Alexander Campos

Alexander Campos P FCL Rays

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 27 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.49

FIP4.49

K%16.4%

BB%5.9%

K-BB%10.4%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	14	0	22	84	21	4	2	0%	1.6	17.0%	6.0%	11.0%	3.0%	1.64	4.05	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	14	0	22	84	21	4	2	0%	1.6	17.0%	6.0%	11.0%	3.0%	1.64	4.05	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	14	0	22	84	21	4	2	0%	1.6	25.0%	4.8%	20.2%	2.4%	1.64	2.92	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	14	12	60	248	43	9	5	86%	4.3	11.8%	4.5%	7.3%	2.4%	3.43	4.02	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	14	12	60	248	43	9	5	86%	4.3	11.8%	4.5%	7.3%	2.4%	3.43	4.02	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	14	12	60	248	43	9	5	86%	4.3	17.3%	3.6%	13.7%	2.0%	3.43	3.20	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	2	43	183	34	9	4	10%	2.0	12.8%	6.0%	6.8%	3.4%	2.95	4.68	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	2	43	183	34	9	4	10%	2.0	12.8%	6.0%	6.8%	3.4%	2.95	4.68	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	2	43	183	34	9	4	10%	2.0	18.6%	4.9%	13.7%	2.2%	2.95	3.36	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	14	3	36	160	17	7	8	21%	2.6	7.7%	5.3%	2.4%	4.9%	5.75	5.83	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	14	3	36	160	17	7	8	21%	2.6	7.7%	5.3%	2.4%	4.9%	5.75	5.83	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	ROK RAW	TB	13	3	32	142	16	6	5	23%	2.5	11.3%	4.2%	7.0%	3.5%	5.29	4.62	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	TB	1	0	4	18	1	1	3	0%	3.7	5.6%	5.6%	0.0%	16.7%	9.82	12.48	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TB	53	0	56	235	43	14	7	0%	1.1	18.3%	6.0%	12.3%	3.0%	4.38	4.32	+0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	TB	54	0	56	238	46	15	7	0%	1.0	19.5%	6.2%	13.3%	2.9%	4.29	4.23	+0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	TB	54	0	56	238	48	15	7	0%	1.0	20.1%	6.3%	13.9%	3.0%	4.23	4.19	+0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	TB	53	0	56	235	47	15	7	0%	1.0	20.2%	6.4%	13.8%	3.0%	4.24	4.24	+0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	TB	23	0	24	101	19	6	3	0%	1.0	18.3%	6.0%	12.3%	3.0%	4.38	4.32	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	TB	35	0	37	156	30	10	5	0%	1.1	19.5%	6.2%	13.3%	2.9%	4.29	4.23	+0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	TB	43	0	45	190	38	12	6	0%	1.0	20.1%	6.3%	13.9%	3.0%	4.23	4.19	+0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	TB	45	0	47	198	40	13	6	0%	1.0	20.2%	6.4%	13.8%	3.0%	4.24	4.24	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		146	0	153	647	128	40	19	0%	1.0	19.7%	6.3%	13.5%	3.0%	4.27	3.86	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	167	52	25	0%	1.1	19.7%	6.3%	13.5%	3.0%	4.27	3.86	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		63	17	161	675	79	36	23	27%	2.6	11.7%	5.3%	6.4%	3.4%	3.58	4.63	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		78	21	200	839	98	44	28	27%	2.6	11.7%	5.3%	6.4%	3.4%	3.58	4.63	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alexander Campos (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.49	16.4%	5.9%	3.0%	—	4.25	19.3%	13.2%	168	-0.24	—	—	—
Micah Dallas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	23	SW	4.56	15.1%	5.7%	3.6%	.374	4.23	18.2%	9.5%	152	-0.33	3.60	201	86
Clark Beeker R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	23	SW	4.04	20.0%	7.1%	3.2%	.270	4.35	11.6%	6.4%	244	+0.31	4.04	287	85
Bryan Pope R 2022 · 4.48 FIP	23	SW	4.48	13.8%	6.1%	3.2%	.347	4.28	17.7%	7.3%	86	-0.20	3.96	148	84
Chris Powell R 2016 · 3.76 FIP	23	SU	3.76	16.9%	7.8%	2.0%	.266	3.53	18.8%	15.1%	28	-0.23	3.31	102	84
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	83
Fred Villarreal R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	23	SU	3.93	17.6%	6.8%	2.6%	.331	3.64	14.1%	3.5%	63	-0.29	3.64	114	83
Robbie Welhaf R 2018 · 4.06 FIP	23	SU	4.06	14.0%	7.6%	2.1%	.309	3.11	18.1%	15.0%	90	-0.95	3.11	121	82
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	82
Jaycob Deese R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	17.4%	6.8%	4.0%	.309	4.83	13.6%	4.4%	140	+0.15	3.28	208	81
Clayton McGinness R 2019 · 3.85 FIP	22	SW	3.85	19.4%	4.5%	3.3%	.291	4.63	18.7%	7.8%	84	+0.78	3.85	106	81
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	81
David Davalillo R 2023 · 3.33 FIP	20	SW	3.33	18.6%	6.8%	1.7%	.292	3.31	20.7%	12.3%	305	-0.02	2.96	322	80
Wilmer Rios R 2017 · 4.95 FIP	23	SW	4.95	16.3%	5.8%	4.5%	.265	5.25	16.2%	12.3%	80	+0.30	2.81	156	80
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	80
Eric Karch R 2016 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	16.0%	6.2%	2.3%	.324	4.70	20.3%	16.1%	35	+0.92	3.78	104	80
Justin Lasko R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	22	SU	3.66	17.1%	8.6%	1.7%	.286	4.62	15.8%	8.1%	152	+0.96	3.66	173	80
Julio Rosario R 2023 · 5.15 FIP	21	SW	5.15	11.8%	6.5%	4.0%	.244	4.36	18.8%	6.7%	94	-0.79	3.27	122	79
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	79
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	79
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	50	19.2%	6.2%	1.15	4.31
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Brandon Kintzler ('21)	1.5	50	16.2%	6.3%	0.91	3.57
Adam Cimber ('24)	1.6	52	18.3%	6.6%	0.75	3.75