Oscar Melgarejo — OGILVIE

Oscar Melgarejo P DSL CLE Mendoza

Age 21 RHP 5'10" / 169 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 14 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.75

FIP4.75

K%22.3%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%10.4%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	13	1	24	113	12	17	2	8%	1.8	7.2%	18.8%	-11.6%	2.5%	3.42	6.23	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	13	1	24	113	12	17	2	8%	1.8	7.2%	18.8%	-11.6%	2.5%	3.42	6.23	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	13	1	24	113	12	17	2	8%	1.8	10.6%	15.0%	-4.4%	1.8%	3.42	5.34	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	1	1	3	14	2	0	0	100%	3.3	14.3%	0.0%	14.3%	0.0%	5.40	1.89	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	1	1	3	14	2	0	0	100%	3.3	14.3%	0.0%	14.3%	0.0%	5.40	1.89	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	1	1	3	14	2	0	0	100%	3.3	14.3%	0.0%	14.3%	0.0%	5.40	1.90	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	2	1	2	9	1	4	0	50%	0.8	11.1%	44.4%	-33.3%	0.0%	16.20	7.79	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	2	1	2	9	1	4	0	50%	0.8	11.1%	44.4%	-33.3%	0.0%	16.20	7.79	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	2	1	2	9	1	4	0	50%	0.8	11.1%	44.4%	-33.3%	0.0%	16.20	9.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	PIT	13	0	14	59	13	7	2	0%	1.1	22.3%	11.9%	10.4%	3.0%	4.75	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	PIT	19	0	20	84	20	9	2	0%	1.1	23.3%	10.7%	12.6%	2.9%	4.57	4.48	+0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	PIT	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	23.3%	10.7%	12.6%	2.9%	4.57	4.48	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.1	23.3%	10.7%	12.6%	2.9%	4.57	4.10	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	81	20	0%	1.1	23.3%	10.7%	12.6%	2.9%	4.57	4.10	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		16	3	29	136	11	25	3	19%	1.8	8.2%	18.6%	-10.4%	2.1%	4.40	5.89	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		112	21	200	949	78	176	20	19%	1.8	8.2%	18.6%	-10.4%	2.1%	4.40	5.89	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Oscar Melgarejo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	22.3%	11.9%	3.0%	—	4.48	23.3%	12.6%	20	-0.27	—	—	—
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	84
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	82
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	82
Justin Meis R 2021 · 4.07 FIP	21	SU	4.07	25.6%	13.6%	2.6%	.300	5.14	18.2%	5.5%	261	+1.07	3.68	411	82
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	82
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	290	82
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	81
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.17	28.8%	15.2%	112	-0.85	3.14	173	81
Brandon Beckel R 2024 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	19.4%	10.3%	1.8%	.250	4.23	19.5%	10.5%	147	+0.48	3.75	194	81
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	81
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	81
Reiss Knehr R 2018 · 4.29 FIP	21	SU	4.29	21.3%	12.3%	2.6%	.267	4.86	18.8%	7.2%	171	+0.57	3.36	398	81
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	81
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	81
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	81
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	81
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	80
Mason Fox R 2018 · 3.59 FIP	21	SU	3.59	21.9%	11.5%	1.6%	.260	6.72	21.3%	4.8%	30	+3.13	3.59	112	80
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	80
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	80