JP Smith II

1B Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 240 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	AMIN	101	.237/.297/.344	2	1	32	—	.179/.228/.274
2026	21	A+MIN	124	.270/.407/.510	7	2	105	—	.226/.333/.415
2026	21	AMIN	319	.221/.352/.426	15	6	70	—	.176/.277/.331
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBMIN	542	.208/.297/.376	20	8	90	0.7
2028PROJ43% MLB	23	MLBMIN	206	.213/.301/.386	8	3	93	-0.1
2029PROJ58% MLB	24	MLBMIN	299	.216/.303/.391	12	5	95	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

wOBA89

BB%89

wRC+88

ISO85

Whiff%76

K%75

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 88%

CompsEric Campbell (age 23) · Agustín Ramírez (age 22) · Travis Jones (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .294 / .373

PA320

HR12

SB5

K%24

BB%10

ISO168

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	101	93	22	2	1	2	7	25	1	1	0	237	297	344	641	108	303	25	7	291	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	124	100	27	3	0	7	22	24	1	2	1	270	407	510	917	240	286	19	18	402	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	319	258	57	8	0	15	47	64	5	6	1	221	352	426	778	205	223	20	15	341	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	101	95	17	1	1	2	5	34	1	1	0	179	228	274	501	95	258	34	5	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	124	106	24	2	0	6	16	31	1	2	1	226	333	415	748	189	252	25	13	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	319	272	48	6	0	12	33	87	5	6	1	176	277	331	608	154	191	27	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	101	95	17	1	1	2	5	34	1	1	0	179	228	274	501	95	254	34	5	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	101	93	22	2	1	2	7	25	1	1	0	237	297	344	641	108	303	25	7	291	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	443	379	73	9	0	18	48	118	6	8	2	193	293	359	652	166	217	27	11	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	443	358	84	11	0	22	69	88	6	8	2	235	367	450	817	215	240	20	16	358	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	101	94	17	1	1	2	5	34	1	1	0	181	228	277	504	96	258	34	5	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	443	386	73	9	0	18	48	118	6	8	2	189	293	352	646	163	208	27	11	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	20	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	101	94	17	1	1	2	5	34	1	1	0	181	228	277	504	96	258	34	5	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	443	386	73	9	0	18	48	118	6	8	2	189	293	352	646	163	208	27	11	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	542	477	99	16	2	20	55	130	5	8	2	208	297	376	673	168	239	24	10	301	90	-7	+1	+0	-10	+12	0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	43%	478	422	89	14	2	18	48	113	5	8	2	212	300	385	685	172	243	24	10	306	93	-4	+1	+0	-9	+10	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIN	58%	517	455	98	16	2	20	52	122	5	8	2	216	303	390	694	175	246	24	10	309	95	-3	+1	+0	-9	+11	-0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	554	488	106	18	2	21	55	130	6	8	2	218	305	393	698	176	249	23	10	311	97	-2	+1	+0	-10	+12	0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIN	68%	565	498	109	18	2	22	56	132	6	8	2	219	305	394	700	175	251	23	10	312	97	-2	+1	+0	-10	+12	0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIN	68%	568	501	109	18	2	21	56	133	6	8	2	219	305	392	697	173	252	23	10	311	97	-2	+1	+0	-10	+12	0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIN	68%	565	499	108	18	2	21	56	134	5	6	2	217	303	387	690	170	251	24	10	308	95	-4	+0	-1	-10	+12	-0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIN	66%	556	491	106	18	2	20	55	133	5	4	2	215	300	381	681	166	249	24	10	304	92	-5	+0	-1	-10	+12	-0.5
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIN	66%	546	483	103	17	2	19	53	133	5	2	1	211	296	372	668	161	247	24	10	299	89	-7	+0	-2	-10	+12	-0.7
2036	31	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	532	470	97	16	1	18	52	131	5	2	1	207	291	362	653	155	243	25	10	293	85	-10	+0	-3	-10	+12	-1.1
2037	32	MLB MLE	MIN	70%	514	456	92	15	1	17	49	129	4	1	1	201	285	349	633	147	239	25	10	285	79	-13	-0	-4	-9	+11	-1.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	43%	206	181	39	6	1	8	21	49	2	3	1	213	301	386	686	173	243	24	10	306	93	-2	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIN	58%	299	264	57	9	1	12	30	70	3	5	1	216	303	391	695	175	246	23	10	310	95	-2	+1	+0	-5	+6	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	359	316	68	11	1	14	36	84	4	6	1	218	305	394	699	176	249	23	10	312	97	-1	+1	+0	-6	+8	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIN	68%	384	339	74	12	1	15	38	90	4	6	2	219	306	395	701	176	251	23	10	312	97	-1	+0	+0	-7	+8	0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIN	68%	386	341	75	13	1	15	38	90	4	5	1	220	305	393	699	174	252	23	10	311	97	-2	+1	+0	-7	+8	0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIN	68%	384	339	73	12	1	14	38	91	4	4	1	218	303	388	691	171	251	24	10	308	95	-2	+0	-0	-7	+8	-0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIN	66%	369	327	70	12	1	13	36	88	3	3	1	215	300	381	682	166	249	24	10	305	92	-4	+0	-1	-7	+8	-0.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIN	66%	358	317	67	11	1	13	35	87	3	1	1	212	296	373	670	161	247	24	10	300	89	-5	-0	-1	-6	+8	-0.5
2036	31	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	346	306	63	10	1	12	34	85	3	1	1	207	291	363	654	155	244	25	10	293	85	-6	-0	-2	-6	+7	-0.7
2037	32	MLB CTX	MIN	70%	362	321	65	10	1	12	35	91	3	1	0	202	285	349	634	148	239	25	10	286	79	-9	+0	-2	-6	+8	-1.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3453	3051	651	106	10	128	341	825	33	35	10	213	299	381	680	167	247	24	10	304	90	-34	+3	-7	-62	+75	-2.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	123	20	2	24	64	155	6	7	2	214	299	382	681	167	249	24	10	304	90	-6	+1	-1	-12	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6259	5519	1165	187	20	229	617	1519	62	69	20	211	298	377	674	166	246	24	10	301	90	-56	+5	-10	-102	+124	-4.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	121	19	2	24	64	158	6	7	2	211	297	377	674	166	246	24	10	301	90	-6	+1	-1	-12	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Joey Gallolast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,373 PA	5.1	3,373	207	32	195	320	459	-29	-11	13.5	14.1
/162	664	41	6	-5.6	-2.1	2.7	pk7: 15
#2Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	5.6	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
/162	664	35	4	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#3Willie Kirkland'58-'66 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,882 PA	5.8	3,882	148	52	237*	302*	437*	-37	-0	8.1	8.5
/162	664	25	9	-6.3	-0.1	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.7	3,774	138	40	214	297	382	+7	+4	8.3	7.6
/162	664	24	7	+1.2	+0.6	1.5	pk7: 7
#4Clyde Vollmer'42-'54 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,285 PA	3.4	2,285	69	7	242*	313*	428*	-14	-2	4.3	5.3
/162	664	20	2	-3.9	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 6
#5Jimmy Walsh'12-'17 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,100 PA	3.2	2,100	6	92	232*	326*	393*	-12	+5	5.0	5.0
/162	664	2	29	-3.9	+1.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#6Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
JP Smith II (OGILVIE)	22	39→44	52→57	46→51	60	206/294/373	167	239	12	5	24%	10%	90	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Campbell 2009 · A	23	41→48	54→55	47→50	46	221/280/391	170	243	23	7	21%	6%	88	+0.4	225/282/354	129	258	14	4	19%	6%	79	-0.2	227/283/352	125	258	13	2	18%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Agustín Ramírez 2024 · AA	22	44→48	48→55	48→55	47	226/286/366	140	275	16	10	24%	8%	84	+0.1	237/299/402	165	282	19	17	22%	7%	97	+1.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Travis Jones 2008 · A	22	43→48	51→45	45→50	50	225/308/381	156	268	20	9	24%	9%	96	+1.0	213/287/338	125	280	13	14	27%	8%	78	-0.3	205/279/321	116	273	11	16	28%	8%	68	-0.7
●Jerry Sands 2010 · A	22	41→46	55→60	50→45	45	219/286/401	182	274	23	4	29%	8%	92	+0.7	233/298/422	189	288	24	7	27%	8%	101	+1.4	229/296/414	185	280	24	6	27%	8%	99	+1.3
✕Damiano Palmegiani 2023 · A	23	37→42	53→50	50→40	44	205/281/376	172	252	22	5	29%	7%	85	+0.2	198/279/345	147	276	17	5	33%	8%	78	-0.3	183/271/316	133	262	16	3	34%	8%	66	-0.8
✕Aaron Luna 2010 · AA	23	41→46	50	49→45	46	207/315/368	161	265	17	8	27%	8%	97	+1.1	228/330/374	146	284	16	8	24%	9%	103	+1.6	228/337/371	143	283	17	6	24%	9%	103	+1.0
✕Rylan Bannon 2018 · A	22	45→47	50	51→50	44	233/296/384	151	285	19	8	25%	7%	92	+0.7	222/293/367	145	291	16	5	28%	8%	86	+0.3	194/292/330	136	256	16	12	29%	11%	76	-0.3
●Andy Pages 2023 · AA	22	39→49	56→60	45→50	45	211/297/402	191	273	24	6	31%	9%	97	+1.1	243/312/420	177	306	20	9	26%	7%	106	+1.8	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Bryan Ramos 2024 · AA	22	42	50	44→50	43	221/284/370	149	272	19	5	27%	7%	84	+0.2	204/271/322	118	262	13	10	27%	7%	69	-0.9	190/263/293	103	246	11	12	27%	7%	56	-1.3
●Mickey Gasper 2019 · A	23	41→51	50	47→45	53	214/294/366	152	238	19	4	20%	10%	87	+0.4	212/285/334	122	269	12	5	25%	7%	76	-0.4	244/334/397	153	276	17	6	18%	10%	107	+1.2
✕Alejandro Segovia 2013 · A	23	42→45	49→50	50→30	47	217/279/366	149	245	17	5	20%	6%	81	-0.1	220/296/364	144	265	16	3	23%	8%	87	+0.4	212/294/352	139	256	16	1	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Jonny DeLuca 2022 · A	24	40→37	53→60	56→55	45	215/274/388	172	252	21	15	24%	7%	84	+0.2	225/290/408	183	256	22	16	22%	7%	95	+1.0	223/291/402	179	250	21	19	20%	7%	93	+0.5
✕Michael Chavis 2018 · AA	22	41→46	53→60	47→45	36	216/264/387	171	283	21	4	32%	5%	81	-0.1	237/292/419	182	316	24	6	32%	6%	99	+1.2	237/296/422	185	318	26	5	33%	7%	100	+0.6
●Derek Norris 2012 · AA	23	39→49	53→55	47→50	53	204/313/377	173	277	21	10	32%	12%	97	+1.1	230/312/390	160	287	19	10	25%	10%	99	+1.3	257/333/410	152	314	16	5	22%	9%	112	+1.6
●Jonathon Long 2024 · A	22	44→54	54→45	49→40	44	232/304/405	174	289	22	7	28%	7%	100	+1.3	253/330/394	141	325	16	3	25%	9%	106	+1.8	257/335/390	133	331	14	2	25%	9%	104	+1.5
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2008 · AA	24	36→46	53→55	51→50	42	203/262/373	171	251	22	10	30%	6%	77	-0.3	215/265/375	160	270	19	11	27%	5%	78	-0.3	240/295/408	167	283	19	7	22%	7%	98	+0.8
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	43	46→50	48→40	47	217/290/349	133	270	14	4	25%	8%	82	-0.0	222/315/352	130	303	13	6	29%	9%	92	+0.7	216/325/362	146	296	16	3	30%	10%	98	+0.3
✕Jace Jung 2024 · AA	23	43→44	52→50	48→40	48	220/300/383	163	290	20	5	30%	9%	93	+0.8	216/304/368	152	282	17	4	28%	11%	91	+0.7	205/299/350	146	260	16	3	27%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Joey Bart 2020 · AA	23	43	53→55	45→40	38	228/270/395	166	287	21	7	29%	5%	84	+0.2	235/289/374	139	337	16	5	33%	6%	86	+0.3	251/343/392	142	332	17	1	27%	10%	112	+1.0
✕Jared Keel 2008 · A	23	43→37	51→50	48→45	47	223/302/384	160	276	18	7	26%	8%	95	+0.9	201/285/355	154	249	18	8	26%	9%	82	-0.0	182/273/336	154	218	19	8	26%	9%	71	-0.6

JP Smith II

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps