Francesco Barbieri

Francesco BarbieriOF Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 26 L/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A HR -9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .267 / .309

PA76

HR1

K%33

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.2peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$-2M		$-23M	-$21M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$21M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	25	A	2 teams	121	102	17	2	2	0	15	57	1	13	3	.167	.280	.225	.505	.059	.378	47	12	.228	33	-9	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	WSH	76	69	14	2	1	1	6	25	1	1	0	.203	.276	.304	.581	.101	.291	33	8	.263	59	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 10%	WSH	117	106	22	4	1	2	9	37	1	2	0	.208	.276	.321	.597	.113	.291	32	8	.269	64	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	28	MLB 20%	WSH	208	188	39	7	1	4	16	65	2	3	1	.207	.277	.319	.596	.112	.291	31	8	.272	66	-8	+0	-1	-1	+6	-0.4
2029	29	MLB 33%	WSH	264	239	50	9	2	5	21	82	2	4	1	.209	.279	.326	.605	.117	.290	31	8	.272	67	-10	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.5
2030	30	MLB 43%	WSH	303	273	57	10	2	6	24	95	3	4	0	.209	.280	.326	.606	.117	.289	31	8	.271	65	-12	+1	-2	-2	+9	-0.7
2031	31	MLB 57%	WSH	311	280	57	10	2	6	25	99	3	2	0	.204	.276	.318	.594	.114	.287	32	8	.267	62	-13	+0	-3	-2	+9	-0.9
2032	32	MLB 75%	WSH	307	277	56	10	2	5	24	99	3	1	0	.202	.273	.307	.580	.105	.286	32	8	.262	59	-14	+0	-4	-2	+9	-1.1
2033	33	MLB 92%	WSH	287	261	52	9	2	5	22	95	2	0	0	.199	.267	.307	.573	.107	.284	33	8	.257	55	-15	+0	-4	-2	+8	-1.3
2034	34	MLB	WSH	250	227	43	7	1	4	19	84	2	0	0	.189	.258	.282	.540	.093	.283	34	8	.251	50	-14	+0	-5	-2	+7	-1.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			2244	2022	407	70	16	38	181	738	20	30	5	.201	.274	.308	.582	.107	.294	33	8	.263	59	-103	+4	-20	-13	+64	-7.0
/ 162G	—			650	586	118	20	5	11	52	214	6	9	1	.201	.273	.309	.582	.108	.294	33	8	.263	59	-30	+1	-6	-4	+18	-2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	25	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	98	78	15	3	3	0	17	37	1	12	0	.192	.344	.308	.651	.115	.366	38	17	.300	88	-1	+2	—	—	+3	0.4
2025	25	ROK	FCL Nationals	23	15	6	0	0	0	7	2	0	1	3	.400	.591	.400	.991	.000	.462	9	30	.448	201	+3	-1	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Francesco Barbieri (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	.201/.267/.309	.108	.291	1	1	33%	7%	59	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→38	44→50	47→55	38	.183/.247/.298	.115	.269	11	13	35%	6%	48	-1.9	.201/.262/.346	.145	.292	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	.199/.260/.339	.140	.286	17	24	35%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→55	36	.179/.243/.270	.091	.285	8	11	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.186/.268/.305	.119	.285	12	20	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Gabe Snyder 2021 · A	26	41→37	47→50	45→40	42	.208/.270/.338	.131	.276	15	5	30%	7%	68	-0.5	.211/.284/.355	.144	.299	15	8	32%	8%	79	+0.3	.173/.267/.342	.169	.235	18	7	34%	10%	65	-0.2
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA	26	38→42	43→45	47→50	39	.187/.250/.294	.107	.292	11	6	38%	7%	48	-1.9	.201/.285/.328	.127	.324	14	9	38%	10%	72	-0.2	.191/.281/.316	.125	.300	14	9	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Patrick Dorrian 2021 · A	25	42→37	43→55	51→45	41	.206/.260/.322	.117	.290	9	6	31%	6%	59	-1.1	.198/.265/.350	.152	.297	18	6	37%	8%	69	-0.4	.189/.258/.354	.165	.275	22	5	38%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Ryan Aguilar 2021 · AA	26	40→41	42→45	49→50	41	.190/.265/.290	.099	.310	9	8	39%	8%	53	-1.5	.191/.282/.312	.121	.320	14	13	41%	10%	67	-0.5	.176/.277/.309	.133	.286	16	14	41%	11%	61	-0.5
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	39	43→45	48→50	44	.190/.284/.298	.108	.293	11	10	36%	9%	65	-0.7	.190/.283/.309	.119	.284	13	11	35%	10%	66	-0.6	.126/.240/.244	.118	.172	15	9	35%	12%	32	-1.0
✕Joseph Nowicki 2009 · A	26	42→40	47→55	50→45	37	.211/.258/.353	.142	.294	15	8	33%	5%	66	-0.6	.210/.255/.338	.128	.301	14	8	34%	5%	61	-1.0	.182/.222/.281	.099	.257	12	4	34%	4%	28	-1.1
✕Brenden Webb 2015 · A	25	36→37	44→45	48→50	39	.180/.250/.300	.120	.295	12	9	41%	8%	50	-1.8	.191/.245/.294	.103	.301	10	12	38%	6%	45	-2.1	.184/.232/.281	.097	.278	11	16	37%	5%	33	-1.8
✕Parker Bates 2023 · A	25	40	44→50	50	42	.200/.267/.322	.122	.274	11	12	30%	7%	63	-0.9	.193/.255/.276	.083	.270	7	12	29%	7%	45	-2.1	.170/.231/.215	.045	.239	3	12	28%	6%	17	-2.2
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	37→43	44→45	51→50	42	.188/.261/.308	.120	.276	12	10	35%	8%	56	-1.3	.189/.254/.290	.101	.308	7	9	38%	7%	48	-1.9	.160/.216/.252	.092	.300	0	4	44%	7%	17	-0.7
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	40→37	46→45	48→45	44	.205/.275/.336	.132	.274	14	11	30%	8%	69	-0.4	.212/.284/.329	.117	.274	12	7	26%	8%	71	-0.3	.192/.282/.265	.072	.245	6	0	22%	10%	51	-0.6
✕Bobby Kingsbury 2007 · A	26	42	45→50	47→50	44	.210/.277/.340	.130	.280	12	8	29%	7%	71	-0.3	.217/.273/.342	.125	.275	12	12	25%	6%	69	-0.4	.211/.266/.341	.130	.260	12	14	23%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Ian Bladergroen 2009 · A	26	43→41	44→45	49→30	40	.207/.281/.324	.118	.297	11	5	32%	6%	69	-0.4	.216/.269/.349	.133	.270	13	5	24%	6%	69	-0.4	.207/.258/.351	.144	.251	14	1	24%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Jonny Butler 2023 · A	24	43→33	40→50	53→55	43	.207/.267/.303	.095	.296	7	10	31%	8%	56	-1.3	.193/.264/.310	.117	.267	10	17	30%	8%	58	-1.2	.175/.253/.291	.117	.236	10	18	29%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Ryan Scott 2018 · A	25	38→33	42→45	50→45	37	.191/.249/.295	.104	.275	10	8	33%	5%	47	-1.9	.175/.232/.275	.100	.263	9	6	35%	6%	35	-2.8	.133/.191/.221	.088	.199	8	2	37%	6%	1	-3.1
✕Colin Simpson 2022 · A	26	40	44→45	51→40	38	.200/.253/.319	.118	.300	12	6	36%	6%	55	-1.4	.201/.256/.330	.129	.287	14	6	33%	7%	59	-1.1	.189/.247/.320	.131	.264	14	4	33%	7%	50	-0.9
✕Matt Winaker 2021 · A	25	38	42→45	46→45	43	.188/.266/.297	.109	.249	9	6	27%	7%	56	-1.3	.196/.289/.281	.085	.273	6	6	28%	9%	62	-0.9	.176/.283/.252	.075	.245	6	3	27%	9%	50	-0.7
✕Kacy Clemens 2019 · A	25	41→37	43→45	47→45	45	.200/.274/.310	.110	.289	10	4	33%	9%	63	-0.9	.176/.248/.268	.092	.282	9	6	38%	9%	40	-2.4	.131/.209/.203	.072	.217	8	4	41%	9%	6	-3.5
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	41	42→45	48→55	46	.197/.276/.303	.106	.284	9	9	32%	9%	61	-1.0	.215/.297/.325	.110	.300	11	14	30%	9%	76	+0.1	.222/.305/.326	.104	.296	11	19	27%	8%	77	+0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)