Charlie McDaniel
P
Eugene Emeralds
Age 25
LHP
6'3" / 208 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.9 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION73 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107116vR 125
ERA4.68
FIP4.68
K%16.6%
BB%7.8%
K-BB%8.8%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 138 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 12 | 100 | 413 | 95 | 25 | 8 | 52% | 4.4 | 17.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 2.3% | 3.68 | 3.78 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 12 | 100 | 413 | 95 | 25 | 8 | 52% | 4.4 | 23.0% | 6.1% | 16.9% | 1.9% | 3.68 | 2.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 16 | 16 | 73 | 302 | 65 | 17 | 8 | 100% | 4.6 | 16.9% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 4.66 | 4.26 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 45 | 21 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.62 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 138 | 576 | 110 | 38 | 16 | — | — | 19.2% | 6.7% | 12.5% | 2.8% | 4.67 | 4.46 | +1.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 16.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 4.62 | 4.24 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 70 | 296 | 52 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.61 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 69 | 292 | 53 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 4.62 | 4.63 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 51 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 4.66 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 64 | 270 | 49 | 23 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 4.75 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | SF | 10 | 10 | 60 | 254 | 45 | 23 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 4.90 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 4.57 | 4.55 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SF | 8 | 8 | 50 | 211 | 38 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | SF | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 40 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.68 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | SF | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 39 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 4.82 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 38 | 38 | 228 | 963 | 173 | 81 | 29 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.65 | 4.32 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 152 | 71 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.65 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 39 | 28 | 174 | 715 | 122 | 48 | 19 | 72% | 4.5 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 2.7% | 4.09 | 3.98 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 32 | 200 | 823 | 141 | 56 | 22 | 72% | 4.5 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 2.7% | 4.09 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Charlie McDaniel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.68 | 16.6% | 7.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.65 | 17.9% | 9.8% | 206 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Jordan Carr L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.86 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | .304 | 3.87 | 14.9% | 6.2% | 162 | +0.01 | 3.39 | 261 | 84 |
| Ryan Magdic L 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.64 | 18.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .314 | 3.18 | 21.5% | 16.7% | 54 | -0.46 | 3.18 | 150 | 83 |
| Chipper Smith L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.83 | 15.6% | 9.5% | 1.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 109 | 82 |
| Joe Miller L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.54 | 16.0% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | 4.08 | 19.8% | 6.6% | 45 | -0.46 | 3.65 | 328 | 81 |
| Bryan Radziewski L 2024 · 4.19 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.19 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 106 | 81 |
| Luis Leroy Cruz L 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.93 | 116 | 81 |
| John Michael Bertrand L 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.72 | 14.8% | 8.1% | 1.5% | .294 | 4.27 | 14.3% | 5.0% | 345 | +0.55 | 3.72 | 463 | 80 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.46 | 16.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | .322 | 5.74 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 172 | +0.28 | 2.22 | 286 | 80 |
| Miguel Cienfuegos L 2027 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.52 | 13.6% | 10.5% | 4.1% | .257 | 4.63 | 14.5% | 5.5% | 228 | -0.89 | 3.09 | 299 | 79 |
| Justin Marks L 2028 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.4% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .323 | 3.78 | 19.0% | 9.1% | 216 | -0.78 | 3.75 | 324 | 79 |
| Sebastian Gongora L 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.81 | 18.5% | 7.5% | 2.4% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 152 | 79 |
| Matt Tomshaw L 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.95 | 13.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .318 | 3.49 | 16.0% | 10.7% | 401 | -0.46 | 2.95 | 681 | 78 |
| Kyle Twomey L 2024 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.89 | 14.8% | 7.9% | 1.9% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 141 | 78 |
| Danny Wirchansky L 2028 · 4.98 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.98 | 16.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | .246 | 6.63 | 13.0% | 0.2% | 68 | +1.65 | 4.98 | 179 | 78 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2028 · 4.77 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.77 | 12.6% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .278 | 5.20 | 15.7% | 5.6% | 45 | +0.43 | 4.77 | 118 | 78 |
| Eric Wooten L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 116 | 78 |
| Nick Additon L 2028 · 3.78 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.78 | 14.0% | 7.9% | 1.6% | .307 | 4.62 | 14.4% | 7.1% | 106 | +0.84 | 3.06 | 217 | 78 |
| Demetrio Gutierrez L 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.80 | 12.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | .327 | 4.56 | 10.7% | 3.9% | 181 | -1.24 | 3.63 | 322 | 78 |
| Connor Wietgrefe L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.26 | 18.7% | 8.5% | 3.0% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 200 | 77 |
| Grant Watson L 2025 · 4.68 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.68 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 180 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 67 | 17.7% | 8.2% | 1.20 | 4.70 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |