Trent Youngblood

OF Hillsboro Hops

Age 25 L/R 5'10" / 175 lbs A+ HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2368ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AARI	355	.266/.404/.332	4	25	65	—	.221/.320/.269
2026	24	AAA/AA/A+ARI	516	.285/.404/.419	10	29	91	—	.244/.337/.351
2027PROJMLE	25	MLBARI	1	.234/.325/.336	0	0	86	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBARI	77	.235/.325/.343	1	2	88	0.0
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBARI	117	.235/.324/.344	2	3	88	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Z-Con%97

Whiff%93

K%91

Chase%90

wOBA88

BB%86

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsBrett Nommensen (age 25) · Juan Silva (age 25) · Andrew Aplin (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .325 / .336

PA1

HR0

K%22

BB%10

BABIP294

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	355	274	73	6	0	4	62	57	1	25	2	266	404	332	736	66	311	16	17	330	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	23	21	4	1	1	0	1	7	1	0	0	190	261	333	594	143	286	30	4	267	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	197	162	47	7	3	5	29	31	4	5	4	290	410	463	873	173	333	16	15	388	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	296	242	70	9	1	5	42	50	8	24	8	289	411	397	808	107	344	17	14	367	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	355	294	65	5	0	3	42	79	1	25	2	221	320	269	589	48	260	22	12	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	23	21	4	1	1	0	1	8	1	0	0	190	261	333	594	143	270	35	4	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	197	171	44	6	3	4	20	38	4	5	4	257	349	398	746	140	308	19	10	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	296	255	61	7	1	4	29	67	8	24	8	239	336	322	657	82	298	23	10	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	355	294	65	5	0	3	42	79	1	25	2	221	320	269	589	48	281	22	12	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	355	274	73	6	0	4	62	57	1	25	2	266	404	332	736	66	311	16	17	330	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	516	447	109	14	5	8	50	114	13	29	12	244	337	351	688	107	309	22	10	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	516	425	121	17	5	10	72	88	13	29	12	285	404	419	823	134	337	17	14	370	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	355	309	65	5	0	3	42	79	1	25	2	210	320	256	576	45	260	22	12	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	516	448	109	14	5	8	50	114	13	29	12	243	337	350	688	107	301	22	10	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	23	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	355	309	65	5	0	3	42	79	1	25	2	210	320	256	576	45	260	22	12	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	516	448	109	14	5	8	50	114	13	29	12	243	337	350	688	107	301	22	10	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	380	333	76	11	3	5	38	84	6	12	4	228	319	325	644	97	286	22	10	295	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	234	325	336	660	102	294	0	0	302	86	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	ARI	30%	254	223	51	7	2	4	25	56	4	7	3	229	320	333	653	103	286	22	10	298	88	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	ARI	42%	281	246	57	8	2	5	28	62	5	8	3	229	319	334	653	105	286	22	10	298	88	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	297	261	60	9	2	5	29	67	5	7	3	228	317	333	650	105	285	23	10	297	87	-5	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	ARI	49%	296	261	59	9	2	5	29	67	4	6	3	227	314	330	645	104	284	23	10	294	85	-5	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	ARI	50%	294	260	59	9	2	5	28	68	4	5	3	224	311	326	637	102	282	23	10	291	83	-6	-0	-2	-2	+6	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	ARI	30%	77	68	17	3	1	1	8	17	1	2	1	235	325	343	669	108	295	22	10	304	88	-1	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	ARI	42%	117	102	24	4	1	2	12	26	2	3	1	235	324	344	669	109	294	22	10	304	88	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	142	125	29	5	1	2	14	32	2	3	1	234	322	343	665	109	294	23	10	303	87	-2	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	ARI	49%	146	129	30	5	1	2	14	33	2	3	1	232	320	340	660	108	293	23	10	300	85	-3	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	ARI	50%	148	131	30	5	1	2	14	34	2	3	1	230	316	336	652	106	291	23	9	297	83	-3	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	630	555	130	22	5	9	62	142	9	14	5	234	321	341	662	106	297	23	10	301	84	-10	+1	-2	-4	+14	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	134	23	5	9	64	147	9	14	5	234	320	339	659	105	297	23	10	301	84	-11	+1	-2	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2503	2175	501	67	16	38	252	559	40	94	31	230	321	328	650	98	290	22	10	293	84	-27	+1	-4	-10	+35	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	130	17	4	10	65	145	10	24	8	230	320	327	647	97	290	22	10	293	84	-11	+0	-2	-4	+14	-0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Hillsboro Hops · 296 PAwOBA .360 → .293 (−67)K% 16.9% → 22.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.89%	÷1.000	×1.350	—	—	22.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.19%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.978	9.85%
HBP% /PA	2.70%	—	×0.810	—	×0.978	2.14%
Singles /BIP	28.65%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.992	×0.978	25.28%
Doubles /BIP	4.69%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.992	×0.978	3.77%
Triples /BIP	0.52%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.992	×0.978	0.41%
Home runs /BIP	2.60%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.978	2.11%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .360 → .293; ISO .107 → .087; BABIP .344 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 197 PAwOBA .378 → .328 (−50)K% 15.7% → 19.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.74%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	19.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.72%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.998	10.28%
HBP% /PA	2.03%	—	×0.870	—	×0.998	1.76%
Singles /BIP	24.43%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.027	×0.998	23.04%
Doubles /BIP	5.34%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.027	×0.998	4.60%
Triples /BIP	2.29%	÷1.000	×0.940	×1.027	×0.998	2.21%
Home runs /BIP	3.82%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.998	3.05%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .378 → .328; ISO .173 → .152; BABIP .333 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAAReno Aces · 23 PAwOBA .260 → .226 (−35)K% 30.4% → 36.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.43%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	36.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.35%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.033	3.10%
HBP% /PA	4.35%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	4.22%
Singles /BIP	14.29%	÷1.000	×0.930	—	×1.033	13.72%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×1.033	6.12%
Triples /BIP	7.14%	÷1.000	×0.970	—	×1.033	7.16%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.033	0.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .260 → .226; ISO .143 → .126; BABIP .286 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AVisalia Rawhide · 355 PAwOBA .331 → .264 (−67)K% 16.1% → 22.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.06%	÷0.983	×1.360	—	—	22.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.46%	÷1.012	×0.690	—	×0.980	11.67%
HBP% /PA	0.28%	—	×0.780	—	×0.980	0.22%
Singles /BIP	29.03%	÷1.027	×0.920	×0.963	×0.980	24.54%
Doubles /BIP	2.76%	÷1.005	×0.830	×0.963	×0.980	2.15%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.910	×0.963	×0.980	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.84%	÷1.283	×0.800	—	×0.980	1.13%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 105, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .331 → .264; ISO .066 → .047; BABIP .311 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	2.5	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
/162	664	16	9	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#3Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	630	10	15	228	313	332	-4	+0	0.4	0.4
/162	664	11	15	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Trent Youngblood (OGILVIE)	25	45	25	60	60	226/317/322	96	286	3	7	22%	10%	86	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Nommensen 2012 · AA	25	50→45	41→40	55	49	239/315/342	104	286	7	20	19%	8%	89	+0.5	230/299/323	93	290	6	14	21%	8%	78	-0.3	208/277/284	76	263	5	9	22%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Juan Silva 2016 · AAA	25	48→47	40→45	55	52	226/303/321	95	290	6	23	23%	10%	79	-0.2	221/293/314	93	286	6	14	23%	9%	74	-0.5	203/271/265	62	278	3	6	26%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Andrew Aplin 2016 · AAA	25	53→60	39→40	55	57	249/328/334	84	294	6	25	16%	10%	91	+0.7	216/288/307	91	280	7	18	23%	9%	71	-0.8	196/268/288	91	256	7	13	25%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Hoy Park 2021 · AA	25	50→52	38→45	51→55	50	234/308/319	85	307	5	16	24%	9%	81	-0.1	224/306/342	118	299	12	16	27%	10%	86	+0.3	217/305/329	112	291	12	18	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Charlie Tilson 2018 · AAA	25	54→60	40	57→55	47	259/307/360	100	305	6	22	17%	6%	88	+0.5	232/278/302	70	294	4	13	21%	5%	65	-1.2	238/284/300	62	307	2	16	22%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Adam Greenberg 2006 · AA	25	51→47	42→45	58→55	51	240/315/356	115	305	7	16	22%	9%	91	+0.7	218/295/314	96	296	5	16	26%	9%	75	-0.5	213/291/303	90	288	4	18	25%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Cody Milligan 2024 · AA	25	52→56	38→40	57→60	48	239/308/327	88	324	4	20	26%	8%	82	-0.0	209/272/298	89	302	5	28	30%	7%	62	-1.4	189/253/270	81	279	4	34	31%	7%	46	-1.8
✕Ben Copeland 2009 · AAA	25	50→53	41→45	55	49	238/298/347	109	289	6	16	20%	8%	82	+0.0	238/289/346	108	295	7	19	21%	7%	79	-0.2	238/288/347	109	295	8	21	21%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Richie Palacios 2022 · AAA	25	52→54	44→45	56→55	52	250/330/384	134	307	9	20	21%	9%	104	+1.6	240/321/363	123	289	10	18	19%	10%	96	+1.0	232/322/348	116	275	10	20	18%	10%	92	+0.5
✕Joe McCarthy 2018 · AA	24	50→51	42→45	53→50	54	237/324/353	116	298	8	15	22%	10%	95	+0.9	209/296/341	132	292	12	10	30%	10%	82	+0.0	204/287/361	156	270	18	5	30%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Tucker Bradley 2023 · AA	25	50→52	45	53→50	48	243/310/370	127	310	12	15	24%	8%	93	+0.8	241/304/370	129	316	11	15	25%	8%	91	+0.6	244/309/381	138	322	10	16	26%	8%	94	+0.5
✕Kyle Mottice 2021 · A	25	50	36→30	52→55	51	233/334/299	66	281	3	19	17%	8%	88	+0.4	228/289/309	81	290	5	14	22%	6%	71	-0.8	242/295/294	52	300	0	21	18%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Carl Loadenthal 2007 · AA	25	53→61	40	53→60	48	252/312/345	93	310	8	22	21%	7%	88	+0.4	253/308/314	61	322	3	26	21%	7%	78	-0.3	256/312/301	44	326	1	30	20%	7%	75	-0.3
✕J.D. Orr 2022 · AA	25	51	36→30	54→65	47	235/294/310	75	312	3	24	24%	8%	72	-0.7	214/294/279	65	295	3	37	26%	9%	67	-1.1	199/291/245	46	277	1	51	25%	10%	56	-0.8
✕Mike Rodriguez 2006 · AA	25	51→53	41→40	58→55	50	241/296/346	106	272	7	21	14%	7%	82	-0.0	234/284/326	92	275	6	21	16%	6%	72	-0.7	231/277/314	83	274	5	20	17%	6%	64	-0.9
✕Jeff Duncan 2005 · MLB	26	42→45	41→45	54→60	48	208/280/303	96	266	9	18	25%	8%	67	-1.1	229/294/326	97	295	9	19	24%	7%	77	-0.3	228/294/307	79	296	7	21	24%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Alex Sanchez 2002 · MLB	25	47→57	44→40	56→65	50	227/289/351	124	268	10	23	19%	8%	81	-0.1	276/318/355	79	321	3	42	14%	6%	91	+0.7	289/324/358	68	334	2	47	13%	5%	94	+0.7
✕Austin Martin 2024 · AAA	25	48→55	39→40	56→60	52	227/323/314	87	281	7	27	20%	9%	86	+0.3	250/338/337	87	306	5	22	18%	10%	97	+1.1	256/352/337	81	314	4	22	17%	11%	102	+0.9
✕Garrett Stubbs 2018 · AAA	25	47	40→45	53→50	50	224/293/318	93	264	8	13	18%	8%	75	-0.5	229/293/337	108	280	9	14	20%	7%	79	-0.2	219/308/324	105	279	10	10	23%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Conner Crumbliss 2013 · AA	26	47→48	41→45	52→50	60	221/326/321	99	275	8	16	21%	13%	88	+0.5	215/303/333	118	254	11	13	19%	10%	83	+0.1	206/293/327	121	236	12	11	18%	10%	76	-0.4

Trent Youngblood

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps