Marshall Toole

OF Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 24 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	ANYY	372	.305/.408/.479	5	44	95	—	.239/.322/.391
2026	23	A+TB	159	.252/.389/.354	3	20	62	—	.203/.299/.290
2026	23	ATB	49	.125/.286/.175	0	2	-8	—	.093/.204/.140
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBTB	1	.206/.292/.310	0	0	72	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBTB	67	.209/.295/.320	1	2	75	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBTB	133	.212/.297/.326	2	5	77	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed81

BB%78

Chase%77

wRC+59

wOBA58

Whiff%37

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsKameron Misner (age 24) · Terrell Tatum (age 24) · Kevin Watson Jr (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .292 / .310

PA1

HR0

K%34

BB%9

BABIP311

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	69	51	13	2	0	1	15	18	3	8	2	255	449	353	802	98	375	26	22	382	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	372	315	96	14	13	5	52	73	3	44	6	305	408	479	887	175	381	20	14	392	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	159	127	32	4	0	3	24	51	5	20	3	252	389	354	743	102	397	32	15	342	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	49	40	5	0	1	0	7	21	2	2	1	125	286	175	461	50	263	43	14	236	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	69	56	12	2	0	1	10	26	3	8	2	214	362	304	666	89	331	38	14	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	372	330	79	11	12	5	37	99	3	44	6	239	322	391	713	152	320	27	10	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	159	138	28	3	0	3	14	67	5	20	3	203	299	290	589	87	355	42	9	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	49	43	4	0	1	0	4	29	2	2	1	93	204	140	344	47	239	59	8	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	69	56	12	2	0	1	10	26	3	8	2	214	362	304	666	89	379	38	14	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	69	51	13	2	0	1	15	18	3	8	2	255	449	353	802	98	375	26	22	382	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	372	330	79	11	12	5	37	99	3	44	6	239	322	391	713	152	325	27	10	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	372	315	96	14	13	5	52	73	3	44	6	305	408	479	887	175	381	20	14	392	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	208	181	32	3	1	3	18	95	7	22	4	177	277	254	531	77	349	46	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	208	167	37	4	1	3	31	72	7	22	4	222	364	311	675	90	370	35	15	317	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	69	56	12	2	0	1	10	26	3	8	2	214	362	304	666	89	331	38	14	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	372	329	79	11	12	5	37	99	3	44	6	240	322	392	714	152	320	27	10	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	208	181	32	3	1	3	18	95	7	22	4	177	277	254	531	77	328	46	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	69	56	12	2	0	1	10	26	3	8	2	214	362	304	666	89	331	38	14	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	372	329	79	11	12	5	37	99	3	44	6	240	322	392	714	152	320	27	10	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	208	181	32	3	1	3	18	95	7	22	4	177	277	254	531	77	328	46	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TB	0%	258	228	46	8	2	4	24	87	4	9	2	204	291	310	600	105	307	34	9	275	72	-9	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	TB	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	206	292	310	603	104	311	0	0	276	72	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TB	30%	221	195	41	7	2	4	21	73	3	8	2	207	294	319	613	112	307	33	10	279	75	-6	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	TB	44%	301	266	55	10	2	5	28	98	4	11	2	210	295	325	620	116	305	33	9	282	77	-8	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	TB	49%	343	303	64	12	2	6	32	111	5	12	2	210	295	327	622	116	304	32	9	283	78	-9	+2	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	TB	30%	67	60	13	2	1	1	6	22	1	2	0	209	295	320	615	110	310	33	9	281	75	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	TB	44%	133	118	24	4	1	2	12	43	2	5	1	212	297	326	622	114	309	32	9	283	77	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	TB	49%	168	148	32	6	1	3	16	54	2	6	1	212	297	327	624	115	308	32	10	284	78	-4	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	368	326	69	12	3	6	34	119	5	13	2	212	296	322	618	110	310	32	9	283	77	-10	+2	+0	-2	+8	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	122	21	5	11	60	210	9	23	4	212	297	323	620	111	309	32	9	283	77	-18	+3	+0	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1672	1471	311	50	20	26	161	555	27	111	19	211	301	326	626	114	317	33	10	281	77	-29	+5	+0	-6	+22	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	121	19	8	10	63	216	10	43	7	212	301	325	626	114	318	33	10	281	77	-18	+3	+0	-4	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#4Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#5James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.6	369	7	13	210	293	326	-2	+0	-0.0	-0.0
/162	664	12	23	-4.0	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marshall Toole (OGILVIE)	24	50	40	60	55	202/288/307	104	307	2	6	34%	9%	72	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kameron Misner 2022 · AA	24	43	43→50	55	42	201/276/319	118	316	10	19	37%	8%	70	-0.9	201/292/340	139	322	14	23	38%	11%	80	-0.1	193/290/335	142	306	15	26	38%	11%	76	-0.4
✕Terrell Tatum 2023 · A	24	48→45	41→40	55→60	46	208/298/311	102	365	8	23	41%	11%	76	-0.4	199/283/284	85	322	6	29	36%	10%	64	-1.3	187/273/264	77	302	5	34	36%	10%	53	-1.3
✕Kevin Watson Jr 2023 · A	24	45	45→50	56→50	47	210/301/336	126	321	12	13	35%	10%	82	+0.0	227/301/308	81	318	5	10	27%	9%	76	-0.4	241/318/290	49	329	0	8	24%	10%	77	-0.2
✕T.J. Mittelstaedt 2012 · A	24	47→48	42→45	54→50	46	219/295/320	101	326	9	17	33%	10%	76	-0.4	190/273/318	128	302	13	12	38%	10%	68	-1.0	163/254/299	137	257	14	10	39%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Brad McElroy 2010 · A	24	45→55	40	55	50	213/297/308	96	282	7	18	25%	9%	75	-0.5	225/286/318	93	294	6	20	24%	7%	72	-0.7	227/284/313	86	294	5	23	23%	6%	67	-0.6
✕Matt Van Der Bosch 2006 · AA	24	51→52	40→45	54→55	42	235/293/332	97	340	6	17	31%	7%	78	-0.3	220/281/325	105	291	10	18	26%	7%	72	-0.7	188/256/287	99	220	14	29	21%	8%	51	-0.8
✕James Jones 2013 · A	24	47→54	43→45	51→60	42	223/282/338	115	321	9	16	32%	7%	75	-0.5	237/284/334	97	311	5	28	24%	6%	74	-0.5	242/289/332	91	306	3	36	21%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Justin Dean 2021 · A	24	47	42→45	58→65	44	221/291/328	107	313	8	23	30%	8%	76	-0.4	202/279/300	98	317	8	27	36%	8%	67	-1.1	212/289/296	84	320	7	47	33%	9%	66	-0.8
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2019 · AA	24	45→55	43→45	57→55	40	216/271/330	114	311	9	21	32%	6%	69	-0.9	200/260/304	104	312	10	15	36%	7%	59	-1.6	178/245/264	86	284	8	13	38%	8%	42	-2.0
✕Shane Sasaki 2024 · A	24	49→56	43→45	58→60	42	234/293/349	116	334	10	25	32%	7%	82	-0.0	215/279/295	80	320	5	28	31%	8%	64	-1.3	203/273/269	66	307	2	34	32%	8%	53	-1.0
✕Carlo Testa 2011 · A	24	46→48	46→50	57→50	42	223/283/361	139	317	11	16	32%	7%	81	-0.1	216/273/344	128	323	12	15	34%	7%	74	-0.6	210/266/338	128	316	12	15	35%	6%	67	-0.7
✕Victor Labrada 2024 · A	24	45→55	39→45	54→60	41	210/275/293	84	312	6	22	33%	7%	62	-1.4	232/308/345	113	310	9	33	26%	8%	86	+0.3	236/319/356	120	306	10	36	24%	9%	91	+0.5
✕Anthony Alford 2018 · AA	24	49→52	41→45	53→55	46	227/304/323	96	332	8	20	32%	9%	80	-0.1	219/285/324	105	324	9	23	33%	7%	74	-0.6	214/285/338	124	333	13	24	37%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Travis Swaggerty 2023 · AAA	25	46	44→45	58→55	45	220/286/342	122	307	10	20	30%	8%	78	-0.3	214/279/328	114	315	9	17	32%	8%	72	-0.7	185/259/242	57	311	0	9	37%	8%	44	-0.5
✕Caleb Roberts 2024 · AA	24	45→46	45→50	52→50	46	213/298/343	131	314	11	12	33%	9%	83	+0.1	205/286/332	127	282	12	11	30%	8%	76	-0.4	190/278/312	121	255	12	11	29%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Jack Pineda 2024 · A	24	44	37→45	52→50	48	204/287/282	78	308	4	18	32%	10%	65	-1.2	225/290/319	94	300	8	15	26%	7%	74	-0.5	240/300/341	101	307	9	17	23%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Juan Silva 2015 · A	24	50→47	41→45	56→55	52	236/316/339	103	313	8	29	26%	10%	88	+0.5	220/294/309	89	287	5	17	23%	9%	74	-0.6	204/276/281	78	266	4	10	23%	9%	57	-0.7
✕Elijah Dunham 2022 · A	24	44	47→50	55→60	45	218/290/361	143	291	14	21	29%	8%	84	+0.2	212/285/354	142	287	14	27	30%	8%	81	-0.1	203/277/346	143	276	15	29	30%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Khalil Lee 2021 · AA	23	47→54	41→45	57→55	43	217/294/316	99	333	9	30	35%	8%	75	-0.5	210/317/340	130	347	11	15	38%	10%	91	+0.6	198/316/331	133	347	11	13	40%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Brennon Lund 2019 · AA	24	51→56	41→45	53→50	42	242/294/340	99	318	7	16	26%	6%	80	-0.2	220/273/340	120	304	10	11	29%	6%	72	-0.7	202/253/331	129	281	12	6	31%	5%	61	-0.9

Marshall Toole

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps