Emerson Estevez

OF DSL Mets Blue

Age 18 R/R ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Mets Blue	152	.210/.377/.403	3	9	37	—	.120/.272/.208
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBNYM	262	.199/.283/.298	2	8	67	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBNYM	74	.198/.284/.302	1	3	72	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBNYM	169	.203/.288/.313	2	6	76	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed89

Chase%88

ISO82

wOBA53

wRC+48

BB%30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsYunior Garcia (age 18) · Gilberto Celestino (age 18) · Eguy Rosario (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 126 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .281 / .295

PA126

HR1

K%30

BB%8

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$1.0M		$1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	152	119	25	4	5	3	19	45	13	9	4	210	377	403	781	193	306	30	12	355	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	152	125	15	2	3	1	13	55	13	9	4	120	272	208	480	88	187	36	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	152	125	15	2	3	1	13	55	13	9	4	120	272	208	480	88	200	36	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	152	119	25	4	5	3	19	45	13	9	4	210	377	403	781	193	306	30	12	355	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	152	125	15	2	3	1	13	55	13	9	4	120	272	208	480	88	187	36	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	152	125	15	2	3	1	13	55	13	9	4	120	272	208	480	88	187	36	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	262	233	46	8	4	2	20	80	7	8	2	199	283	298	581	99	288	31	8	267	67	-10	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	215	191	39	6	3	3	16	64	6	7	2	204	289	311	600	107	290	30	7	274	72	-7	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
2029	20	MLB MLE	NYM	48%	349	309	65	11	5	5	27	102	10	12	3	209	294	323	617	114	292	29	8	281	76	-10	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.3
2030	21	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	450	399	84	14	6	7	35	130	13	16	4	213	298	333	631	120	293	29	8	286	80	-11	+2	+0	-3	+10	-0.2
2031	22	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	522	461	99	16	7	9	41	148	15	19	5	216	301	342	642	126	294	28	8	291	83	-11	+2	+0	-3	+11	-0.1
2032	23	MLB MLE	NYM	58%	570	504	110	18	7	11	45	160	16	21	6	219	303	349	652	130	295	28	8	295	86	-10	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.1
2033	24	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	602	533	117	19	8	12	48	169	16	22	6	220	304	353	657	133	295	28	8	296	87	-9	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	620	549	120	20	8	12	49	174	17	22	6	221	305	355	659	134	296	28	8	297	87	-9	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.3
2035	26	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	629	557	123	20	8	13	50	176	17	23	6	221	305	356	661	136	295	28	8	298	88	-9	+2	+0	-4	+14	0.3
2036	27	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	629	557	122	20	8	13	50	177	17	22	6	220	304	354	657	134	295	28	8	297	87	-10	+2	+0	-4	+14	0.2
2037	28	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	625	553	120	20	8	12	50	177	17	22	6	218	302	349	650	131	293	28	8	294	85	-11	+2	-1	-4	+14	-0.0
2038	29	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	616	546	118	19	8	12	49	177	16	21	6	215	299	342	641	127	292	29	8	290	82	-13	+2	-1	-4	+13	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	74	66	13	2	1	1	6	22	2	3	1	198	284	302	585	103	281	30	8	268	72	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	NYM	48%	169	149	30	5	2	2	13	50	5	6	2	203	288	313	602	111	283	30	8	275	76	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	244	216	44	7	3	4	19	70	7	9	2	206	292	323	616	117	284	29	8	280	80	-6	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2031	22	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	295	262	55	9	4	5	23	84	8	11	3	210	295	332	627	122	284	28	8	285	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2032	23	MLB CTX	NYM	58%	328	290	61	10	4	6	26	92	9	12	3	213	297	340	637	127	285	28	8	288	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2033	24	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	343	304	64	10	4	7	27	96	9	12	3	214	298	343	641	129	286	28	8	290	87	-5	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2034	25	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	352	311	67	11	4	7	28	99	10	13	3	214	299	345	644	131	286	28	8	291	87	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2035	26	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	356	315	67	11	4	7	28	100	10	13	4	214	299	347	646	132	286	28	8	292	88	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2036	27	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	349	309	66	11	4	7	28	98	9	12	3	213	298	344	642	131	285	28	8	290	87	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2037	28	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	343	304	64	10	4	7	27	97	9	12	3	211	296	339	635	128	284	28	8	288	85	-6	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.0
2038	29	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	329	291	61	10	4	6	26	94	9	11	3	209	293	333	626	124	283	29	8	284	82	-7	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3182	2817	592	96	38	59	251	902	87	114	30	210	295	334	629	124	285	28	8	287	83	-59	+11	-1	-19	+69	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	122	20	8	12	51	184	18	23	6	212	296	337	634	125	288	28	8	287	83	-12	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6105	5396	1155	189	81	111	482	1747	177	220	61	214	300	341	640	127	293	29	8	290	83	-115	+19	-2	-36	+129	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	123	20	9	12	51	186	19	23	6	214	299	343	642	129	292	29	8	290	83	-13	+2	-0	-4	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Howie Shanks'12-'25 * career totals — 14 seasons, 6,414 PA	9.7	6,414	25	185	239*	293*	384*	-9	+14	6.1	8.2
/162	664	3	19	-1.0	+1.4	0.6	pk7: 10
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.0	3,309	61	117	218	298	346	-20	+0	1.9	2.0
/162	664	12	23	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 2
#4Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#5Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Emerson Estevez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	198/281/295	98	288	1	4	30%	8%	67	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	35→45	40→45	52→30	43	176/241/269	92	235	7	10	27%	7%	45	-2.7	192/242/291	99	291	9	7	36%	5%	49	-2.4	228/278/346	118	323	12	2	32%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Eguy Rosario 2018 · A	18	45→54	36→55	54→55	42	211/269/291	80	298	2	20	28%	6%	59	-1.6	214/263/318	104	301	8	13	30%	5%	63	-1.4	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5
●Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	40→50	38→45	53→50	45	192/255/278	86	256	4	11	26%	7%	51	-2.2	206/244/285	79	280	4	10	26%	4%	48	-2.5	276/309/387	111	347	6	13	22%	4%	93	+0.7
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	41→51	40→45	50→65	42	201/260/289	88	279	8	16	30%	6%	56	-1.9	234/302/339	105	318	8	38	27%	8%	83	+0.1	239/313/347	108	322	9	47	26%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Joshua Báez 2022 · A	19	40→48	41→55	54→60	39	186/260/283	97	311	8	10	40%	8%	55	-1.9	181/265/292	111	349	10	21	47%	8%	59	-1.6	211/281/393	182	287	24	33	34%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Junior Lake 2009 · A	19	42→52	38→50	54→55	38	200/247/280	81	281	4	12	30%	5%	48	-2.5	217/255/315	98	324	8	13	34%	4%	59	-1.6	246/294/373	127	337	13	19	30%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	43→53	41→50	54→60	45	205/273/309	104	282	7	12	28%	8%	65	-1.2	211/272/326	115	344	10	13	38%	7%	69	-0.9	214/285/371	157	317	17	29	36%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2008 · A	19	41→51	42→40	56→55	40	200/253/311	111	279	8	14	30%	6%	58	-1.7	229/294/317	88	284	6	19	20%	7%	75	-0.5	243/314/319	76	293	5	22	18%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
●Jahmai Jones 2016 · A	18	43→51	38→50	50	42	204/262/285	80	276	5	16	27%	6%	55	-1.9	230/286/334	104	297	8	16	24%	6%	76	-0.4	250/346/426	175	326	16	18	26%	11%	116	+1.4
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/270/292	91	260	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	205/256/277	72	300	3	25	30%	6%	51	-2.3	240/291/409	169	325	21	27	32%	5%	95	+0.4
✕Moisés Sierra 2007 · A	18	39→49	37→50	52→50	44	188/256/263	75	240	4	13	23%	6%	49	-2.4	204/253/296	92	279	8	9	29%	4%	55	-2.0	252/302/391	139	320	16	11	25%	5%	93	+0.8
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	40→50	37→55	51→55	42	190/239/259	69	241	4	16	23%	5%	40	-3.0	201/251/309	108	253	10	14	24%	5%	57	-1.8	250/287/402	152	300	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	38→48	37→50	51→50	46	184/251/255	71	245	5	16	26%	8%	45	-2.7	213/271/308	95	288	7	14	27%	7%	64	-1.3	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Robert Calaz 2024 · A	18	44→42	42→50	53→50	46	210/288/317	107	285	8	8	28%	8%	74	-0.6	218/284/351	133	327	13	10	35%	7%	80	-0.2	207/271/338	131	322	14	10	38%	7%	69	-0.6

Emerson Estevez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps