Ethan WagnerOF
FCL Astros
Age 20
R/R
6'0" / 215 lbs
ROK
H +4%HR -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 1.0 · 2032
wRC+†61
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .270 / .310
PA127
HR2
K%31
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
35→35
SPD
40→40
EYE
45→45
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.0 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.0 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.9 | $5M | +$4M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.5 | $3M | +$1M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.7M |
| Totals | $7M | $32M | +$26M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Astros | 153 | 138 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 55 | 2 | 2 | 3 | .174 | .250 | .275 | .525 | .101 | .259 | 36 | 8 | .227 | 32 | -12 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | HOU | 127 | 115 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .200 | .270 | .304 | .574 | .104 | .282 | 31 | 8 | .265 | 61 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | HOU | 210 | 188 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 61 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .213 | .288 | .340 | .629 | .128 | .284 | 29 | 9 | .282 | 74 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | HOU | 334 | 297 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 93 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .219 | .299 | .350 | .649 | .131 | .285 | 28 | 9 | .293 | 83 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | HOU | 417 | 372 | 83 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 113 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .223 | .302 | .366 | .668 | .142 | .286 | 27 | 9 | .301 | 88 | -6 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | HOU | 473 | 421 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 126 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .223 | .304 | .368 | .672 | .145 | .286 | 27 | 9 | .305 | 92 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 87% | HOU | 505 | 446 | 102 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 49 | 133 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .229 | .312 | .383 | .695 | .155 | .287 | 26 | 10 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 0.9 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 523 | 461 | 105 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 138 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .228 | .313 | .377 | .690 | .150 | .288 | 26 | 10 | .310 | 96 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 1.0 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 530 | 466 | 105 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 53 | 140 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .225 | .312 | .373 | .686 | .148 | .288 | 26 | 10 | .310 | 96 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 1.0 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 529 | 465 | 105 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 53 | 141 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .226 | .313 | .374 | .687 | .148 | .287 | 27 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 0.9 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 522 | 459 | 103 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 52 | 141 | 6 | 6 | 0 | .224 | .311 | .375 | .686 | .150 | .286 | 27 | 10 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 0.8 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 513 | 451 | 100 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 52 | 140 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .222 | .309 | .366 | .675 | .144 | .285 | 27 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +15 | 0.5 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 500 | 441 | 96 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 50 | 139 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .218 | .304 | .356 | .660 | .138 | .283 | 28 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -7 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +14 | 0.3 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 483 | 427 | 91 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 48 | 136 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .213 | .300 | .347 | .647 | .133 | .282 | 28 | 10 | .295 | 84 | -9 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +14 | -0.1 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 454 | 402 | 84 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 131 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .209 | .295 | .336 | .631 | .127 | .280 | 29 | 10 | .290 | 80 | -10 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +13 | -0.4 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 408 | 361 | 74 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 122 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .205 | .291 | .332 | .624 | .127 | .278 | 30 | 10 | .284 | 75 | -11 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +12 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6681 | 5910 | 1294 | 219 | 39 | 177 | 645 | 1848 | 70 | 82 | 11 | .219 | .303 | .359 | .662 | .140 | .285 | 28 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -98 | +12 | -20 | -40 | +189 | 4.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 126 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 63 | 180 | 7 | 8 | 1 | .219 | .304 | .358 | .662 | .139 | .286 | 28 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -10 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Astros | 153 | 131 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 37 | 2 | 2 | 3 | .229 | .336 | .374 | .710 | .145 | .286 | 24 | 12 | .321 | 104 | +1 | -1 | — | — | +4 | 0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ethan Wagner (OGILVIE) | 20 | 30 | 35 | 40 | 45 | .202/.270/.310 | .108 | .282 | 2 | 2 | 31% | 8% | 61 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A |
21 | 33 | 41→45 | 41→50 | 41 | .168/.252/.259 | .091 | .262 | 9 | 8 | 37% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.275/.307 | .110 | .307 | 11 | 5 | 36% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .204/.303/.338 | .134 | .292 | 14 | 2 | 32% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A |
20 | 37 | 40 | 44→55 | 39 | .185/.250/.273 | .088 | .268 | 9 | 9 | 33% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .200/.257/.289 | .089 | .277 | 6 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .197/.256/.288 | .091 | .265 | 4 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A |
20 | 41→35 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .199/.265/.295 | .096 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .204/.294/.305 | .101 | .301 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.292/.283 | .097 | .277 | 9 | 10 | 33% | 11% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A |
19 | 36 | 41→45 | 47→60 | 41 | .181/.239/.272 | .091 | .247 | 9 | 13 | 30% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .219/.271/.301 | .082 | .284 | 7 | 20 | 24% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .234/.281/.297 | .063 | .300 | 5 | 24 | 23% | 5% | 58 | -0.3 |
|
✕Cesar Quintas 2023 · A |
20 | 42→36 | 37→45 | 42→50 | 37 | .196/.267/.265 | .069 | .300 | 4 | 5 | 34% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .207/.290/.303 | .096 | .304 | 8 | 5 | 32% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .200/.289/.313 | .113 | .283 | 11 | 6 | 31% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jose Quero 2019 · A |
20 | 40 | 39→40 | 44→30 | 45 | .196/.260/.275 | .079 | .253 | 7 | 3 | 25% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .202/.258/.311 | .109 | .257 | 10 | 6 | 25% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .196/.247/.344 | .148 | .225 | 15 | 4 | 21% | 6% | 63 | -0.2 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A |
19 | 42 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .205/.277/.309 | .104 | .271 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .224/.284/.326 | .102 | .290 | 5 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.280/.337 | .111 | .291 | 6 | 11 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A |
20 | 43 | 39→45 | 42→40 | 40 | .208/.266/.286 | .078 | .272 | 7 | 6 | 26% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .203/.254/.282 | .079 | .287 | 6 | 5 | 30% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .147/.189/.214 | .067 | .208 | 8 | 0 | 33% | 3% | -2 | -1.0 |
|
●Rainel Rosario 2009 · A |
20 | 36→46 | 40→50 | 45→50 | 39 | .176/.248/.268 | .092 | .289 | 7 | 9 | 39% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .205/.272/.319 | .114 | .308 | 9 | 9 | 34% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .253/.308/.402 | .150 | .285 | 19 | 6 | 18% | 7% | 96 | +1.1 |
|
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A |
20 | 38 | 40→45 | 47→45 | 45 | .183/.271/.272 | .089 | .286 | 7 | 6 | 36% | 10% | 52 | -1.6 | .190/.265/.267 | .077 | .298 | 5 | 6 | 35% | 9% | 47 | -1.9 | .182/.268/.267 | .085 | .274 | 6 | 3 | 33% | 10% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A |
20 | 37→42 | 41→50 | 46→50 | 45 | .182/.264/.278 | .096 | .277 | 8 | 8 | 35% | 9% | 50 | -1.7 | .199/.261/.332 | .133 | .287 | 14 | 10 | 34% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .207/.263/.362 | .155 | .281 | 19 | 10 | 33% | 6% | 68 | -0.4 |
|
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A |
21 | 42 | 39→40 | 45→55 | 37 | .199/.254/.291 | .092 | .307 | 6 | 8 | 35% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .213/.277/.298 | .085 | .301 | 6 | 15 | 29% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .216/.288/.295 | .079 | .292 | 7 | 22 | 26% | 7% | 60 | -0.3 |
|
✕Luis Hidalgo 2017 · A |
21 | 39 | 43→45 | 46→45 | 44 | .196/.254/.303 | .107 | .234 | 12 | 12 | 22% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .223/.274/.346 | .123 | .264 | 13 | 9 | 21% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .259/.302/.380 | .121 | .288 | 12 | 8 | 14% | 4% | 89 | +0.4 |
|
✕Nahum Hernandez 2010 · A |
20 | 41 | 40→45 | 44→50 | 41 | .201/.263/.286 | .086 | .274 | 7 | 5 | 28% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .238/.309/.343 | .105 | .312 | 8 | 9 | 25% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .294/.375/.424 | .129 | .362 | 9 | 15 | 19% | 9% | 127 | +1.2 |
|
✕Alexander Mojica 2023 · A |
20 | 35 | 42→45 | 47→40 | 40 | .173/.252/.271 | .099 | .283 | 11 | 3 | 40% | 8% | 43 | -2.2 | .195/.277/.315 | .120 | .320 | 12 | 5 | 39% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .181/.278/.317 | .136 | .292 | 13 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 63 | -0.3 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2014 · A |
20 | 39→38 | 42→50 | 42→30 | 41 | .187/.266/.289 | .103 | .300 | 9 | 3 | 38% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .190/.275/.298 | .108 | .288 | 10 | 2 | 35% | 9% | 60 | -1.0 | .192/.273/.343 | .151 | .263 | 18 | 1 | 33% | 8% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Agustín Ramírez 2022 · A |
20 | 37→45 | 43→55 | 44→50 | 39 | .188/.245/.301 | .113 | .275 | 11 | 4 | 34% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .223/.286/.366 | .143 | .284 | 16 | 11 | 26% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .230/.293/.405 | .176 | .264 | 22 | 16 | 22% | 7% | 92 | +1.1 |
|
✕Sundrendy Windster 2009 · A |
20 | 38 | 43→45 | 41→30 | 40 | .192/.255/.300 | .108 | .278 | 12 | 4 | 34% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .187/.248/.302 | .115 | .294 | 11 | 5 | 38% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .164/.228/.293 | .129 | .266 | 11 | 5 | 41% | 7% | 35 | -0.7 |
|
✕Juan Rodriguez 2015 · A |
20 | 45 | 38→45 | 46→55 | 41 | .217/.265/.302 | .085 | .289 | 5 | 8 | 26% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .241/.278/.336 | .095 | .290 | 6 | 14 | 18% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .280/.305/.386 | .106 | .318 | 6 | 22 | 14% | 4% | 89 | +0.4 |
|
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A |
20 | 42→46 | 40→50 | 46→45 | 45 | .200/.274/.295 | .095 | .288 | 7 | 9 | 31% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .227/.293/.378 | .151 | .302 | 17 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .224/.290/.376 | .152 | .290 | 17 | 4 | 28% | 6% | 83 | +0.5 |