Marlon Mirabal

P DSL Twins

Age 21 LHP 5'10" / 184 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKMIN	15	28	9.11	5.12	17.0%	12.2%	—	K 11.6% · BB 15.3% · FIP 6.26
2027PROJ	21	MLBMIN	15	16	5.02	5.02	20.7%	12.9%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBMIN	12	13	4.80	4.70	21.9%	11.4%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsDestin Dotson (age 21) · Harry Gustin (age 22) · Keylan Killgore (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 129

ERA5.02

FIP5.02

K%20.7%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%7.8%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	15	0	28	147	25	18	4	0%	1.8	11.6%	15.3%	-3.7%	4.0%	9.11	6.26	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	15	0	28	147	25	18	4	0%	1.8	11.6%	15.3%	-3.7%	4.0%	9.11	6.26	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	15	0	28	147	25	18	4	0%	1.8	17.0%	12.2%	4.8%	2.7%	9.11	5.12	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	MIN	15	0	16	68	14	9	2	0%	1.1	20.7%	12.9%	7.8%	3.0%	5.02	5.02	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIN	25	0	26	110	24	13	3	0%	1.0	21.9%	11.4%	10.5%	3.0%	4.80	4.70	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIN	12	0	13	55	12	6	2	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.4%	10.5%	3.0%	4.80	4.70	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	54	12	6	2	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.4%	10.5%	3.0%	4.80	4.32	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	31	0%	1.1	21.9%	11.4%	10.5%	3.0%	4.80	4.32	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		15	0	28	147	17	22	6	0%	1.8	11.6%	15.3%	-3.7%	4.0%	9.11	6.26	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		108	0	200	1063	123	163	42	0%	1.8	11.6%	15.3%	-3.7%	4.0%	9.11	6.26	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Marlon Mirabal (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	20.7%	12.9%	3.0%	—	4.70	21.9%	10.5%	26	-0.32	—	—	—
Destin Dotson L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	21	SU	3.90	22.3%	12.2%	2.1%	.288	5.84	23.0%	3.1%	48	+1.94	2.90	113	86
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	84
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	84
Vance Tatum L 2016 · 5.04 FIP	21	SU	5.04	17.2%	9.7%	3.9%	.319	5.06	15.6%	2.3%	85	+0.02	4.90	116	84
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	84
Denny Bentley L 2018 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	19.6%	10.3%	3.8%	.318	2.88	25.4%	10.3%	58	-1.97	2.88	175	83
Manuel Medina L 2023 · 5.09 FIP	21	SU	5.09	22.3%	11.2%	4.5%	.319	2.79	24.2%	15.4%	78	-2.30	1.26	157	83
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	83
Jake Higginbotham L 2018 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	17.2%	10.6%	3.9%	.256	4.77	18.8%	6.4%	59	-0.38	3.28	335	82
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	82
Adrian Almeida L 2016 · 5.65 FIP	21	SU	5.65	18.6%	15.3%	4.0%	.295	4.97	18.4%	-4.1%	119	-0.68	4.27	188	81
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	81
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	81
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	81
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	80
Drew Harrington L 2016 · 4.18 FIP	21	SU	4.18	15.7%	9.6%	2.1%	.295	4.14	12.5%	5.4%	175	-0.04	3.17	190	80
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.35	164	79
Rio Britton L 2024 · 4.28 FIP	21	SU	4.28	19.2%	13.5%	2.0%	.354	5.03	22.4%	7.1%	98	+0.75	4.28	166	79
Felix Carvallo L 2015 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	17.1%	9.8%	3.0%	.323	4.60	17.7%	4.7%	67	+0.04	4.56	132	79
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	79