Brent Francisco
P
Fort Myers Mighty Mussels
Age 25
RHP
6'7" / 250 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114104vR 95
ERA4.15
FIP4.15
K%23.7%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%15.0%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 30 | 119 | 43 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.5% | 4.1% | 21.4% | 0.0% | 1.50 | 1.46 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 0 | 30 | 119 | 43 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 36.1% | 3.4% | 32.8% | 0.0% | 1.50 | 0.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 22 | 1 | 38 | 170 | 33 | 10 | 8 | 5% | 1.7 | 14.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.17 | 5.98 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIN | 17 | 0 | 18 | 75 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.15 | 4.15 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.7% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.15 | 4.15 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 55 | 245 | 51 | 17 | 10 | — | — | 20.7% | 6.7% | 14.0% | 4.1% | 6.20 | 5.39 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.15 | 4.14 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.15 | 4.14 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.15 | 3.76 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 211 | 70 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 8.7% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.15 | 3.76 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 41 | 1 | 68 | 289 | 55 | 16 | 10 | 2% | 1.7 | 19.0% | 5.7% | 13.4% | 3.5% | 4.66 | 4.12 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 121 | 3 | 200 | 854 | 163 | 49 | 30 | 2% | 1.7 | 19.0% | 5.7% | 13.4% | 3.5% | 4.66 | 4.12 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brent Francisco (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.15 | 23.7% | 8.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.14 | 23.8% | 15.2% | 20 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.75 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .340 | 4.62 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.87 | 3.75 | 223 | 91 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.88 | 25.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .299 | 5.10 | 22.4% | 6.5% | 121 | +1.22 | 3.88 | 158 | 89 |
| Blake Goldsberry R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.18 | 23.6% | 8.3% | 1.8% | .257 | 5.16 | 23.6% | 12.0% | 44 | +1.98 | 3.18 | 117 | 88 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 88 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 87 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 86 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 86 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.24 | 22.1% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .274 | 4.67 | 24.1% | 8.8% | 38 | +1.43 | 3.24 | 172 | 83 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.72 | 28.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .282 | 4.81 | 20.3% | 2.9% | 127 | +1.09 | 3.72 | 197 | 83 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 83 |
| Kelly Austin R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.58 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.1% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 119 | 83 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 83 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 100 | 83 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.55 | 22.2% | 7.6% | 2.5% | .313 | 3.38 | 23.4% | 12.8% | 93 | -0.17 | 2.88 | 312 | 82 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2027 · 3.15 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.15 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.73 | 28.3% | 17.6% | 151 | +1.58 | 3.15 | 220 | 82 |
| Dakota Donovan R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.70 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.67 | 18.9% | 6.4% | 50 | -0.03 | 3.17 | 153 | 82 |
| Josh Martin R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.43 | 24.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .257 | 2.89 | 20.7% | 13.6% | 124 | -0.54 | 2.31 | 225 | 82 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 82 |
| Matt Jachec R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 28.3% | 9.9% | 3.6% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 120 | 82 |
| Kevin Lenik R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 1.3% | .172 | 4.25 | 20.7% | 7.7% | 83 | +1.21 | 3.04 | 107 | 82 |