Griffin Kilander

P Salem RidgeYaks

Age 24 RHP 6'5" / 205 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	ASalem Red Sox	4	0	7	1.23	2.69	23.1%	11.5%	—	K 23.1% · BB 11.5% · FIP 2.61
2025	22	ASalem Red Sox	20	6	64	4.34	3.68	20.9%	13.7%	—	K 15.5% · BB 16.2% · FIP 4.71
2026	23	MIX3 levels	37	0	73	5.42	3.73	30.5%	13.1%	—	K 23.0% · BB 15.4% · FIP 5.11
2027PROJ	24	MLBBOS	64	0	67	5.85	5.85	19.2%	18.1%	-0.9
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBBOS	28	0	29	5.59	5.51	20.0%	16.0%	-0.3
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBBOS	43	0	45	5.44	5.40	20.4%	15.5%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control25Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsBrett Lockwood (age 24) · Jeff Soptic (age 24) · Jacob Morris (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144136vR 128

ERA5.85

FIP5.85

K%19.2%

BB%18.1%

K-BB%1.1%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2525

CMD3030

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	4	0	7	26	6	3	0	0%	1.8	23.1%	11.5%	11.5%	0.0%	1.23	2.61	—
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	4	0	7	26	6	3	0	0%	1.8	23.1%	11.5%	11.5%	0.0%	1.23	2.61	—
2024	21	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	4	0	7	26	6	3	0	0%	1.8	23.1%	11.5%	11.5%	0.0%	1.23	2.69	—
2025	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	20	6	64	277	58	38	3	30%	3.2	15.5%	16.2%	-0.7%	1.6%	4.34	4.71	—
2025	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	20	6	64	277	58	38	3	30%	3.2	15.5%	16.2%	-0.7%	1.6%	4.34	4.71	—
2025	22	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	20	6	64	277	58	38	3	30%	3.2	20.9%	13.7%	7.2%	1.1%	4.34	3.68	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	0	73	328	100	43	9	0%	2.0	23.0%	15.4%	7.6%	3.6%	5.42	5.11	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	0	73	328	100	43	9	0%	2.0	23.0%	15.4%	7.6%	3.6%	5.42	5.11	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	37	0	73	328	100	43	9	0%	2.0	30.5%	13.1%	17.4%	2.7%	5.42	3.73	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	BOS	64	0	67	283	54	51	9	0%	1.0	19.2%	18.1%	1.1%	3.1%	5.85	5.85	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	65	0	68	287	57	46	9	0%	1.0	20.0%	16.0%	3.9%	3.1%	5.59	5.51	-0.7
2029	26	MLB MLE	BOS	65	0	68	287	59	44	9	0%	1.0	20.4%	15.5%	4.9%	3.1%	5.44	5.40	-0.6
2030	27	MLB MLE	BOS	64	0	67	283	58	43	9	0%	1.0	20.6%	15.2%	5.3%	3.1%	5.39	5.38	-0.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	BOS	62	0	65	274	56	42	9	0%	1.0	20.5%	15.2%	5.3%	3.2%	5.41	5.44	-0.6
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	28	0	29	122	24	20	4	0%	1.0	20.0%	16.0%	3.9%	3.1%	5.59	5.51	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	BOS	43	0	45	190	39	29	6	0%	1.0	20.4%	15.5%	4.9%	3.1%	5.44	5.40	-0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	BOS	50	0	52	220	45	33	7	0%	1.0	20.6%	15.2%	5.3%	3.1%	5.39	5.38	-0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	BOS	52	0	55	232	48	35	7	0%	1.1	20.5%	15.2%	5.3%	3.2%	5.41	5.44	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	0	181	764	156	118	24	0%	1.1	20.4%	15.4%	5.0%	3.1%	5.44	5.05	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	130	27	0%	1.1	20.4%	15.4%	5.0%	3.1%	5.44	5.05	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		61	6	145	631	124	98	16	10%	2.4	19.7%	15.6%	4.1%	2.6%	4.73	4.83	-2.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	8	200	872	172	136	23	10%	2.4	19.7%	15.6%	4.1%	2.6%	4.73	4.83	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Griffin Kilander (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.85	19.2%	18.1%	3.1%	—	5.43	20.3%	4.7%	203	-0.42	—	—	—
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	86
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	83
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	83
Taylor Floyd R 2022 · 4.84 FIP	24	SU	4.84	19.6%	18.4%	1.9%	.305	4.30	19.8%	10.2%	184	-0.54	3.48	359	83
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	82
Austin Glorius R 2017 · 6.09 FIP	24	SU	6.09	18.7%	21.0%	3.5%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	141	81
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	81
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	81
Yunior Montero R 2017 · 5.21 FIP	24	SU	5.21	21.3%	17.6%	3.1%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	127	80
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	80
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	80
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	80
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	80
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.06	19.2%	3.8%	102	-0.66	3.74	203	80
Tommy DeJuneas R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	20.8%	18.8%	2.6%	.324	5.65	13.7%	-3.9%	51	+0.50	3.93	178	80
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	79
Marc Brakeman R 2018 · 4.67 FIP	24	SU	4.67	18.3%	13.7%	2.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	156	79
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	79
Austin Vernon R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	24	SW	5.75	22.1%	16.8%	4.3%	.325	3.68	23.3%	10.0%	100	-2.07	3.37	261	79
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	20.1%	16.0%	1.20	5.54
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*