Marshall Toole — OGILVIE

Marshall TooleOF Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 23 L/R 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION208 act + 138 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .298 / .298

PA138

HR2

SB8

K%37

BB%10

BABIP320

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	69	56	10	2	0	1	10	28	3	8	2	179	333	268	601	89	333	41	14	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	69	51	13	2	0	1	15	18	3	8	2	255	449	353	802	98	375	26	22	382	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	372	326	73	11	12	6	41	104	3	44	6	224	316	387	703	163	307	28	11	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	372	315	96	14	13	5	52	73	3	44	6	305	408	479	887	175	381	20	14	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	TB	—	208	179	31	3	1	2	20	98	7	22	4	173	282	235	516	61	367	47	10	238	40	-14	+3	+0	-1	+6	-0.7
YTD	23	A+	TB	—	208	167	37	4	1	3	31	72	7	22	4	222	364	311	675	90	370	35	15	317	101	+0	+3	+0	-1	+6	0.8
ROS	23	A+	TB	0%	138	120	24	4	1	2	14	51	3	8	2	199	298	298	596	99	320	37	10	278	71	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
ROS	23	MLB	TB	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						325	0	0	265	61	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	TB	—	209	180	31	3	1	2	20	98	7	22	4	172	280	233	514	61	362	47	10	238	40	-14	+3	+0	-1	+6	-0.7
TOT	23	A+	TB	—	346	299	55	7	2	4	34	149	10	30	6	184	288	260	548	77	345	43	10	254	52	-19	+4	+0	-2	+10	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TB	30%	397	347	72	12	3	7	40	139	7	18	3	207	302	320	622	112	319	35	10	287	77	-10	+2	+0	-2	+11	0.1
2028	25	MLB	TB	44%	441	386	82	14	3	9	45	149	7	20	4	212	306	334	640	122	317	34	10	291	81	-9	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2029	26	MLB	TB	51%	468	410	88	15	3	10	47	156	8	21	4	215	308	339	647	124	315	33	10	294	83	-9	+3	+0	-3	+13	0.4
2030	27	MLB	TB	52%	479	419	90	16	3	10	49	158	8	22	4	215	309	339	648	124	314	33	10	294	84	-9	+3	+0	-3	+14	0.5
2027	24	MLB	TB	30%	120	105	22	4	1	2	12	42	2	5	1	210	303	324	626	114	323	35	10	276	69	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	TB	44%	195	170	36	6	1	4	20	66	3	9	2	212	306	329	635	118	321	34	10	281	73	-6	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	TB	51%	238	208	46	8	2	5	24	79	4	11	2	221	314	351	665	130	319	33	10	283	75	-7	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.0
2030	27	MLB	TB	52%	251	219	48	8	2	5	26	83	4	11	2	219	313	342	656	123	319	33	10	284	75	-7	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	805	703	152	26	6	16	82	270	13	36	7	216	310	339	648	122	323	34	10	282	74	-24	+4	+0	-5	+23	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	123	21	5	13	66	218	10	29	6	217	309	340	648	123	324	34	10	282	74	-19	+3	+0	-4	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	2364	2064	439	74	25	45	246	785	39	141	25	213	308	338	646	125	316	33	10	293	82	-47	+18	+0	-14	+67	2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	120	20	7	12	68	216	11	39	7	211	308	335	643	123	315	33	10	293	82	-13	+5	+0	-4	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	69	51	13	2	0	1	15	18	3	8	2	255	449	353	802	98	375	26	22	382	151	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	372	315	96	14	13	5	52	73	3	44	6	305	408	479	887	175	381	20	14	392	158	+24	+6	—	—	+11	4.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	806	16	37	214	304	337	-5	+0	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	13	30	214	304	337	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marshall Toole (OGILVIE)	23	50	40	60	55	184/288/260	77	345	4	30	43%	10%	52	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Scott II 2023 · A	22	44→53	44→40	58→65	50	212/296/342	129	289	10	19	28%	10%	79	+0.3	222/282/318	96	284	8	44	23%	6%	66	-0.6	217/280/304	88	276	7	49	23%	6%	60	-0.9
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0
✕Leon Johnson 2008 · A	23	49	40	58→60	50	229/302/326	97	301	6	22	24%	9%	77	+0.1	218/282/296	78	282	5	17	23%	7%	61	-1.0	200/262/221	21	248	0	22	18%	6%	30	-0.7
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2022 · AA	23	48→51	42→45	54→60	43	229/288/341	112	317	9	22	29%	7%	76	+0.0	238/296/347	109	313	8	29	25%	7%	80	+0.4	240/313/341	101	332	7	39	27%	9%	83	+0.3
✕Dru Baker 2023 · A	23	50→56	44→40	57→60	44	238/302/356	119	333	12	24	31%	8%	85	+0.7	237/290/323	86	341	7	32	31%	6%	71	-0.3	231/281/299	68	334	5	31	31%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Justin Dean 2021 · A	24	47→49	43→45	58→65	44	222/293/335	113	314	10	23	31%	8%	76	+0.1	203/280/315	112	322	11	27	37%	8%	66	-0.6	232/303/321	89	344	6	48	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Corey Rosier 2023 · A	23	48→51	42→40	62→60	49	229/304/341	112	296	9	28	25%	9%	82	+0.5	215/276/314	99	288	8	33	26%	7%	63	-0.8	205/266/300	95	272	8	36	26%	7%	52	-1.0
✕Juan Silva 2014 · A	23	46	42→45	51→55	47	220/292/325	105	300	9	21	28%	9%	73	-0.1	222/297/313	91	298	6	22	25%	9%	72	-0.2	218/298/300	82	290	4	24	24%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Tsung-Che Cheng 2023 · A	22	47	42→45	57→55	50	224/306/337	113	303	7	21	27%	10%	82	+0.5	210/274/324	114	288	10	18	29%	8%	65	-0.7	193/262/293	100	274	11	19	32%	8%	49	-1.2
✕Hoy Park 2019 · A	23	46→49	39→45	55	50	218/298/304	86	288	6	17	25%	9%	71	-0.3	227/304/324	97	304	7	16	25%	9%	78	+0.2	217/301/336	119	289	13	18	28%	10%	77	+0.1
✕Logan Vick 2014 · A	23	48	41→45	52→50	56	225/323/333	108	304	7	15	26%	12%	89	+0.9	193/286/291	98	295	7	13	33%	11%	63	-0.8	143/250/225	82	230	6	13	36%	12%	30	-2.1
✕Jared Oliva 2019 · A	23	46→45	42→50	56→65	43	219/288/328	109	304	8	24	29%	7%	72	-0.2	218/277/322	104	307	8	25	30%	6%	66	-0.6	227/296/370	142	284	15	55	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Drew Avans 2019 · A	23	46→55	48→50	56→60	50	230/303/374	143	281	15	18	24%	9%	90	+1.0	227/285/354	127	322	12	22	31%	7%	78	+0.2	229/293/352	123	335	9	33	32%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Michael Gigliotti 2019 · A	23	51	41→40	51→55	50	244/315/350	106	306	8	16	22%	9%	89	+1.0	225/290/313	88	304	5	21	26%	7%	69	-0.4	194/304/312	118	265	11	24	28%	11%	75	+0.0
✕Spencer Jones 2023 · A	22	48	45→55	56→55	43	235/298/363	128	318	13	19	29%	7%	85	+0.7	217/270/366	149	357	16	25	41%	6%	75	-0.0	210/278/395	185	354	23	23	44%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Carlo Testa 2011 · A	24	47→49	46→50	58→50	42	228/289/372	144	323	12	16	32%	7%	83	+0.6	216/275/349	133	330	12	15	36%	7%	72	-0.2	209/267/342	134	323	13	15	37%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Tristan Peters 2023 · AA	23	45→53	44→45	53→50	48	218/288/344	126	281	9	14	25%	8%	76	+0.1	229/295/348	119	286	9	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	238/306/369	131	290	10	10	21%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Joe McCarthy 2017 · A	23	48→49	41→50	51→50	51	227/310/330	103	289	8	14	23%	9%	82	+0.5	216/302/338	122	287	10	12	26%	10%	82	+0.5	202/285/367	165	263	19	5	30%	9%	80	+0.1
✕Brett Jackson 2011 · AA	22	49	45→50	57→55	46	231/307/368	137	327	11	20	31%	9%	91	+1.1	206/279/356	150	326	16	19	38%	9%	76	+0.1	186/261/335	149	304	16	19	41%	8%	61	-0.8
✕LeVon Washington 2014 · A	23	54	42→45	53→50	48	246/321/366	120	353	7	14	30%	9%	95	+1.4	232/297/343	111	327	8	10	29%	8%	79	+0.3	222/287/322	100	312	8	8	29%	7%	67	-0.2