Diego Lara — OGILVIE

Diego Lara P DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 20 LHP 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 14 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 120

ERA4.55

FIP4.55

K%23.1%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%12.2%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	10	0	24	106	29	13	2	0%	2.4	18.6%	15.3%	3.3%	2.1%	5.55	4.60	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	10	0	24	106	29	13	2	0%	2.4	18.6%	15.3%	3.3%	2.1%	5.55	4.60	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	10	0	24	106	29	13	2	0%	2.4	27.4%	12.3%	15.1%	1.9%	5.55	3.39	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	6	0	8	45	4	7	0	0%	1.3	8.9%	15.6%	-6.7%	0.0%	9.39	4.32	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	6	0	8	45	4	7	0	0%	1.3	8.9%	15.6%	-6.7%	0.0%	9.39	4.32	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	6	0	8	45	4	7	0	0%	1.3	8.9%	15.6%	-6.7%	0.0%	9.39	4.80	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	—	13	0	14	59	14	6	2	0%	1.1	23.1%	10.9%	12.2%	3.0%	4.55	4.55	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	19	0	20	84	20	9	2	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.1%	13.4%	2.9%	4.44	4.39	+0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	10	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.0	23.5%	10.1%	13.4%	2.9%	4.44	4.39	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.1%	13.4%	2.9%	4.44	4.01	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	81	20	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.1%	13.4%	2.9%	4.44	4.01	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		16	0	32	151	24	23	2	0%	2.0	15.7%	15.4%	0.3%	1.4%	6.47	4.51	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		100	0	200	944	148	145	14	0%	2.0	15.7%	15.4%	0.3%	1.4%	6.47	4.51	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Diego Lara (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.55	23.1%	10.9%	3.0%	—	4.39	23.5%	13.4%	20	-0.16	—	—	—
Denny Bentley L 2018 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	19.6%	10.3%	3.8%	.318	2.88	25.4%	10.3%	58	-1.97	2.88	175	83
Abdallah Aris L 2017 · 3.63 FIP	20	SU	3.63	22.4%	11.3%	1.8%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.49	109	83
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	82
Ronnie Glenn L 2015 · 3.47 FIP	22	SU	3.47	20.9%	9.9%	1.6%	.330	5.00	11.1%	-2.6%	171	+1.53	3.47	212	82
Oddanier Mosqueda L 2019 · 3.74 FIP	20	SU	3.74	22.8%	11.1%	2.1%	.308	4.10	25.7%	14.1%	106	+0.36	3.05	433	81
Nick Dombkowski L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	22	SU	4.48	21.3%	8.8%	3.7%	.208	4.71	16.7%	7.7%	223	+0.23	3.71	425	81
Vance Tatum L 2016 · 5.04 FIP	21	SU	5.04	17.2%	9.7%	3.9%	.319	5.06	15.6%	2.3%	85	+0.02	4.90	116	80
Connor Curlis L 2018 · 3.49 FIP	21	SU	3.49	19.3%	10.8%	1.2%	.306	6.08	16.6%	4.6%	172	+2.59	3.49	309	80
Zach Morris L 2015 · 3.59 FIP	22	SU	3.59	18.5%	10.1%	1.4%	.286	4.38	13.9%	2.4%	84	+0.79	3.34	109	79
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	79
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	79
Daniel Zamora L 2016 · 3.57 FIP	23	SU	3.57	20.3%	10.8%	1.5%	.294	2.75	24.7%	16.8%	135	-0.82	2.15	310	78
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	78
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	77
Chase Watkins L 2022 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	20.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.346	4.34	17.7%	9.0%	156	+0.59	3.30	232	77
Garvin Alston L 2019 · 4.29 FIP	22	SU	4.29	19.7%	6.6%	3.7%	.333	4.74	16.4%	2.9%	84	+0.45	3.98	232	77
Jake Higginbotham L 2018 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	17.2%	10.6%	3.9%	.256	4.77	18.8%	6.4%	59	-0.38	3.28	335	77
Kenny Rosenberg L 2016 · 3.65 FIP	21	SU	3.65	20.8%	6.9%	2.6%	.313	4.64	17.3%	6.9%	361	+0.99	3.44	755	76
Johnathan Frebis L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	22	SU	3.81	17.0%	9.4%	1.8%	.245	4.24	9.7%	-0.6%	124	+0.43	3.81	146	76
Andrew Mitchell L 2018 · 3.75 FIP	23	SU	3.75	21.8%	7.5%	2.8%	.333	2.71	23.8%	15.8%	78	-1.04	2.51	119	76