Manuel Colon P ACL Royals
Age 19 RHP 5'11" / 148 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116107vR 98
ERA4.28
FIP4.28
K%23.1%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP
K: +3.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+3KBB: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -1.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.34 (38 IP)+0.3WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202417ROKDSL Royals Fortuna80125614710%1.517.0%15.6%1.4%1.6%8.494.51
202417ROKDSL Royals Fortuna80125614710%1.525.0%12.5%12.5%1.8%8.493.61
202518ROKDSL Royals Ventura1102911735700%2.620.3%7.5%12.9%0.0%1.262.33
202518ROKDSL Royals Ventura1102911735700%2.629.9%6.0%23.9%0.0%1.261.39
▸ 2026 Season
202619ROKACL Royals1702410531910%1.420.1%10.7%9.4%1.3%6.003.49+0.3
ROS19MLBKC130145813520%1.123.1%9.2%13.9%2.9%4.284.28+0.0
ROS19MLBKC023.1%9.2%13.9%2.9%4.284.28
2026 TOT19MLBKC381634414327.2%8.8%18.4%1.6%5.373.78+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720MLBKC190208420720%1.123.5%8.9%14.6%2.8%4.224.18+0.1
202720MLBKC100104210410%1.023.5%8.9%14.6%2.8%4.224.18+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career90104210410%1.123.5%8.9%14.6%2.8%4.223.80+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084420381200%1.123.5%8.9%14.6%2.8%4.223.80+3.7
Career36064278542920%1.819.6%10.3%9.2%0.8%4.343.21+1.1
/ 200 IP11202008641698970%1.819.6%10.3%9.2%0.8%4.343.21+5.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Manuel Colon (OGILVIE) 4.28 23.1%9.2%2.9% 4.18 23.5%14.6%20 -0.10
Matt Walker R 2027 · 3.21 FIP 20 SU 3.21 24.8%10.3%1.7%.326 3.90 19.1%9.8%178 +0.69 2.42 211 87
Osiris German R 2026 · 4.26 FIP 19 SU 4.26 20.6%8.7%3.3%.346 3.25 26.3%15.5%59 -1.01 3.11 187 86
Danny Dopico R 2028 · 3.87 FIP 21 SU 3.87 25.4%10.8%2.8%.333 3.98 22.8%8.1%173 +0.11 3.00 318 85
Blake Workman R 2027 · 4.00 FIP 20 SU 4.00 18.9%9.5%2.4%.307 3.92 23.8%19.5%105 -0.08 3.34 213 85
Harold Cortijo R 2025 · 4.46 FIP 18 SU 4.46 19.1%9.8%3.1%.309 5.87 13.5%2.2%73 +1.41 4.13 179 85
Sandy Lugo R 2028 · 3.86 FIP 21 SU 3.86 20.7%9.5%2.4%.352 3.94 23.6%12.5%119 +0.08 3.28 146 85
Michael Gomez R 2029 · 3.38 FIP 22 SU 3.38 22.6%9.2%1.9%.283 3.78 17.9%8.3%110 +0.40 3.33 286 84
Addison Russ R 2029 · 3.90 FIP 22 SU 3.90 22.2%7.9%3.1%.324 3.02 25.6%17.5%121 -0.88 2.96 194 84
Chris Gau R 2028 · 4.76 FIP 21 SU 4.76 20.0%8.6%4.1%.290 3.23 29.5%23.5%37 -1.53 2.88 211 84
Jeff Bain R 2028 · 3.94 FIP 21 SU 3.94 19.7%6.7%3.0%.339 4.13 19.1%10.7%274 +0.19 3.37 475 83
Yoel Diaz R 2026 · 3.26 FIP 19 SU 3.26 20.5%9.7%1.2%.268 4.63 14.5%-3.9%42 +1.37 3.26 143 83
Sean Boyle R 2028 · 4.70 FIP 21 SU 4.70 21.3%7.8%4.4%.342 2.85 22.6%15.3%86 -1.85 2.85 496 83
Cody Palmquist R 2029 · 4.04 FIP 22 SU 4.04 21.9%9.0%3.0%.278 5.78 14.7%7.1%62 +1.74 4.04 104 83
David Morillo R 2026 · 3.23 FIP 19 SU 3.23 19.9%8.9%1.2%.273 4.15 17.0%1.6%69 +0.92 3.23 142 82
Kenny Oakley R 2029 · 3.50 FIP 22 SU 3.50 23.8%9.1%2.3%.348 3.65 17.3%7.8%115 +0.15 3.00 144 82
Anthony Hoopii-Tuionetoa R 2027 · 4.12 FIP 20 SU 4.12 25.1%13.3%2.6%.327 3.37 23.8%13.4%81 -0.75 3.30 104 82
Collin Kober R 2029 · 3.39 FIP 22 SU 3.39 21.3%7.5%2.1%.268 3.04 24.0%17.9%128 -0.35 2.40 294 82
Felix Castro R 2026 · 3.48 FIP 19 SU 3.48 24.0%12.2%1.6%.295 5.02 14.9%-1.8%97 +1.54 3.48 144 82
Caleb Freeman R 2028 · 3.98 FIP 21 SU 3.98 24.6%12.9%2.4%.267 5.17 21.7%8.1%58 +1.19 3.98 222 82
Kyle Zurak R 2029 · 3.96 FIP 22 SU 3.96 21.2%9.4%2.6%.302 3.48 16.7%7.5%121 -0.48 3.28 181 82