Juan AlvaIF
DSL Miami
Age 20
L/R
6'1" / 183 lbs
ROK
HR -4%BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.1 · 2033
wRC+†71
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .288 / .320
PA170
HR3
K%27
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
55→55
PWR
25→25
SPD
60→60
EYE
49↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.1peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.0 | $19M | +$18M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.1 | $21M | +$20M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.0 | $20M | +$19M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.8 | $19M | +$15M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.6 | $17M | +$12M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +1.3 | $14M | +$8M |
| Totals | $18M | $110M | +$92M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Miami | 201 | 172 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 40 | 9 | 19 | 4 | .267 | .360 | .331 | .692 | .064 | .338 | 20 | 8 | .309 | 95 | -1 | +2 | +0 | +0 | +6 | 0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | MIA | 170 | 152 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 47 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .224 | .298 | .336 | .633 | .112 | .292 | 28 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | MIA | 247 | 220 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .232 | .310 | .359 | .669 | .127 | .295 | 26 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | MIA | 362 | 321 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 90 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .231 | .312 | .358 | .670 | .128 | .296 | 25 | 9 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | MIA | 438 | 388 | 92 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 106 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .237 | .320 | .379 | .698 | .142 | .297 | 24 | 9 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | MIA | 489 | 432 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 48 | 116 | 6 | 12 | 2 | .241 | .325 | .387 | .712 | .146 | .297 | 24 | 10 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +2 | +0 | +0 | +14 | 1.7 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | MIA | 518 | 455 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 51 | 122 | 7 | 13 | 3 | .242 | .327 | .389 | .716 | .147 | .298 | 24 | 10 | .322 | 105 | +3 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB 94% | MIA | 533 | 467 | 114 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 54 | 126 | 7 | 13 | 3 | .244 | .331 | .396 | .728 | .152 | .298 | 24 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +15 | 2.0 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 539 | 472 | 114 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 128 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .242 | .330 | .392 | .722 | .150 | .299 | 24 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +2 | +0 | +0 | +15 | 2.1 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 538 | 471 | 114 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 128 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .242 | .330 | .393 | .723 | .151 | .298 | 24 | 10 | .323 | 105 | +3 | +2 | -1 | +0 | +15 | 2.0 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 530 | 463 | 111 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 128 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .240 | .330 | .384 | .714 | .145 | .298 | 24 | 10 | .321 | 104 | +2 | +2 | -1 | +0 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 521 | 455 | 109 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 54 | 128 | 7 | 12 | 1 | .240 | .329 | .387 | .716 | .147 | .297 | 25 | 10 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +2 | -2 | +0 | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 508 | 444 | 105 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 53 | 127 | 6 | 11 | 1 | .236 | .326 | .378 | .704 | .142 | .296 | 25 | 10 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +2 | -3 | +0 | +14 | 1.3 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 490 | 430 | 100 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 51 | 125 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .233 | .322 | .370 | .692 | .137 | .294 | 26 | 10 | .310 | 95 | -3 | +2 | -4 | +0 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 461 | 406 | 93 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 47 | 120 | 5 | 9 | 0 | .229 | .317 | .365 | .681 | .135 | .293 | 26 | 10 | .305 | 91 | -5 | +2 | -4 | +0 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 415 | 365 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 42 | 112 | 5 | 9 | 0 | .222 | .311 | .345 | .656 | .123 | .292 | 27 | 10 | .298 | 87 | -6 | +2 | -5 | +0 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 361 | 317 | 68 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 101 | 4 | 8 | 0 | .215 | .304 | .328 | .633 | .114 | .291 | 28 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -8 | +2 | -6 | +0 | +10 | -0.2 |
| 2042 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 302 | 266 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 88 | 3 | 7 | 0 | .214 | .301 | .331 | .632 | .117 | .288 | 29 | 10 | .283 | 75 | -9 | +1 | -6 | +0 | +9 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7623 | 6696 | 1577 | 273 | 45 | 185 | 758 | 1896 | 102 | 190 | 26 | .236 | .323 | .373 | .695 | .137 | .299 | 25 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -28 | +28 | -31 | +0 | +216 | 18.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 571 | 135 | 23 | 4 | 16 | 65 | 162 | 9 | 16 | 2 | .236 | .325 | .375 | .699 | .138 | .300 | 25 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +2 | -3 | +0 | +18 | 1.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Miami | 201 | 161 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 30 | 9 | 19 | 4 | .323 | .447 | .429 | .875 | .106 | .381 | 15 | 13 | .393 | 159 | +13 | +2 | — | — | +6 | 2.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Juan Alva (OGILVIE) | 20 | 55 | 25 | 60 | 50 | .216/.288/.320 | .104 | .292 | 3 | 3 | 27% | 8% | 71 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A |
20 | 45→55 | 42→45 | 57→70 | 45 | .220/.273/.329 | .110 | .277 | 8 | 17 | 23% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .218/.270/.313 | .095 | .291 | 8 | 18 | 26% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .260/.332/.371 | .111 | .354 | 9 | 50 | 27% | 9% | 98 | +1.0 |
|
●Gavin Lux 2018 · A |
20 | 46→56 | 39→50 | 53→50 | 46 | .218/.277/.306 | .088 | .285 | 6 | 12 | 25% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .245/.301/.388 | .143 | .311 | 15 | 11 | 25% | 7% | 93 | +1.3 | .260/.330/.404 | .144 | .327 | 14 | 8 | 23% | 9% | 106 | +1.8 |
|
●Mallex Smith 2013 · A |
20 | 49→59 | 38→45 | 53→65 | 39 | .231/.274/.307 | .076 | .316 | 5 | 17 | 28% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .245/.313/.323 | .078 | .319 | 5 | 40 | 23% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .272/.334/.371 | .099 | .351 | 5 | 52 | 22% | 8% | 98 | +1.2 |
|
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A |
19 | 47→57 | 39→40 | 54→50 | 43 | .224/.276/.310 | .086 | .292 | 6 | 13 | 24% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .246/.290/.340 | .094 | .299 | 7 | 12 | 19% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .269/.318/.358 | .090 | .312 | 5 | 8 | 15% | 6% | 90 | +0.9 |
|
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A |
21 | 52 | 37→40 | 58→50 | 45 | .241/.297/.320 | .079 | .307 | 3 | 18 | 22% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .226/.272/.288 | .062 | .291 | 2 | 11 | 22% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .274/.326/.342 | .068 | .345 | 3 | 10 | 20% | 5% | 88 | +0.5 |
|
●Justin Crawford 2023 · A |
19 | 46→56 | 37→45 | 51→60 | 41 | .213/.274/.288 | .076 | .314 | 5 | 17 | 32% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .272/.317/.374 | .102 | .360 | 6 | 33 | 25% | 6% | 95 | +1.4 | .294/.339/.402 | .108 | .380 | 7 | 41 | 23% | 6% | 107 | +1.7 |
|
●Ben Revere 2008 · A |
20 | 50→60 | 37→40 | 57→65 | 45 | .233/.285/.318 | .085 | .277 | 2 | 17 | 16% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .287/.332/.364 | .077 | .326 | 2 | 30 | 12% | 5% | 98 | +1.6 | .303/.350/.369 | .066 | .341 | 2 | 36 | 11% | 5% | 103 | +1.4 |
|
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A |
20 | 49 | 39→45 | 59→60 | 51 | .227/.311/.328 | .101 | .310 | 4 | 15 | 26% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .205/.273/.294 | .089 | .326 | 6 | 25 | 36% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .220/.298/.337 | .116 | .314 | 13 | 41 | 32% | 9% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕BJ Boyd 2014 · A |
21 | 47→55 | 38→45 | 54→50 | 44 | .219/.283/.304 | .086 | .321 | 4 | 15 | 31% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .222/.272/.299 | .077 | .290 | 5 | 10 | 24% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .261/.310/.376 | .115 | .317 | 11 | 10 | 21% | 5% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
✕Brandon Roberts 2006 · A |
21 | 49→59 | 39→40 | 57→55 | 43 | .236/.287/.322 | .086 | .295 | 6 | 20 | 22% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .251/.298/.318 | .067 | .312 | 4 | 23 | 20% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .276/.331/.345 | .070 | .330 | 4 | 22 | 17% | 5% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A |
20 | 49→56 | 38→45 | 57→60 | 49 | .231/.293/.323 | .092 | .280 | 3 | 13 | 18% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .234/.293/.308 | .074 | .290 | 3 | 19 | 19% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .255/.313/.344 | .089 | .326 | 5 | 34 | 22% | 7% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
●Brandon Marsh 2018 · A |
20 | 49→59 | 42→50 | 54→50 | 37 | .235/.276/.347 | .112 | .314 | 8 | 11 | 27% | 4% | 72 | -0.2 | .221/.280/.325 | .104 | .331 | 8 | 12 | 33% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .262/.344/.424 | .163 | .366 | 16 | 16 | 30% | 11% | 115 | +2.2 |
|
●Steven Kwan 2019 · A |
21 | 49→59 | 38→45 | 52→50 | 51 | .228/.300/.311 | .082 | .280 | 4 | 8 | 19% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .239/.294/.333 | .094 | .272 | 6 | 8 | 14% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .283/.359/.393 | .109 | .307 | 8 | 16 | 10% | 10% | 115 | +2.9 |
|
✕Juan Perez 2012 · A |
20 | 48→51 | 41→45 | 55 | 45 | .231/.285/.338 | .106 | .295 | 7 | 12 | 23% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .217/.265/.324 | .107 | .274 | 8 | 15 | 23% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .227/.270/.351 | .124 | .290 | 15 | 24 | 27% | 5% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A |
19 | 49→59 | 37→40 | 56→50 | 52 | .231/.299/.304 | .073 | .285 | 4 | 11 | 19% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .234/.279/.300 | .066 | .300 | 4 | 12 | 22% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .277/.336/.366 | .089 | .333 | 5 | 15 | 17% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 |
|
✕Ramón Flores 2013 · A |
21 | 48→57 | 40→45 | 51→50 | 45 | .233/.284/.330 | .097 | .290 | 7 | 11 | 22% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .236/.295/.341 | .105 | .292 | 8 | 8 | 21% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .247/.321/.343 | .096 | .295 | 9 | 8 | 18% | 9% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2009 · A |
21 | 51→61 | 37→40 | 52→65 | 44 | .240/.277/.317 | .077 | .285 | 4 | 14 | 17% | 4% | 63 | -0.8 | .258/.296/.329 | .071 | .317 | 2 | 34 | 18% | 4% | 74 | -0.1 | .308/.341/.394 | .087 | .364 | 3 | 55 | 15% | 4% | 106 | +2.0 |
|
●Brice Turang 2019 · A |
19 | 46→56 | 36→45 | 53→60 | 48 | .216/.286/.284 | .068 | .296 | 4 | 14 | 27% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .213/.287/.280 | .067 | .286 | 4 | 16 | 24% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .273/.346/.393 | .120 | .333 | 12 | 35 | 20% | 10% | 107 | +1.7 |
|
✕Edgar Rondon 2016 · A |
21 | 50 | 38→40 | 52→50 | 45 | .230/.302/.320 | .090 | .314 | 3 | 12 | 26% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .214/.283/.288 | .074 | .342 | 3 | 11 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .171/.249/.199 | .028 | .339 | 0 | 12 | 45% | 7% | 20 | -0.7 |
|
●Leo Rivas 2018 · A |
20 | 47→54 | 37→40 | 55→65 | 53 | .217/.311/.293 | .076 | .288 | 3 | 19 | 24% | 10% | 74 | -0.1 | .194/.278/.275 | .081 | .289 | 5 | 10 | 31% | 10% | 55 | -1.4 | .238/.354/.331 | .093 | .320 | 9 | 44 | 25% | 14% | 100 | +1.2 |