderick Ovalle (OGILVIE) 19 50 25 60 60 247/329/320 73295 217 17% 10% 77 +0.3
Marcus Lemon
2007 · A
19 49→53 37→40 55→45 52 227/294/304 76279 316 19% 8% 68 -0.5 235/294/322 87301 49 22% 7% 72 -0.2 239/296/325863004820%6%70-0.3
Leo Rivas
2018 · A
20 47→54 37→40 56→65 55 219/317/294 75290 319 23% 11% 77 +0.1 188/270/271 83290 610 34% 10% 50 -1.7 239/352/3359531894424%14%101+1.2
Alvaro Montero
2018 · A
18 48 35→30 52→60 54 219/315/281 62294 316 24% 11% 72 -0.2 215/296/270 55306 218 27% 9% 61 -1.0 232/319/2633131203023%9%67-0.2
Adrian Cardenas
2007 · A
19 47→57 39→45 54→50 43 225/276/311 86292 514 24% 6% 62 -0.9 252/298/346 94308 611 19% 6% 80 +0.4 274/322/369953165814%6%95+1.2
Jose Astudillo
2023 · A
19 44 37→30 54→50 47 207/264/281 74251 314 19% 6% 50 -1.8 245/295/318 73283 314 14% 5% 72 -0.2 293/336/3909732081910%4%104+0.6
Drew Cumberland
2008 · A
19 48 36→45 52→55 46 224/280/288 65272 311 18% 6% 58 -1.2 251/303/338 87297 518 16% 6% 80 +0.4 277/326/38711032382216%6%99+0.8
Forrest Wall
2015 · A
19 48→58 41→45 56→70 47 227/290/330 103300 717 26% 8% 73 -0.1 221/273/317 96291 716 25% 6% 62 -0.9 266/338/37711036395027%9%101+1.1
Andy Pineda
2016 · A
19 48 34→30 51→55 48 222/297/277 55296 220 24% 8% 63 -0.9 219/274/285 66291 418 24% 6% 55 -1.4 196/229/2202425602822%3%14-1.1
L.J. Hoes
2009 · A
19 50→60 37→40 56→50 52 233/301/304 71285 411 19% 9% 70 -0.3 238/285/305 67306 412 22% 6% 64 -0.8 278/336/3699133451517%7%97+1.5
Victor Padron
2013 · A
19 46 37→30 53→55 51 217/289/294 76266 410 19% 8% 63 -0.8 230/291/277 47289 115 19% 8% 59 -1.1 242/307/2622030102018%9%58-0.4
Yonny Hernández
2017 · A
19 47→57 34→30 53→60 52 216/292/271 55261 119 16% 8% 59 -1.1 225/304/282 57280 124 18% 9% 67 -0.5 268/330/3265831931716%7%84+0.3
Alain Camou
2023 · A
19 52 37→40 46→50 53 241/307/322 81285 310 16% 8% 78 +0.2 207/265/272 65271 26 22% 7% 47 -1.9 177/232/223462370224%6%19-1.0
Yoyner Fajardo
2019 · A
20 50→58 38→45 58→60 49 232/294/325 93280 314 18% 7% 73 -0.1 235/293/308 73293 319 19% 6% 68 -0.5 259/317/3539433253422%7%85+0.4
Xavier Edwards
2019 · A
19 52→62 37→40 56→60 50 245/307/319 74309 318 21% 8% 77 +0.1 246/292/306 60294 119 16% 6% 66 -0.6 304/363/3868134843613%8%114+2.3
Miguel Chacoa
2008 · A
19 51 38→30 52→50 47 238/298/316 77309 517 24% 7% 72 -0.2 235/296/294 59278 314 15% 7% 66 -0.6 241/304/2844327711712%7%63-0.3
J.P. Crawford
2014 · A
19 50→58 37→45 50 49 234/297/309 75304 313 23% 8% 70 -0.3 246/314/341 95294 813 18% 9% 86 +0.8 264/356/39112630811217%11%114+2.9
Dubal Baez
2012 · A
19 46 34→30 52→60 47 210/307/262 52296 216 27% 8% 65 -0.7 218/295/268 50299 119 25% 7% 60 -1.0 222/294/2573530102624%7%53-0.4
Jose Reyes
2018 · A
19 45 36→45 55 44 211/255/282 71259 213 19% 5% 45 -2.1 226/279/325 99265 715 17% 6% 66 -0.6 248/303/371123270102512%7%85+0.3
Jorbit Vivas
2021 · A
20 46→56 37→45 49→50 46 217/288/299 82276 311 21% 7% 66 -0.6 248/321/370 122279 117 15% 7% 98 +1.6 245/326/36512027311914%7%96+1.4
Cole Miles
2007 · A
20 49→51 37→30 57→55 51 228/306/304 77292 419 22% 9% 74 -0.1 235/283/294 59292 315 19% 6% 59 -1.1 236/280/2895329331519%5%53-1.1