Deiry Gonzalez

P FCL Phillies

Age 19 RHP 6'1" / 172 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL Phillies …	10	10	40	1.12	2.00	22.5%	5.3%	—	K 15.3% · BB 6.6% · FIP 2.65
2026	18	ROKPHI	12	4	41	6.42	3.67	23.9%	8.5%	—	K 16.3% · BB 10.6% · FIP 5.12
2027PROJ	19	MLBPHI	4	4	24	5.02	5.02	15.9%	9.9%	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBPHI	3	3	19	4.88	4.83	17.3%	9.5%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control50Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%

CompsAnthony Escobar (age 18) · Steven Fuentes (age 18) · Luis Ojeda (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 112

ERA5.02

FIP5.02

K%15.9%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%6.0%

Proj IP24

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	10	10	40	151	34	8	0	100%	4.0	15.3%	6.6%	8.7%	0.0%	1.12	2.65	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	10	10	40	151	34	8	0	100%	4.0	15.3%	6.6%	8.7%	0.0%	1.12	2.65	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	10	10	40	151	34	8	0	100%	4.0	22.5%	5.3%	17.2%	0.0%	1.12	2.00	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	12	4	41	188	45	16	5	33%	3.4	16.3%	10.6%	5.6%	3.7%	6.42	5.12	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	12	4	41	188	45	16	5	33%	3.4	16.3%	10.6%	5.6%	3.7%	6.42	5.12	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	12	4	41	188	45	16	5	33%	3.4	23.9%	8.5%	15.4%	2.7%	6.42	3.67	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	PHI	4	4	24	101	16	10	3	100%	6.0	15.9%	9.9%	6.0%	3.0%	5.02	5.02	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PHI	6	6	38	162	28	15	5	100%	6.4	17.3%	9.5%	7.8%	2.9%	4.88	4.83	+0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	PHI	3	3	19	80	14	8	2	100%	6.3	17.3%	9.5%	7.8%	2.9%	4.88	4.83	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	19	80	14	8	2	100%	6.3	17.3%	9.5%	7.8%	2.9%	4.88	4.45	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		31	31	200	844	148	85	21	100%	6.5	17.3%	9.5%	7.8%	2.9%	4.88	4.45	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		22	14	81	339	54	30	7	64%	3.7	15.8%	8.8%	7.0%	2.1%	3.79	4.02	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	35	200	840	133	74	17	64%	3.7	15.8%	8.8%	7.0%	2.1%	3.79	4.02	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Deiry Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	15.9%	9.9%	3.0%	—	4.83	17.3%	7.8%	38	-0.19	—	—	—
Anthony Escobar R 2019 · 4.44 FIP	18	SP-	4.44	15.1%	9.7%	2.5%	.263	5.33	14.2%	-3.5%	23	+0.89	3.07	122	85
Steven Fuentes R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	18	SP-	4.60	12.1%	10.1%	2.3%	.319	3.85	16.7%	10.2%	131	-0.75	2.38	359	85
Luis Ojeda R 2016 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	12.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.344	5.39	12.1%	3.7%	92	+0.94	4.45	131	85
Alexander Vizcaíno R 2016 · 5.40 FIP	19	SP-	5.40	11.8%	10.4%	3.6%	.321	4.82	17.3%	7.0%	220	-0.58	3.85	273	85
Edward Escoboza R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	19	SP-	4.73	15.3%	11.7%	2.6%	.345	4.05	17.4%	9.9%	157	-0.68	3.44	213	84
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	84
Mike Garcia R 2018 · 4.11 FIP	17	SP-	4.11	17.7%	10.6%	2.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	125	84
Alejandro Manzano R 2022 · 4.89 FIP	20	SP-	4.89	14.8%	8.6%	3.5%	.347	4.81	15.6%	6.5%	199	-0.08	4.28	273	84
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	84
Miguel Rondon R 2019 · 4.47 FIP	18	SP-	4.47	18.9%	9.4%	3.2%	.361	7.30	18.1%	2.1%	88	+2.83	2.62	179	83
Gilberto Batista R 2024 · 4.00 FIP	19	SP-	4.00	16.9%	11.4%	1.6%	.308	5.86	14.7%	4.9%	172	+1.86	3.63	250	83
Joel Díaz R 2022 · 5.45 FIP	18	SP-	5.45	15.3%	11.9%	3.9%	.335	4.86	16.2%	8.2%	174	-0.59	1.98	328	83
Starlyn Castillo R 2021 · 4.17 FIP	19	SP-	4.17	16.4%	13.1%	1.5%	.271	4.76	15.3%	0.9%	117	+0.59	4.17	138	83
Edwin Jimenez R 2021 · 4.03 FIP	19	SP-	4.03	19.3%	8.9%	2.6%	.330	4.79	16.5%	8.0%	277	+0.76	4.03	406	83
Wellington Caceres R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	20	SP-	4.16	13.9%	6.4%	2.6%	.306	5.82	13.1%	2.1%	68	+1.66	4.16	121	83
Xiomer Guacache R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	19	SP-	4.42	16.3%	10.5%	2.5%	.255	5.09	13.0%	0.3%	120	+0.67	4.42	186	83
Jose Morban R 2017 · 4.42 FIP	19	SP-	4.42	18.7%	11.2%	2.7%	.333	3.98	16.9%	5.8%	61	-0.44	3.98	178	83
Julio Goff R 2019 · 4.80 FIP	19	SW	4.80	16.1%	11.9%	2.8%	.364	4.70	16.4%	5.9%	207	-0.10	4.46	251	82
Yunior Marte R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	19	SP-	4.22	16.4%	8.5%	2.6%	.321	4.18	17.9%	8.4%	250	-0.04	3.21	307	82
Williander Moreno R 2018 · 4.21 FIP	19	SW	4.21	13.7%	7.5%	2.4%	.302	5.16	20.2%	10.1%	57	+0.95	3.20	246	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	16.8%	9.7%	1.14	4.93
Jeff Manship ('16)	1.1	32	16.5%	9.3%	1.05	4.82
Vic Darensbourg ('05)	1.5	50	17.0%	9.3%	1.01	4.96
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Dave Leiper ('84-'96, 0 WAR*)	1.4	46	15.6%*	9.1%*	0.94*	4.28*