J.P. Cabrera

C FCL Cardinals

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 185 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKSTL	104	.247/.385/.400	2	2	39	—	.156/.269/.244
2026	19	ASTL	100	.213/.270/.315	1	1	34	—	.181/.230/.266
2026	19	ROKSTL	136	.257/.338/.363	1	3	45	—	.197/.263/.279
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBSTL	346	.212/.274/.304	4	5	64	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBSTL	103	.218/.281/.318	1	2	69	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBSTL	194	.221/.285/.329	3	4	74	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

K%58

Max EV54

Whiff%44

Z-Con%38

Chase%21

BB%20

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsAdrián Sugastey (age 20) · Tomás Nido (age 21) · Jacob Amaya (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 222 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .272 / .302

PA222

HR2

K%26

BB%7

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	79	64	15	0	1	0	14	14	1	0	0	234	380	266	645	31	300	18	18	314	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	104	85	21	5	1	2	15	17	4	2	0	247	385	400	785	153	288	16	14	359	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	100	89	19	6	0	1	7	22	1	1	0	213	270	315	585	101	273	22	7	263	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	136	113	29	9	0	1	13	26	3	3	0	257	338	363	701	106	315	19	10	310	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	79	68	11	0	1	0	10	17	1	0	0	162	278	191	470	29	213	22	13	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	104	90	14	3	1	1	10	22	4	2	0	156	269	244	514	89	184	21	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	100	94	17	5	0	1	5	30	1	1	0	181	230	266	496	85	257	30	5	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	136	122	24	7	0	1	8	37	3	3	0	197	263	279	542	82	252	27	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	79	68	11	0	1	0	10	17	1	0	0	162	278	191	470	29	216	22	13	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	79	64	15	0	1	0	14	14	1	0	0	234	380	266	645	31	300	18	18	314	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	104	90	14	3	1	1	10	22	4	2	0	156	269	244	514	89	194	21	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	104	85	21	5	1	2	15	17	4	2	0	247	385	400	785	153	288	16	14	359	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	236	216	41	12	0	2	13	67	4	4	0	190	249	273	522	83	260	28	6	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	236	202	48	15	0	2	20	48	4	4	0	238	309	342	651	104	297	20	8	290	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	79	68	11	0	1	0	10	17	1	0	0	162	278	191	470	29	213	22	13	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	104	89	14	3	1	1	10	22	4	2	0	157	269	247	516	90	184	21	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	236	217	41	12	0	2	13	67	4	4	0	189	249	272	521	83	254	28	6	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	79	68	11	0	1	0	10	17	1	0	0	162	278	191	470	29	213	22	13	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	104	89	14	3	1	1	10	22	4	2	0	157	269	247	516	90	184	21	10	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	236	217	41	12	0	2	13	67	4	4	0	189	249	272	521	83	254	28	6	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	STL	0%	346	316	67	13	2	4	23	90	4	5	2	212	274	304	578	92	281	26	7	262	64	-15	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	STL	34%	299	274	60	12	2	4	20	77	3	5	2	217	280	319	599	102	283	26	7	271	69	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	STL	48%	401	365	80	16	2	6	28	101	5	8	2	221	285	330	614	109	284	25	7	277	74	-13	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.4
2030	23	MLB MLE	STL	54%	467	426	94	18	3	8	33	117	5	9	3	223	288	338	626	115	285	25	7	282	77	-13	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2031	24	MLB MLE	STL	55%	510	462	105	20	3	10	37	126	6	10	3	226	291	345	636	119	287	25	7	286	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2032	25	MLB MLE	STL	56%	520	471	107	21	3	10	38	128	6	10	3	227	293	349	642	122	287	25	7	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2033	26	MLB MLE	STL	56%	520	471	107	21	3	10	38	128	6	10	3	227	293	349	641	122	287	25	7	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2034	27	MLB MLE	STL	55%	520	471	107	21	3	10	38	129	6	10	3	226	292	346	638	120	286	25	7	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2035	28	MLB MLE	STL	55%	520	471	106	20	3	10	38	130	6	9	3	224	290	341	631	117	285	25	7	284	78	-13	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	STL	53%	520	471	104	20	3	9	38	132	6	8	3	221	287	335	622	114	284	25	7	280	76	-15	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2037	30	MLB MLE	STL	53%	520	473	104	20	3	9	37	133	5	8	3	218	283	327	610	109	282	26	7	275	73	-17	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.2
2038	31	MLB MLE	STL	52%	501	455	98	19	2	8	36	130	5	6	4	214	278	317	595	103	278	26	7	269	68	-19	-0	-3	+9	+11	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	STL	34%	103	94	20	4	1	1	7	26	1	2	1	218	281	318	599	100	285	25	7	271	69	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	STL	48%	194	176	39	8	1	3	14	49	2	4	1	221	285	329	614	107	286	25	7	277	74	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	STL	54%	253	230	50	10	1	4	18	63	3	5	1	224	289	337	625	113	288	25	7	282	77	-7	+1	+0	+5	+5	0.4
2031	24	MLB CTX	STL	55%	283	258	59	12	2	5	20	70	3	5	2	226	292	343	634	117	289	25	7	285	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	STL	56%	291	265	60	12	2	5	21	72	3	6	2	227	293	347	640	119	289	25	7	288	81	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	26	MLB CTX	STL	56%	292	266	60	12	2	5	21	72	3	6	2	227	293	346	639	119	289	25	7	287	81	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	STL	55%	288	262	59	12	2	5	21	71	3	5	2	226	292	344	636	118	288	25	7	286	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	STL	55%	285	259	59	12	2	5	21	71	3	5	2	224	290	339	629	115	287	25	7	283	78	-7	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2036	29	MLB CTX	STL	53%	278	253	56	11	1	5	20	70	3	4	2	222	287	333	620	111	286	25	7	280	76	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	STL	53%	274	249	54	11	1	4	20	70	3	4	2	219	284	326	609	107	284	26	7	275	73	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	STL	52%	261	237	51	10	1	4	19	68	3	3	2	215	279	316	595	101	281	26	7	269	68	-10	-0	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2802	2549	567	114	16	46	202	702	30	49	19	222	287	334	621	111	288	25	7	281	73	-78	+2	-4	+50	+61	3.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	132	26	4	11	47	163	7	11	4	223	288	337	625	113	288	25	7	281	73	-18	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5939	5387	1181	232	33	99	429	1495	70	102	33	219	285	330	615	110	283	25	7	276	73	-158	+6	-7	+99	+120	6.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	129	25	4	11	47	164	8	11	4	219	286	331	616	112	282	25	7	276	73	-19	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4John Bateman'63-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,585 PA	5.4	3,585	81	10	229*	274*	381*	+64	+0	8.2	8.5
/162	664	15	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.6	3,024	53	52	223	285	336	+54	+28	5.4	4.9
/162	664	12	11	+11.9	+6.1	1.2	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
J.P. Cabrera (OGILVIE)	20	42→47	33→38	46→51	50	211/272/302	91	281	2	3	26%	7%	64	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adrián Sugastey 2023 · A	20	46	38→40	49→40	44	219/277/296	76	279	6	3	23%	6%	63	-1.3	222/263/311	89	272	7	4	20%	5%	61	-1.5	225/265/311	86	256	8	3	15%	4%	60	-0.7
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44→45	39→45	49→30	43	213/268/301	88	286	6	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	234/265/337	103	307	9	2	26%	4%	68	-1.0	244/279/354	110	291	9	0	19%	4%	75	-0.3
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→49	39→50	49→40	45	207/279/288	81	285	6	6	28%	8%	63	-1.3	212/273/295	83	270	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	233/290/382	149	292	18	0	26%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Seth Conner 2012 · A	20	44	41→40	47→45	47	211/285/310	99	279	8	6	26%	8%	71	-0.8	203/275/278	75	282	5	4	27%	7%	59	-1.6	185/264/242	57	259	3	0	27%	7%	48	-0.7
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	45	40	48→45	47	216/287/311	94	272	7	6	22%	7%	72	-0.7	217/271/325	108	273	10	5	24%	5%	68	-1.0	209/261/319	110	249	12	1	21%	4%	60	-0.3
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	231/276/323	91	287	5	5	21%	6%	69	-0.9	235/273/310	75	276	5	6	16%	4%	64	-1.3	240/274/305	65	276	5	5	15%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Liover Peguero 2021 · A	20	45→49	38→45	50→55	41	212/263/292	80	293	5	9	28%	6%	57	-1.8	229/272/346	117	315	12	22	30%	5%	73	-0.6	229/273/352	123	303	13	24	28%	5%	72	-0.6
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	75	292	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	193/262/269	76	307	6	15	36%	7%	53	-2.1	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Luis Caicuto 2024 · A	21	48	37→45	46→50	46	223/294/301	78	298	4	6	25%	8%	72	-0.7	210/278/278	68	274	4	6	23%	6%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Arturo De Freitas 2021 · A	20	44	38→40	49→40	47	206/284/292	86	276	5	7	26%	8%	66	-1.1	180/230/248	68	281	5	4	36%	5%	35	-3.4	143/186/215	72	238	8	0	42%	4%	9	-1.6
✕Gilberto Celestino 2019 · A	20	43→53	38→45	52→55	42	209/257/289	80	280	6	12	27%	6%	54	-2.0	226/281/328	102	291	8	8	24%	7%	72	-0.7	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Chris Suero 2024 · A	20	41→38	41→45	50→55	50	196/295/291	95	281	8	8	31%	10%	71	-0.8	193/290/309	116	280	12	20	33%	10%	74	-0.6	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Christian Lopes 2013 · A	20	42→52	42→45	53→50	42	207/256/324	117	265	8	8	25%	5%	62	-1.4	209/263/288	79	265	4	4	22%	6%	56	-1.9	233/301/343	110	279	9	15	19%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Juan Uriarte 2019 · A	21	46	41→45	49→30	41	223/277/319	96	282	8	4	23%	5%	69	-0.9	187/230/267	80	281	6	4	34%	4%	39	-3.1	146/183/206	60	224	4	0	36%	2%	4	-1.5
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Rodolfo Durán 2018 · A	20	43	41→50	46→45	39	212/254/309	97	284	9	6	28%	5%	57	-1.8	212/248/354	142	283	18	3	31%	4%	66	-1.1	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Danny De Andrade 2024 · A	20	41	42→45	51→50	45	201/277/305	104	269	9	11	28%	8%	67	-1.1	201/270/315	114	278	10	11	30%	7%	66	-1.1	190/254/309	120	266	11	10	31%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Yorberto Mejicano 2021 · A	20	44	36→45	53→45	48	207/271/275	68	270	3	10	23%	8%	57	-1.8	225/279/332	107	302	11	8	28%	6%	73	-0.6	213/267/311	98	282	10	9	27%	6%	61	-0.6

J.P. Cabrera

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps