Anthony Watts

P Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 175 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	ASTL	3	3	13.50	11.72	21.4%	7.1%	—	K 21.4% · BB 7.1% · FIP 10.04
2026	22	MIX2 levels	22	28	6.99	5.36	20.9%	13.7%	—	K 15.6% · BB 15.5% · FIP 6.88
2027PROJ	23	MLBSTL	12	13	5.29	5.29	19.7%	13.7%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBSTL	10	11	5.06	4.98	20.8%	12.2%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsKasey Ford (age 23) · Easton Sikorski (age 23) · Carson Hobbs (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 117

ERA5.29

FIP5.29

K%19.7%

BB%13.7%

K-BB%6.0%

Proj IP13

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	3	0	3	14	3	1	2	0%	0.9	21.4%	7.1%	14.3%	14.3%	13.50	10.04	—
2025	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	3	0	3	14	3	1	2	0%	0.9	21.4%	7.1%	14.3%	14.3%	13.50	10.04	—
2025	21	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	3	0	3	14	3	1	2	0%	0.9	21.4%	7.1%	14.3%	14.3%	13.50	11.72	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	28	139	29	19	5	0%	1.3	15.6%	15.5%	0.1%	5.7%	6.99	6.88	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	28	139	29	19	5	0%	1.3	15.6%	15.5%	0.1%	5.7%	6.99	6.88	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	28	139	29	19	5	0%	1.3	20.9%	13.7%	7.2%	3.6%	6.99	5.36	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	STL	12	0	13	55	11	7	2	0%	1.1	19.7%	13.7%	6.0%	3.2%	5.29	5.29	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	STL	25	0	26	110	23	13	3	0%	1.0	20.8%	12.2%	8.6%	3.1%	5.06	4.98	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	STL	10	0	11	46	10	6	1	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.2%	8.6%	3.1%	5.06	4.98	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	47	10	6	1	0%	1.0	20.8%	12.2%	8.6%	3.1%	5.06	4.60	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	108	18	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.2%	8.6%	3.1%	5.06	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		25	0	31	153	25	23	10	0%	1.2	16.1%	14.8%	1.4%	6.5%	7.55	7.17	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		161	0	200	987	159	146	64	0%	1.2	16.1%	14.8%	1.4%	6.5%	7.55	7.17	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anthony Watts (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.29	19.7%	13.7%	3.2%	—	4.98	20.8%	8.6%	26	-0.31	—	—	—
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	96
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	90
Carson Hobbs R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	22	SU	5.63	18.9%	13.6%	4.4%	.303	3.97	22.0%	10.4%	118	-1.66	3.54	143	89
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	89
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	89
Jason Ruffcorn R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	23	SU	4.74	16.6%	14.2%	2.3%	.297	4.69	17.6%	4.2%	136	-0.05	4.01	283	88
Randy Messenger R 2005 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	16.3%	12.9%	2.8%	.281	3.93	13.8%	7.1%	137	-0.97	3.56	174	88
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	88
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	87
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	87
Michael Hobbs R 2022 · 4.54 FIP	23	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.9%	2.3%	.232	4.48	20.1%	3.9%	158	-0.06	4.14	184	87
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	87
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	86
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	86
Davison Palermo R 2023 · 4.32 FIP	23	SU	4.32	19.0%	12.4%	2.3%	.246	4.99	19.0%	6.9%	176	+0.67	4.32	220	86
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	86
Kieran Lovegrove R 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.9%	12.6%	3.2%	.273	4.46	19.3%	4.5%	76	-0.46	3.79	215	86
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	86
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	85
Vince Arobio R 2018 · 4.47 FIP	23	SU	4.47	20.5%	12.0%	2.9%	.365	3.67	24.1%	16.2%	55	-0.80	3.67	118	85