Danny Martinez — OGILVIE

Danny Martinez P DSL Blue Jays Red

Age 21 LHP 6'6" / 175 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 8 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 123

ERA4.72

FIP4.72

K%23.0%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%10.8%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	12	0	13	64	12	13	0	0%	1.1	12.8%	25.4%	-12.6%	0.0%	10.66	5.24	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	12	0	13	64	12	13	0	0%	1.1	12.8%	25.4%	-12.6%	0.0%	10.66	5.24	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	12	0	13	64	12	13	0	0%	1.1	18.8%	20.3%	-1.6%	0.0%	10.66	4.28	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	4	3	5	33	5	9	0	75%	1.2	15.2%	27.3%	-12.1%	0.0%	9.64	5.28	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	4	3	5	33	5	9	0	75%	1.2	15.2%	27.3%	-12.1%	0.0%	9.64	5.28	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Red	4	3	5	33	5	9	0	75%	1.2	15.2%	27.3%	-12.1%	0.0%	9.64	6.74	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	5	0	3	26	3	9	0	0%	0.7	11.5%	34.6%	-23.1%	0.0%	18.90	6.51	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	5	0	3	26	3	9	0	0%	0.7	11.5%	34.6%	-23.1%	0.0%	18.90	6.51	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Red	5	0	3	26	3	9	0	0%	0.7	11.5%	34.6%	-23.1%	0.0%	18.90	9.40	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	TOR	8	0	8	34	8	4	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	12.2%	10.8%	3.0%	4.72	4.72	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TOR	19	0	20	84	20	9	2	0%	1.1	23.9%	10.9%	13.0%	2.9%	4.54	4.45	+0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	TOR	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	23.9%	10.9%	13.0%	2.9%	4.54	4.45	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.1	23.9%	10.9%	13.0%	2.9%	4.54	4.07	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	102	20	0%	1.1	23.9%	10.9%	13.0%	2.9%	4.54	4.07	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		21	3	21	123	16	34	0	14%	1.0	13.1%	27.8%	-14.7%	0.0%	11.76	5.52	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		203	29	200	1190	156	331	0	14%	1.0	13.1%	27.8%	-14.7%	0.0%	11.76	5.52	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Danny Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	23.0%	12.2%	3.0%	—	4.45	23.9%	13.0%	20	-0.27	—	—	—
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	84
Denny Bentley L 2018 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	19.6%	10.3%	3.8%	.318	2.88	25.4%	10.3%	58	-1.97	2.88	175	84
Destin Dotson L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	21	SU	3.90	22.3%	12.2%	2.1%	.288	5.84	23.0%	3.1%	48	+1.94	2.90	113	81
Taylor Tankersley L 2006 · 3.65 FIP	23	SU	3.65	25.8%	11.8%	2.2%	.271	4.62	21.6%	9.8%	65	+0.97	3.65	118	80
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	80
Abdallah Aris L 2017 · 3.63 FIP	20	SU	3.63	22.4%	11.3%	1.8%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.49	109	79
Manuel Medina L 2023 · 5.09 FIP	21	SU	5.09	22.3%	11.2%	4.5%	.319	2.79	24.2%	15.4%	78	-2.30	1.26	157	79
Mike Zagurski L 2007 · 4.10 FIP	24	SU	4.10	20.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	79
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	79
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	79
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	79
Wesley Wright L 2008 · 4.45 FIP	23	SU	4.45	22.8%	12.0%	3.2%	.239	4.90	21.6%	11.6%	78	+0.45	3.03	375	78
Evan Taylor L 2022 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	28.1%	16.5%	2.7%	.304	3.19	21.9%	10.0%	150	-1.12	3.09	225	78
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	78
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	78
Andrew Mitchell L 2018 · 3.75 FIP	23	SU	3.75	21.8%	7.5%	2.8%	.333	2.71	23.8%	15.8%	78	-1.04	2.51	119	77
Nick Dombkowski L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	22	SU	4.48	21.3%	8.8%	3.7%	.208	4.71	16.7%	7.7%	223	+0.23	3.71	425	77
Liu Fuenmayor L 2021 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	22.2%	10.5%	3.8%	.321	3.07	22.5%	15.5%	21	-1.55	3.07	130	77
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.89	22.1%	8.8%	105	-0.31	3.14	161	77
Wesley Moore L 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	25.9%	13.2%	1.9%	.254	4.18	18.3%	5.6%	58	+0.56	3.62	111	77