Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024
18
ROKMLE
DSL Phillies Red
15
0
37
159
49
17
0
0%
2.5
21.0%
13.4%
7.6%
0.0%
3.62
3.02
—
2024
18
ROKMLE
DSL Phillies Red
15
0
37
159
49
17
0
0%
2.5
21.0%
13.4%
7.6%
0.0%
3.62
3.02
—
2024
18
ROKRAW
DSL Phillies Red
15
0
37
159
49
17
0
0%
2.5
30.8%
10.7%
20.1%
0.0%
3.62
1.84
—
2025
19
MIXMLE
2 levels
12
8
49
202
55
19
3
67%
4.1
19.2%
11.4%
7.8%
1.9%
1.65
3.99
—
2025
19
MIXMLE
2 levels
12
8
49
202
55
19
3
67%
4.1
19.2%
11.4%
7.8%
1.9%
1.65
3.99
—
2025
19
MIXRAW
2 levels
12
8
49
202
55
19
3
67%
4.1
27.2%
9.4%
17.8%
1.5%
1.65
2.81
—
2026
20
AMLE
Clearwater Threshers
24
15
79
364
72
31
8
62%
3.3
14.6%
10.0%
4.6%
2.9%
5.83
4.71
—
2026
20
AMLE
Clearwater Threshers
24
15
79
364
72
31
8
62%
3.3
14.6%
10.0%
4.6%
2.9%
5.83
4.71
—
2026
20
ARAW
Clearwater Threshers
24
15
79
364
72
31
8
62%
3.3
19.8%
8.5%
11.3%
2.2%
5.83
3.77
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
21
MLB
PHI
44
0
46
194
34
20
6
0%
1.0
17.3%
10.4%
6.9%
2.9%
4.95
4.95
-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
22
MLBMLE
PHI
71
0
74
314
61
30
9
0%
1.0
19.4%
9.6%
9.8%
2.9%
4.74
4.64
-0.1
2029
23
MLBMLE
PHI
73
0
77
326
67
29
9
0%
1.1
20.6%
9.0%
11.6%
2.8%
4.55
4.44
+0.1
2030
24
MLBMLE
PHI
75
0
79
334
71
29
9
0%
1.1
21.4%
8.7%
12.6%
2.8%
4.42
4.33
+0.2
2031
25
MLBMLE
PHI
76
0
80
338
74
29
9
0%
1.1
21.8%
8.6%
13.2%
2.8%
4.33
4.27
+0.3
2032
26
MLBMLE
PHI
76
0
80
338
74
29
9
0%
1.1
22.0%
8.5%
13.5%
2.8%
4.28
4.25
+0.3
2033
27
MLBMLE
PHI
75
0
79
333
80
26
10
0%
1.1
24.0%
7.8%
16.2%
2.9%
4.12
4.01
+0.5
2034
28
MLBMLE
PHI
73
0
76
323
77
26
10
0%
1.0
23.9%
7.9%
15.9%
3.0%
4.11
4.10
+0.4
2035
29
MLBMLE
PHI
70
0
73
308
73
25
10
0%
1.0
23.6%
8.2%
15.4%
3.1%
4.18
4.23
+0.3
2036
30
MLBMLE
PHI
65
0
69
290
67
25
10
0%
1.1
23.3%
8.5%
14.8%
3.3%
4.32
4.41
+0.1
2028
22
MLBCTX
PHI
35
0
37
156
30
15
5
0%
1.1
19.4%
9.6%
9.8%
3.1%
4.85
4.75
-0.0
2029
23
MLBCTX
PHI
53
0
56
236
49
21
7
0%
1.1
20.6%
9.0%
11.6%
3.1%
4.66
4.55
+0.1
2030
24
MLBCTX
PHI
62
0
65
274
59
24
8
0%
1.0
21.4%
8.7%
12.6%
3.0%
4.53
4.44
+0.2
2031
25
MLBCTX
PHI
68
0
71
300
65
26
9
0%
1.0
21.8%
8.6%
13.2%
3.0%
4.44
4.38
+0.2
2032
26
MLBCTX
PHI
70
0
73
308
68
26
9
0%
1.0
22.0%
8.5%
13.5%
3.0%
4.39
4.36
+0.3
2033
27
MLBCTX
PHI
70
0
73
308
74
24
9
0%
1.0
24.0%
7.8%
16.2%
3.1%
4.23
4.12
+0.5
2034
28
MLBCTX
PHI
69
0
72
304
73
24
10
0%
1.0
23.9%
7.9%
15.9%
3.2%
4.23
4.22
+0.4
2035
29
MLBCTX
PHI
66
0
69
291
69
24
10
0%
1.0
23.6%
8.2%
15.4%
3.3%
4.30
4.35
+0.3
2036
30
MLBCTX
PHI
62
0
65
274
64
23
10
0%
1.0
23.3%
8.5%
14.8%
3.6%
4.45
4.54
+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
553
0
581
2453
550
207
77
0%
1.1
22.4%
8.5%
14.0%
3.2%
4.43
4.01
+3.7
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
190
0
200
844
189
71
27
0%
1.1
22.4%
8.5%
14.0%
3.2%
4.43
4.01
+1.3
Career
—
MLE
51
23
165
725
125
81
14
45%
3.2
17.3%
11.1%
6.1%
2.0%
4.09
4.14
+2.1
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
62
28
200
879
152
98
17
45%
3.2
17.3%
11.1%
6.1%
2.0%
4.09
4.14
+0.6
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.