Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 4 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 34.5% | 0.0% | 34.5% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.19 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 4 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.0 | 34.5% | 0.0% | 34.5% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.60 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 15 | 13 | 77 | 329 | 83 | 17 | 15 | 87% | 5.1 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 5.17 | 5.55 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAA | 4 | 4 | 23 | 98 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.1% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 3.1% | 4.36 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.1% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 3.1% | 4.36 | 4.36 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 100 | 427 | 106 | 26 | 18 | — | — | 24.7% | 6.0% | 18.7% | 4.2% | 4.98 | 5.27 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 4 | 4 | 24 | 100 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.5% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 3.1% | 4.32 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.5% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 3.1% | 4.32 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.5% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 3.1% | 4.32 | 3.91 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 79 | 20 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.5% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 3.1% | 4.32 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 19 | 17 | 85 | 358 | 71 | 20 | 20 | 89% | 4.5 | 19.9% | 5.6% | 14.3% | 5.4% | 4.68 | 5.11 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 40 | 200 | 846 | 169 | 47 | 46 | 89% | 4.5 | 19.9% | 5.6% | 14.3% | 5.4% | 4.68 | 5.11 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Derek Clark (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.36 | 23.1% | 9.0% | 3.1% | — | 4.29 | 23.5% | 14.7% | 24 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Dalton Pence L 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.89 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 153 | 78 |
| Zach Thornton L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.22 | 20.9% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 221 | 75 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.71 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.64 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.07 | 3.39 | 300 | 75 |
| James Paxton L 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.26 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .288 | 3.00 | 27.7% | 21.7% | 468 | -1.26 | 2.48 | 924 | 75 |
| Tyler Skaggs L 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.21 | 26.1% | 9.2% | 2.1% | .300 | 3.81 | 23.0% | 15.2% | 290 | +0.60 | 3.21 | 372 | 74 |
| Sebastian Gongora L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.81 | 18.5% | 7.5% | 2.4% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 152 | 73 |
| Parker Mushinski L 2025 · 3.61 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.61 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.4% | .303 | 3.72 | 23.3% | 13.3% | 106 | +0.11 | 3.21 | 439 | 72 |
| Jacob Latz L 2025 · 3.28 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.28 | 23.0% | 12.6% | 0.9% | .222 | 5.11 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 149 | +1.83 | 2.43 | 453 | 72 |
| Mason Molina L 2025 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.56 | 23.3% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 165 | 72 |
| Matt Portland L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.64 | 17.4% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 143 | 72 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 71 |
| Brian Holmes L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.25 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.75 | 17.3% | 8.0% | 104 | +0.50 | 3.42 | 205 | 71 |
| Connor Wietgrefe L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.26 | 18.7% | 8.5% | 3.0% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 200 | 71 |
| Evan Lee L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.00 | 24.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .333 | 4.48 | 21.0% | 2.7% | 52 | +0.48 | 3.84 | 129 | 71 |
| A.J. Block L 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.68 | 22.8% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .262 | 5.86 | 20.1% | 8.4% | 51 | +2.18 | 3.64 | 203 | 71 |
| Michel Gelabert L 2024 · 4.58 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.58 | 18.7% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 107 | 70 |
| Kyle Carr L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.01 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 304 | 70 |
| Tyler Switalski L 2025 · 5.33 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.33 | 22.9% | 10.6% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 171 | 70 |
| Jackson Kent L 2025 · 3.80 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.80 | 23.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 197 | 70 |
| Ryan Rolison L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.63 | 21.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .320 | 5.03 | 15.4% | 9.5% | 35 | +1.40 | 3.63 | 362 | 69 |