Alexander Campos
P
FCL Rays
Age 23
RHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
K%21.1%
BB%8.4%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 14 | 0 | 22 | 84 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 17.0% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 1.64 | 3.89 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 14 | 0 | 22 | 84 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.0% | 4.8% | 20.2% | 2.4% | 1.64 | 2.92 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rays | 14 | 12 | 60 | 248 | 43 | 9 | 5 | 86% | 4.3 | 11.8% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 3.43 | 3.85 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rays | 14 | 12 | 60 | 248 | 43 | 9 | 5 | 86% | 4.3 | 17.3% | 3.6% | 13.7% | 2.0% | 3.43 | 3.20 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 2 | 43 | 183 | 34 | 9 | 4 | 10% | 2.0 | 12.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.95 | 5.12 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 2 | 43 | 183 | 34 | 9 | 4 | 10% | 2.0 | 18.6% | 4.9% | 13.7% | 2.2% | 2.95 | 3.36 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | ROK | FCL Rays | 12 | 2 | 26 | 115 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 17% | 2.2 | 8.3% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 5.47 | 5.90 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TB | 26 | 0 | 27 | 115 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.1% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.42 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | TB | — | — | 54 | 230 | 38 | 16 | 7 | — | — | 16.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.93 | 5.15 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TB | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TB | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 3.94 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 67 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 61 | 16 | 151 | 630 | 76 | 35 | 21 | 26% | 2.5 | 12.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.39 | 4.60 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 81 | 21 | 200 | 833 | 101 | 46 | 28 | 26% | 2.5 | 12.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.39 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alexander Campos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.32 | 21.8% | 13.6% | 28 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Clark Beeker R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 87 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 86 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 84 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 84 |
| Parker Curry R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.68 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .341 | 4.68 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 193 | +1.00 | 3.68 | 256 | 84 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 84 |
| Chris Powell R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.81 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 2.1% | .266 | 3.42 | 18.8% | 15.1% | 28 | -0.39 | 3.31 | 102 | 83 |
| Brendan Collins R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 82 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 82 |
| Fred Villarreal R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.84 | 17.6% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .331 | 3.57 | 14.1% | 3.5% | 63 | -0.27 | 3.57 | 114 | 82 |
| Luis Romero R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 82 |
| Colby Morris R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 81 |
| Kevin Coulter R 2025 · 3.27 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.27 | 21.0% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.31 | 16.1% | 7.6% | 92 | +1.04 | 3.27 | 128 | 81 |
| Matt Pidich R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.42 | 17.1% | 8.3% | 3.1% | .303 | 4.13 | 20.8% | 13.3% | 115 | -0.29 | 4.10 | 196 | 81 |
| Jaycob Deese R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.36 | 17.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | .309 | 4.90 | 12.8% | 3.1% | 117 | +0.54 | 3.27 | 185 | 81 |
| Justin Lasko R 2025 · 3.72 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.72 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 1.8% | .286 | 4.78 | 15.8% | 8.1% | 152 | +1.06 | 3.72 | 173 | 81 |
| Zac Ryan R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 81 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 80 |
| Joshua Loeschorn R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 24.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .272 | 4.60 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 67 | +0.86 | 3.04 | 135 | 80 |
| Garrett McMillan R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.26 | 21.2% | 8.2% | 1.7% | .324 | 3.54 | 18.9% | 14.6% | 48 | +0.28 | 3.26 | 118 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 28 | 21.5% | 8.4% | 1.16 | 4.39 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |