Marshall Toole
OF Bowling Green Hot Rods| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | ANYY | 69 | .255/.449/.353 | 1 | 8 | 78 | — | .214/.362/.304 |
| 2025 | 22 | ANYY | 372 | .305/.408/.479 | 5 | 44 | 95 | — | .239/.322/.391 |
| 2026 | 23 | A+/ATB | 208 | .222/.364/.311 | 3 | 22 | 46 | — | .177/.277/.254 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBTB | 258 | .204/.291/.310 | 4 | 9 | 72 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBTB | 42 | .209/.295/.320 | 1 | 2 | 75 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 26 | MLBTB | 85 | .212/.297/.326 | 1 | 3 | 77 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 69 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 255 | 449 | 353 | 802 | 98 | 375 | 26 | 22 | 382 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 372 | 315 | 96 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 52 | 73 | 3 | 44 | 6 | 305 | 408 | 479 | 887 | 175 | 381 | 20 | 14 | 392 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 159 | 127 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 51 | 5 | 20 | 3 | 252 | 389 | 354 | 743 | 102 | 397 | 32 | 15 | 342 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 49 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 125 | 286 | 175 | 461 | 50 | 263 | 43 | 14 | 236 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 69 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 214 | 362 | 304 | 666 | 89 | 331 | 38 | 14 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 372 | 330 | 79 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 37 | 99 | 3 | 44 | 6 | 239 | 322 | 391 | 713 | 152 | 320 | 27 | 10 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 159 | 138 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 67 | 5 | 20 | 3 | 203 | 299 | 290 | 589 | 87 | 355 | 42 | 9 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 49 | 43 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 93 | 204 | 140 | 344 | 47 | 239 | 59 | 8 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 69 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 214 | 362 | 304 | 666 | 89 | 379 | 38 | 14 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | Tampa Tarpons | — | 69 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 255 | 449 | 353 | 802 | 98 | 375 | 26 | 22 | 382 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 372 | 330 | 79 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 37 | 99 | 3 | 44 | 6 | 239 | 322 | 391 | 713 | 152 | 325 | 27 | 10 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A RAW | Tampa Tarpons | — | 372 | 315 | 96 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 52 | 73 | 3 | 44 | 6 | 305 | 408 | 479 | 887 | 175 | 381 | 20 | 14 | 392 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 208 | 181 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 95 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 177 | 277 | 254 | 531 | 77 | 349 | 46 | 9 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 208 | 167 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 72 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 222 | 364 | 311 | 675 | 90 | 370 | 35 | 15 | 317 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 69 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 214 | 362 | 304 | 666 | 89 | 331 | 38 | 14 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 372 | 329 | 79 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 37 | 99 | 3 | 44 | 6 | 240 | 322 | 392 | 714 | 152 | 320 | 27 | 10 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 208 | 181 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 95 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 177 | 277 | 254 | 531 | 77 | 328 | 46 | 9 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 69 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 214 | 362 | 304 | 666 | 89 | 331 | 38 | 14 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 372 | 329 | 79 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 37 | 99 | 3 | 44 | 6 | 240 | 322 | 392 | 714 | 152 | 320 | 27 | 10 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 208 | 181 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 95 | 7 | 22 | 4 | 177 | 277 | 254 | 531 | 77 | 328 | 46 | 9 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | TB | 0% | 258 | 228 | 46 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 87 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 204 | 291 | 310 | 600 | 105 | 307 | 34 | 9 | 275 | 72 | -9 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | TB | 30% | 137 | 121 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 46 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 207 | 294 | 319 | 613 | 112 | 307 | 34 | 9 | 279 | 75 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | TB | 44% | 192 | 169 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 63 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 210 | 295 | 325 | 620 | 116 | 305 | 33 | 9 | 282 | 77 | -5 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | TB | 30% | 42 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 209 | 295 | 320 | 615 | 110 | 310 | 33 | 10 | 281 | 75 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | TB | 44% | 85 | 76 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 212 | 297 | 326 | 622 | 114 | 309 | 33 | 9 | 283 | 77 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 127 | 113 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 42 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 204 | 291 | 310 | 601 | 106 | 304 | 33 | 9 | 282 | 76 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 117 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 61 | 215 | 10 | 26 | 5 | 202 | 289 | 306 | 595 | 104 | 303 | 33 | 9 | 282 | 76 | -18 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1076 | 945 | 199 | 30 | 16 | 15 | 105 | 362 | 19 | 90 | 15 | 211 | 302 | 324 | 626 | 113 | 322 | 34 | 10 | 281 | 76 | -12 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +9 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 571 | 120 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 63 | 219 | 11 | 54 | 9 | 210 | 300 | 324 | 624 | 114 | 322 | 34 | 10 | 281 | 76 | -19 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 159 PAwOBA .334 → .260 (−75)K% 32.1% → 42.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.08% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 42.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 9.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.14% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 2.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 29.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 4.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 3.47% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .334 → .260; ISO .102 → .086; BABIP .397 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ACharleston RiverDogs · 49 PAwOBA .222 → .157 (−65)K% 42.9% → 58.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 42.86% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 58.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 8.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.08% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 3.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 19.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 4.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .222 → .157; ISO .050 → .035; BABIP .263 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ATampa Tarpons · 372 PAwOBA .384 → .308 (−77)K% 19.6% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.62% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.98% | ÷0.971 | ×0.690 | — | — | 9.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.81% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.45% | ÷1.119 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | — | 21.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.79% | ÷1.046 | ×0.830 | ×0.998 | — | 4.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.37% | ÷0.913 | ×0.910 | ×0.998 | — | 5.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.07% | ÷0.842 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.96% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 124, 2B 109, 3B 83, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .384 → .308; ISO .175 → .157; BABIP .381 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ATampa Tarpons · 69 PAwOBA .374 → .283 (−91)K% 26.1% → 37.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.09% | ÷0.959 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.74% | ÷1.061 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 14.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.35% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 3.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.30% | ÷1.035 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 27.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷1.028 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 4.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.979 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.51% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 106, 3B 94, K 92, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .374 → .283; ISO .098 → .077; BABIP .375 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).