Johan Fernandez

C ACL D-backs

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL Arizona R…	76	.246/.347/.415	3	1	22	—	.134/.227/.194
2026	19	ROKARI	58	.261/.414/.304	0	0	42	—	.160/.276/.180
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBARI	168	.204/.276/.282	1	2	60	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBARI	51	.214/.287/.309	1	1	65	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBARI	138	.218/.291/.320	2	1	70	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%74

wRC+55

wOBA45

Chase%40

K%20

ISO12

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 96%

CompsEmilio Guerrero (age 20) · Ronnierd Garcia (age 20) · James Harris (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .274 / .280

PA60

HR1

K%29

BB%8

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	54	43	8	4	0	0	7	11	3	0	1	186	340	279	619	93	250	20	13	293	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	76	65	16	2	0	3	8	17	2	1	0	246	347	415	762	169	289	22	11	340	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	58	46	12	2	0	0	11	17	1	0	0	261	414	304	718	43	414	29	19	345	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	54	45	6	3	0	0	5	13	3	0	1	133	264	200	464	67	165	24	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	76	67	9	1	0	1	6	22	2	1	0	134	227	194	421	60	184	29	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	58	50	8	1	0	0	7	24	1	0	0	160	276	180	456	20	335	41	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	54	45	6	3	0	0	5	13	3	0	1	133	264	200	464	67	188	24	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	54	43	8	4	0	0	7	11	3	0	1	186	340	279	619	93	250	20	13	293	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	76	67	9	1	0	1	6	22	2	1	0	134	227	194	421	60	182	29	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	76	65	16	2	0	3	8	17	2	1	0	246	347	415	762	169	289	22	11	340	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	58	50	8	1	0	0	7	24	1	0	0	160	276	180	456	20	308	41	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	—	58	46	12	2	0	0	11	17	1	0	0	261	414	304	718	43	414	29	19	345	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	54	46	6	3	0	0	5	13	3	0	1	130	264	196	460	65	165	24	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	76	68	9	1	0	1	6	22	2	1	0	132	227	191	418	59	184	29	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	58	50	8	1	0	0	7	24	1	0	0	160	276	180	456	20	335	41	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	54	46	6	3	0	0	5	13	3	0	1	130	264	196	460	65	165	24	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	76	68	9	1	0	1	6	22	2	1	0	132	227	191	418	59	184	29	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	58	50	8	1	0	0	7	24	1	0	0	160	276	180	456	20	335	41	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	168	151	31	6	1	1	13	49	2	2	1	204	276	282	559	79	288	29	8	257	60	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	148	134	28	5	1	2	11	43	2	1	1	208	282	297	578	89	289	29	7	265	65	-6	-0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	285	257	55	10	2	4	22	81	4	3	1	212	286	309	595	97	290	28	8	271	70	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	382	344	73	13	2	6	30	107	5	4	2	216	289	320	609	104	291	28	8	277	73	-12	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	447	403	88	16	2	8	35	124	6	5	2	219	292	329	621	110	292	28	8	281	77	-12	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2032	25	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	485	436	96	17	3	9	39	133	7	5	2	221	294	336	630	115	293	27	8	285	79	-12	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2033	26	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	507	454	101	18	3	10	41	139	7	5	2	221	295	338	632	117	292	27	8	286	80	-12	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2034	27	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	517	464	102	18	3	10	41	142	7	4	2	220	294	335	629	115	292	27	8	284	79	-13	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2035	28	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	518	465	102	18	3	10	41	144	7	3	2	218	291	330	622	112	291	28	8	282	77	-14	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2036	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	512	459	99	18	2	9	41	144	7	1	1	215	289	324	613	109	289	28	8	278	74	-16	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	504	453	95	17	2	8	40	143	6	1	1	212	285	316	601	104	287	28	8	273	71	-17	-0	-2	+9	+11	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	51	46	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	214	287	309	596	94	299	29	8	272	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	138	124	27	5	1	2	11	39	2	1	1	218	291	320	612	102	300	28	8	278	70	-5	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	207	186	41	8	1	3	16	58	3	2	1	222	295	331	625	109	301	28	8	283	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	248	223	50	10	2	4	20	69	3	3	1	225	298	339	637	115	302	28	8	288	77	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	272	244	56	11	2	5	22	75	4	3	1	227	300	346	646	120	303	28	8	291	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	285	256	58	12	2	5	23	78	4	3	1	227	300	348	648	121	302	27	8	292	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	286	257	57	11	2	5	23	79	4	2	1	226	299	345	644	120	302	28	8	291	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	284	255	57	11	2	5	23	79	4	2	1	224	297	341	637	117	300	28	8	288	77	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	274	246	56	11	2	5	22	77	4	1	1	221	294	334	628	113	299	28	8	284	74	-8	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	265	239	52	10	2	4	21	75	3	1	1	218	290	326	616	108	296	28	8	279	71	-9	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2310	2076	464	91	16	39	185	644	32	19	9	224	297	339	636	116	303	28	8	286	73	-67	+0	-2	+41	+50	2.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	131	26	5	11	52	181	9	5	3	224	298	342	640	118	304	28	8	286	73	-19	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4553	4085	873	157	23	78	364	1277	65	34	17	214	288	321	609	107	289	28	8	276	73	-129	+0	-4	+78	+95	4.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	124	22	3	11	52	182	9	5	2	213	287	317	604	105	288	28	8	276	73	-19	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.6	2,369	41	18	218	288	327	+42	+24	3.9	3.7
/162	664	12	5	+11.9	+6.7	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johan Fernandez (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	202/274/280	78	288	1	1	29%	8%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Emilio Guerrero 2013 · A	20	37→42	37→45	47→45	38	179/229/252	73	261	4	7	32%	5%	35	-3.4	214/260/304	90	295	7	8	28%	5%	59	-1.7	221/259/335	114	296	9	5	28%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2013 · A	20	35	37→45	42→40	38	175/237/244	69	259	5	4	33%	6%	37	-3.3	206/258/298	92	286	7	4	29%	6%	57	-1.8	213/268/321	108	292	9	2	29%	6%	63	-0.6
✕James Harris 2014 · A	20	36→46	36→40	46→50	42	176/239/245	69	249	3	10	29%	7%	38	-3.2	210/270/299	89	304	8	12	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/284/309	88	314	7	14	30%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Stone Garrett 2016 · A	20	42→39	35→55	49→50	38	198/237/257	59	280	3	7	29%	5%	38	-3.2	172/211/256	84	307	7	8	44%	4%	30	-3.8	223/282/387	164	300	20	11	31%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Edgar Corcino 2012 · A	20	34→44	40→45	44→45	37	172/232/256	83	269	8	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	199/254/295	96	301	9	6	35%	6%	55	-2.0	232/277/343	111	292	10	4	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Yunior Garcia 2021 · A	20	38→48	41→45	48→30	36	190/240/287	97	286	9	7	36%	5%	48	-2.5	223/273/336	113	325	11	4	33%	5%	72	-0.7	228/278/346	118	323	12	2	32%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	35	37→40	46→50	41	173/237/247	74	261	4	10	34%	7%	38	-3.2	169/266/252	83	245	7	8	31%	10%	52	-2.2	142/256/221	79	200	9	6	31%	11%	41	-1.0
✕Jalen Miller 2017 · A	20	38→44	38→45	50	37	188/229/268	79	258	5	9	29%	4%	38	-3.2	202/244/306	104	272	9	9	28%	5%	53	-2.1	184/243/300	116	238	12	18	28%	7%	49	-1.5
✕Javier Rivas 2023 · A	20	33→39	39→45	46→45	34	169/226/248	79	252	7	7	35%	4%	34	-3.5	181/228/271	90	293	9	6	40%	4%	40	-3.1	187/225/311	125	267	16	4	36%	3%	46	-1.8
✕Brian Sanchez 2016 · A	20	35	39→50	47→45	37	173/232/259	86	255	6	7	33%	5%	39	-3.1	185/246/289	104	268	10	4	33%	6%	51	-2.2	177/247/294	117	245	12	0	32%	7%	52	-0.7
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	175/242/244	69	268	3	6	34%	5%	40	-3.1	213/255/306	93	315	7	4	33%	4%	57	-1.8	250/279/366	116	337	11	3	28%	2%	76	-0.3
✕Omar Meregildo 2018 · A	20	35→31	36→50	47→30	41	172/239/241	69	258	3	6	33%	7%	38	-3.2	197/255/307	110	316	10	3	38%	7%	59	-1.7	174/242/299	125	281	15	1	41%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Francisco Medina 2018 · A	20	37	36→40	45→40	41	181/239/241	60	254	5	5	29%	6%	37	-3.3	176/227/249	73	336	4	6	46%	6%	34	-3.5	134/179/211	77	253	5	6	47%	5%	5	-1.3
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A	20	35→45	36→50	43→45	48	168/257/234	66	242	4	7	30%	9%	44	-2.8	190/257/296	106	277	8	5	32%	7%	57	-1.8	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Nahum Hernandez 2010 · A	20	37	37→40	44→50	44	182/249/251	69	238	5	5	25%	6%	44	-2.8	218/293/305	87	277	6	10	22%	8%	72	-0.7	244/336/340	97	290	6	15	16%	10%	92	+0.2
✕Jose Peroza 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	45	36	191/234/262	72	300	3	7	36%	5%	39	-3.1	210/269/340	130	308	13	6	34%	6%	72	-0.7	207/280/327	120	310	12	4	35%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Cesar Quintas 2023 · A	20	40→48	36→45	41→45	37	188/259/248	60	287	3	5	33%	6%	47	-2.5	207/289/299	92	303	7	5	32%	6%	70	-0.8	200/288/307	107	285	10	6	31%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Hernán Pérez 2011 · A	20	39→49	36→50	47→55	38	192/225/254	62	254	4	5	26%	4%	33	-3.6	221/256/299	78	277	6	15	22%	4%	55	-1.9	261/293/405	144	305	16	28	20%	4%	95	+0.7
✕Eliezer Mesa 2009 · A	20	39→49	38→40	47→55	35	190/230/266	76	276	5	6	32%	4%	38	-3.2	226/259/304	78	301	2	14	25%	4%	57	-1.8	239/272/318	79	312	1	18	23%	4%	61	-0.8

Johan Fernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps